Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread - Page 77 - Sports Betting

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01-10-2021 , 10:03 AM

#1901

ligastar

ToP 100 pAsS cAtChErS

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 30,919

Quote:

Originally Posted by failedlurker

we fading JT tomorrow? can’t be sleeping well

I've googled and no article is reporting the exact words he said. Did you hear it? If so, can you DM what he said.

kthx

Quote

01-10-2021 , 10:34 AM

#1902

failedlurker

stranger

Join Date: Mar 2020 Posts: 11

https://twitter.com/DustyBurlap/stat...731633665?s=20

Think it’s “I’m a f_____”. Anyway the F word is clear.

Quote

01-10-2021 , 11:17 AM

#1903

ligastar

ToP 100 pAsS cAtChErS

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 30,919

^^^

thx fl

Quote

01-10-2021 , 12:55 PM

#1904

Adrenocromo

journeyman

Join Date: Jul 2020 Posts: 251

He has apologized. And as JT backer this week I would all like to apologize to all the communities I may have offended for the various expletives I have uttered while watching him this play this week.

Quote

01-15-2021 , 06:51 PM

#1905

Adrenocromo

journeyman

Join Date: Jul 2020 Posts: 251

Mike Wier may be the best 50+ left handed golfer alive right now.

Quote

01-19-2021 , 11:57 PM

#1906

ska55

centurion

Join Date: Jan 2019 Posts: 105

Is there a general formula for deriving matchup prices from "to win" odds?

Quote

01-20-2021 , 01:11 PM

#1907

Iowa!

old hand

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 1,615

I wouldn't recommend that approach. For starters MU markets are more efficient than outright and the two things are not apples to apples either.

Quote

01-20-2021 , 06:32 PM

#1908

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 11,270

thats the old tony special for setting lines

rip homie

Quote

01-20-2021 , 08:03 PM

#1909

Adrenocromo

journeyman

Join Date: Jul 2020 Posts: 251

Quote:

Originally Posted by ska55

Is there a general formula for deriving matchup prices from "to win" odds?

you would be better off going in the other direction.

Quote

01-21-2021 , 07:34 PM

#1910

qotd

centurion

Join Date: Jan 2016 Posts: 129

How sharp are Pinnacle's matchup lines? Can I feel comfortable if I'm beating them at closing that my prices were fine?

Quote

01-21-2021 , 09:18 PM

#1911

Adrenocromo

journeyman

Join Date: Jul 2020 Posts: 251

Quote:

Originally Posted by qotd

How sharp are Pinnacle's matchup lines? Can I feel comfortable if I'm beating them at closing that my prices were fine?

https://datagolf.com/analyzing-betting-odds

yes

Quote

01-21-2021 , 09:36 PM

#1912

qotd

centurion

Join Date: Jan 2016 Posts: 129

Perfect. Thanks.

Quote

01-23-2021 , 02:23 AM

#1913

El Sueno

enthusiast

Join Date: Jan 2020 Posts: 69

Is the European Tour not publishing their shot tracker info? I saw sigs tweet about play by play but went to go find it on the website haven't turned up anything on the leaderboard like how the PGA Tour works.

Quote

01-23-2021 , 08:13 AM

#1914

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 11,270

they don't publish it until after the round

can get it during from bet365 live in-play tracker

b365 paid for the technology IIRC so i'm guessing it's some exclusive window they have

for the round go to the stats tab

https://www.europeantour.com/europea...ip-2021/stats/

Last edited by fkjlhfdkjhkj.; 01-23-2021 at 08:19 AM.

Quote

01-23-2021 , 01:35 PM

#1915

El Sueno

enthusiast

Join Date: Jan 2020 Posts: 69

Thank you. I must have clicked on every page of the ET website and felt like a dunce that I couldn't find the shot level data you tweeted out anywhere there. Appreciate it.

Quote

01-24-2021 , 08:11 PM

#1916

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 11,270

golf is the worst. quit now

**** tony finau, patrick cantlay, cameron davis, retief goosen, rory mcilroy, and nelly korda

Quote

01-24-2021 , 09:16 PM

#1917

gmcarroll33

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 6,569

Quote:

Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley

golf is the worst. quit now

**** tony finau, patrick cantlay, cameron davis, retief goosen, rory mcilroy, and nelly korda

Yeah I had 100k riding on Cameron Davis. Would have been nice.

Quote

01-24-2021 , 09:29 PM

#1918

Precept24

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 8,605

Retief Goosen?

Quote

01-24-2021 , 10:06 PM

#1919

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 11,270

Quote:

Originally Posted by Precept24

Retief Goosen?

olds. dominated day 1. sucked day 2.

then lost in day 3 to a guy who was using a cart because he can't walk and ripping a vape the entire time.

Quote

01-25-2021 , 12:10 AM

#1920

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 11,270

i did have the highlight of my golf career today tho. splitting a 1k showdown with golf legend brettfavre444

he won because he's the best, but coming in 2nd with the big boys is a big morale boost.

and we won the $777 single entry by 52 pts. but are too much of pussies to enter the dome so cost ourselves too much.

Quote

01-25-2021 , 03:39 PM

#1921

BetzPH

grinder

Join Date: Dec 2008 Posts: 436

Hey guys is there a simplified approach for sizing bets as a fraction of the uncorrelated kelly when betting the same person across win/top5/10/20 markets? Not sure how necessary some player level correlation is or if just a general rule of thumb gets you almost all the way there, any help would be great

Quote

01-31-2021 , 05:04 PM

#1922

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 11,270

iowa! is that guys name who starts with a C really this bad at showdown? he just plays the DG optimal every slate.

if i knew this from the start we could have been crushing 1/2 every week instead of trying to yolo into a million. i'm at 40k+ just from him since the year re-started

Quote

02-01-2021 , 11:54 AM

#1923

Iowa!

old hand

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 1,615

I don't think he is that bad but I wouldn't be risking 150k every week if I didn't think the games were beatable. You should live some life and play the heavy hitter this week.