I know nothing about golf but followed the Matsuyama and Scheffler plays here. Then threw in these steam/market value plays cuz I was bored last night. It’s interesting how most of these guys were mentioned in here (for better or worse). I’m guessing that’s where a lot of the steam came from.
S. Burns +17500 (.5 units)
M. Wallace +17500 (.5)
A. Wise +12500 (.5)
H. Varner III +7500 (.5)
W. Gordon +12500 (.6)
H. Matsuyama +2000 (.5)
M. Wolff +12500 (.68)
L. List +20000 (.4)
M. Jones +35000 (.28)
S. Scheffler +3900 (.5)
horrible day. switched Scheffler/Hoge to Kisner/Todd last night, woke up early to switch it back.
Scheffler existing disaster
Bryson and Doc Redman disaster
All the guys we rostered with our Hatton/Simpson stacks disaster
Matsuyama lips out for a birdie on 17 AND 18 [in addition to basically every other hole] and Jason Day legit missed the ball and then had a horrible chip on 18 to send it to a losing day disaster
Spoiler:
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Round 1 - Bryson DeChambeau vs. Hideki Matsuyama - Hideki Matsuyama +117 RISK: 2u LOSS -2
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Round 1 - Patrick Reed vs. Hideki Matsuyama - Hideki Matsuyama -105 RISK: 0.76u LOSS -0.76u
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Round 1 - Bubba Watson vs. Jason Day - Jason Day -108 RISK: 1.03u WIN +0.95
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Round 1 - Bubba Watson vs. Brendon Todd - Brendon Todd 106 RISK: 1.29u WIN +1.37u
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Round 1 - Jason Day vs. Brendon Todd - Jason Day -108 RISK: 0.56u LOSS -0.56u
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Round 1 - Brandt Snedeker vs. Sungjae Im - Sungjae Im -130 RISK: 1.43u WIN +1.1u
Round 1 Matchup - Rocket - Christiaan Bezuidenhout -108 - (Scott Stallings vrs Christiaan Bezuidenhout) RISK: 2.16u LOSS -2.16u
Round 1 Matchup - Rocket - Erik Van Rooyen -114 - (Erik Van Rooyen vrs Matthew Wolff) RISK: 0.28u LOSS -0.28u
Round 1 Matchup - Rocket - Scottie Scheffler -118 - (Scottie Scheffler vrs Lucas Glover) RISK: 1.51u LOSS -1.51u
Round 1 Matchup - Rocket - Viktor Hovland -133 - (Viktor Hovland vrs Bubba Watson) RISK: 0.66u WIN +0.5u
Round 1 Matchup - Rocket - Webb Simpson -124 - (Webb Simpson vrs Tony Finau) RISK: 0.81u WIN +0.65u
Round 1 Matchup - Rocket - Brandt Snedeker -107 - (Doc Redman vrs Brandt Snedeker) RISK: 0.57u LOSS -0.57u
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Round 1 - Zac Blair vs. Doc Redman - Zac Blair 145 RISK: 0.92u LOSS -0.92u
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Round 1 - Branden Grace vs. Brian Gay - Brian Gay 145 RISK: 0.63u LOSS -0.63u
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Round 1 - Keegan Bradley vs. Ryan Armour - Keegan Bradley -114 RISK: 0.23u WIN +0.2u
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Round 1 - Lanto Griffin vs. Patton Kizzire - Lanto Griffin -130 RISK: 2.01u WIN +1.55u
Golf - Fed-Ex 500 Round 1 - Charl Schwartzel vs. Peter Malnati - Peter Malnati 117 RISK: 0.79u WIN +0.92u
also grabbed:
Im>Hatton -112 .36u (dislike hatton, love im so easy bet)
Hovland>Watson -135 .44u (doubt it's a fair line but a rickroll unit isn't exactly a sigs unit)
Bramlett>Duncan -109 .35u
Scheffler>Glover +135 1u (i know he's dead to the syndicate but +135 vs Glover too good to pass up, I would have 2u this had it gotten sigs approval above)
Shot 5 in the hole (bogey)
Shot 4 putt 13 ft 10 in., 13 in. to hole
Shot 3 66 ft 10 in. to green, 12 ft 5 in. to hole
Shot 2 128 yds to right fairway, 79 ft 3 in. to hole
Shot 1 304 yds to right rough, 153 yds to hole
all downhill from here
hatton/simpson stack is dominating. gonna need some scrubs to get through
Shot 5 in the hole (bogey)
Shot 4 putt 8 ft 9 in., 22 in. to hole
Shot 3 putt 47 ft 10 in., 6 ft 7 in. to hole
Shot 2 203 yds to green, 54 ft 4 in. to hole
Shot 1 244 yds to left rough, 201 yds to hole
1) Go super overweight on Hadwin/Hatton/Simpson to get leverage to the field but pair them with 16 different golfers, none of which make the cut. It helps if all the chalk easily makes the cut too (Varner, Stricker, Redman)
2) Lose every big head to head bet and win the small ones. Make sure the guys you're going against shoot -8 or so even tho they've never done that before in their career (happened 3x, armour, kirk, wolff).
3) get 6/6 thru on FD where there's not as much action
4) have scheffler shoot a -7 bogey free round after going +7 yesterday to make you feel better.
