Golf Betting Picks and Discussion Thread - Page 12 - Sports Betting

I just checked too and that ROI on Cash this week includes about 1k in tournament losses too. Mostly single entry.

Maybe I'll just MME during the 1 million instead of blowing all my cash winnings every week.

Quote

02-10-2020 , 12:52 AM

#277

rickroll

oddly catty

Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 22,471

Quote:

Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley

Yeah I've found success in golf gpp very elusive, worst part is I started really hot when Yahoo first added it too

Quote

02-10-2020 , 06:47 PM

#278

4BetBoke

old hand

Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 1,568

Getting battered here, so if any of you guys love money get these guys layed!

Genesis Invitational

T. Finau @ 26.0 (1.4 units) 20% 1-8
H. Matsuyama @ 29.0 (1.3 units) 20% 1-8
J. Spieth @ 46.0 (0.7 units) 20% 1-8

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02-10-2020 , 10:19 PM

#279

Precept24

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 8,605

I'll report back tomorrow. I plan on stat crunching.

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02-11-2020 , 12:16 AM

#280

ligastar

ToP 100 pAsS cAtChErS

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 30,915

Genesis Invitational

no action

Quote

02-11-2020 , 06:50 PM

#281

Precept24

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 8,605

Quote:

Originally Posted by Precept24

I'll report back tomorrow. I plan on stat crunching.

Okay. I pulled some data from the PGA Tour website on all the SG Categories (weighted differently), Avg Proximity from 150-175 and 175-200 (since all the dog-legs reduce the driver use), birdie rate, bogey rate (since scrambling is a thing here), and SG-Diff.

Guys I like more than their DK price would indicate (thus making them a solid GPP play, IMO):

Abraham Ancer
Sunjae Im (obvs)
Ryan Palmer
Corey Conners
Joel Dahmen
Nick Watney
Denny McCarthy
Carlos Ortiz
Emiliano Grillo

I'll delve more and tinker with weightings while at my kids' basketball games.

Quote

02-11-2020 , 09:13 PM

#282

Precept24

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 8,605

Guys I'm fading that are relatively high priced on DK:

Dustin Johnson (10k)
Jason Day (8.8k)
Jordan Spieth (8.4k)
Phil Mickelson (8.3k)
Tiger Woods (10.4k)

Quote

02-11-2020 , 09:40 PM

#283

rickroll

oddly catty

Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 22,471

Quote:

Originally Posted by Precept24

Quote:

Originally Posted by Precept24

Guys I'm fading that are relatively high priced on DK:

Dustin Johnson (10k)
Jason Day (8.8k)
Jordan Spieth (8.4k)
Phil Mickelson (8.3k)
Tiger Woods (10.4k)

My laptop with my pga model is getting a motherboard replaced but this passes my own eye test

I may still play DJ because lol Yahoo pricing currently have Im & Grillo in my cash lineup dummy

Going to go over everything tonight and make some lines

Quote

02-12-2020 , 01:27 PM

#284

Precept24

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 8,605

Nick Watney, Carlos Ortiz, and Joel Dahmen are starting to look good.

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02-12-2020 , 04:24 PM

#285

Hellmuth was right

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Aug 2016 Posts: 5,787

I like Cantlay this week

Quote

02-13-2020 , 06:41 AM

#286

rickroll

oddly catty

Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 22,471

Currently debating between

Rory/Day/Grillo/Rahm/Wolff/homa in cash

Quote

02-13-2020 , 09:08 AM

#287

rickroll

oddly catty

Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 22,471

Thoughts? Here are the rest but still tinkering

If you see any leaks please chime in

Especially unsure of where to go in cash

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02-13-2020 , 10:55 AM

#288

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 11,270

whoops this one locked early. was gonna look at it in the morning but rolling with this on DK (% from 250 double up)

and Rory/Morikawa/Im/Scheffler/Niemann/Conners on FD

Scheffler, Niemann, and Conners all low owned so whoops

and showdown lineup

Quote

02-13-2020 , 01:12 PM

#289

rickroll

oddly catty

Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 22,471

Quote:

Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley

whoops this one locked early. was gonna look at it in the morning but rolling with this on DK (% from 250 double up)

and Rory/Morikawa/Im/Scheffler/Niemann/Conners on FD

Scheffler, Niemann, and Conners all low owned so whoops

and showdown lineup

Looks like we'll both be hoping for a bad outing from Bubba

Got caught with my pants down, a few minutes before lock a bunch of $109+ contests were basically empty so playing a bit more than I'm comfortable with in my weakest sport by a wide margin, got nearly $2k out there

https://sports.yahoo.com/dailyfantas...7093/110638800

Quote

02-13-2020 , 01:46 PM

#290

Precept24

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 8,605

You know I'm fading Bubba, but only for like $100.

Quote

02-13-2020 , 03:00 PM

#291

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 11,270

3% scheffler dominating. Everyone else not so much. Golf is the best.

Quote

02-13-2020 , 10:24 PM

#292

Precept24

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 8,605

Day 1 didn't go all that well. Ancer is hurting me. Champ is killing y'all. Day 2 will be better.

Quote

02-14-2020 , 06:39 AM

#293

rickroll

oddly catty

Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 22,471

Quote:

Originally Posted by Precept24

You know I'm fading Bubba, but only for like $100.

For golf I honestly go in with that goal each week but then keep seeing weak contests or ones that likely won't fill and just go on a shopping spree.

Golf tends to overlay more because degens aren't up early enough.

Quote

02-14-2020 , 03:28 PM

#294

Precept24

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 8,605

Haha. I am. I'm a high school math (passion is Stats obviously) with 3 kids whose schedule drives mine, so I'm up at 4:30 to get a workout in before I leave for work.

Quote

02-14-2020 , 04:42 PM

#295

4BetBoke

old hand

Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 1,568

Ancer did some decent work today. Always a shot when you get them through the cut in these tournaments where the winning score is -12 to -15.

Pretty meh stuff from Spieth and Finau today, but at least they're through. Hideki run one time?

Quote

02-14-2020 , 05:09 PM

#296

Precept24

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 8,605

Ancer bounced back nicely. Watney was on a similar path, when he crumbled his last 6-holes.

Quote

02-14-2020 , 07:16 PM

#297

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 11,270

Got 3 people at E after 11 on DK and with expected cut looking like +1 I could get 6/6 through which would be amazing after yesterday.

FD not getting Niemann thru unless there's a miracle and could lose Im

Quote

02-14-2020 , 07:51 PM

#298

Precept24

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 8,605

Gonna get shut out on DK with all my Justin Thomas and Watney love.

Got a chance to get 6/6 on FD, but gonna need Sungjae, Xander and Palmer to hold it together.

On Superdraft, I was 1/2 in the $5 contest a few hours ago. My best lineup will only get 4/6. I'm really pulling for a Joseph Bramlett and Sung Kang run, as I am the sole owner of them.