are you a pro footballer yet

sorry another question but i cant understand the difference between a -0.5 TH and a -0.75 TH. so both teams start the game -1/2 and -3/4 goals down respectively but if they both dont win the match by 1 goal you lose your bet right? what am i missing? just moved to ireland from paris would love to start placing more bets on the footy matches. Cheers for the help.

-0.5 means your team must win by at least one goal (i.e win the match)

-0.75 means that if your team wins by just one goal you will win HALF THE BET and the other half will be refunded (as it drew -1.0). If your team wins by two or more goals you will win all the bet.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Asian_handicap

Ok, -0.5 means the team has a -0.5 goal deficit from the beginning of the match.

-0.75 means the bet is split in two equal amounts, at -0.5 and -1 goals.

So, say Man Utd, have -0.75, then a final score of 1-0 to Man Utd means, you win half the bet, and other half is refunded. Winning by a margin of 2 or more, means you win both halves of the bet

no it is taking longer than expected

So yeah took Stoke at 1.90 in the end.

Gudjohnsen and Jones up front with shakey Upson and Green at the other end looks to to set the game up in Stoke's favour. My only question now is whether to go for the over 2.5 goals.

Without Avram Grant and the afore mentioned shakey Englishmen i think there could be an onslaught but at the very least a comfortable Stoke win.

**** you Aston Villa. This is the second time you have cost me in the final stages of a last man standing competition. Last time it was last 9 of a £10k one, this time it was the last 4 of a £20k one, I am a little worried that Houllier is going to come to my house and skull rape me since I have to pick Villa next week in another £10k one.

In related news, I run good at last man standing competitions except for Aston Villa.

The rest of my weekend's Spanish La Liga AH & GL lines for tomorrow :-

Villarreal -0.5 @ 2.06 (Pinny) 3u
Racing Santander -0.25 @ 2.00 (Pinny) 3u

2 great spots

LOL

LOL

.

Yes PC, I am indeed betting asian handicap and goal line markets, and yes I using Pinnacle as one of my books for these markets......... as I always have done! This does not mean they are my main markets when it comes to football betting, nor Pinny my main book, but you (should) know this and still decided to troll anyway like the pathetic nobody that you truly are.

Thanks for reconfirming why I pity you so much.

15mins played. Chelsea even money o/u5.5gls on BF

Looking forward to seeing your next 18 bets.

Cheers Gazo, followed you on a few and went 4/4.

Total Stake: 43u
Total Profit: +8.979u
Yield: 20.88%

Still absolutely raping the easy early season Bundesliga lines which is great, and still (only just) hit my personal 20% yield marker, but there were a lot of disappointments. Ligue 1 still seems to elude me, and the Everton result in the premiership was just shockingly bad! . Very annoying when a 3u bet doesn't even come close. Can't take these things personally for future Everton games though.

Full German, Spanish, and Italian midweek schedules to now look over. Will try and get the bets up on here before Tuesday night.

ran across this thread the other day and tailed most of the picks that were available on 5dimes for fun and made some money.
Cheers Gazo

pawned. don't f with gazo

Bundesliga
Mainz GL Under 2.5 @ 1.935 (Pinny) 1u
Hannover GL Under 3.0 @ 1.94 (******) 1u
Hoffenheim +0.5 @ 1.833 (Pinny) 1u
Hoffenheim GL Under 2.75 @ 1.885 (Pinny) 1u
Frankfurt +1 @ 1.813 (Pinny) 2u
Frankfurt GL Under 3.0 @ 1.88 (******) 2u
St. Pauli +0.5 @ 1.89 (******) 1u
Freiburg GL Under 2.5 @ 1.901 (Pinny) 2u
Nurnberg +0.25 @ 1.95 (******) 1u

Serie A
Bologna GL Under 2.5 @ 1.901 (Pinny) 1u
Brescia GL Under 2.5 @ 2.11 (******) 1u
Bari +1.25 @ 1.83 (******) 1u
Bari GL Under 2.75 @ 1.885 (Pinny) 1u
Lazio +0.25 @ 1.98 (Pinny) 3u
Lecce -0.25 @ 2.21 (******) 1u
Chievo +0.75 @ 2.03 (******) 1u
Palermo +0.75 @ 1.86 (******) 1u
Palermo GL Under 2.5 @ 2.08 (******) 2u

La Liga
Sporting Gijon +2 @ 1.885 (Pinny) 3u
Hercules +0.5 @ 1.93 (******) 3u
Hercules GL Over 2.5 @ 2.07 (Pinny) 1u
Almeria -0.5 @ 1.840 (Pinny) 3u
Almeria GL Over 2.5 @ 1.98 (Pinny) 2u

gl, I agree with Hercules. Out of interest (I am not hating), how many of these teams have you seen play this season?

Gijon +2 & 2.5 is 1.79 on betfair. Just curious if your model says this is a roughly equivalent winning bet, I don't have a pinnacle account

Peterborough @ home to Swansea in the LC tonight. 19/10 seems like decent value, Swansea not great on the road and Peterborough tough to beat @ home.

Also looking at Mainz who are going strong early in the Bundesliga. They are @ home to FC Koln. 11/10 there which also seems decent value.

Going to stay clear of the NL derby tonight.

Gijon are going to rest 8 players.

Yeah i saw this one as well. Swansea are apparently giving their fringe players a chance as well so i like it a lot.

What about over 1.5 goals in the first half of the NL Derby @ 2.50. That's what i've got on, thinking it should be good. No value in over 2.5 but they usually get off to a fast start. Feel pretty degen putting it on but hopefully it's as exciting as the last few have been.

No idea what the 'team news' is in this match as don't follow La Liga at all, but Gijon +2.5 is now up to 1.96 on betfair.

A couple of random Greek bets. I'm sharing because they're longshots and therefore nobody can hate me if they fail (but I reckon there's some value in both). The system that found these bets is +10% over 114 bets at average odds 13.5 so it's far from a proven winner but I am happy with it so far (this has included a 45 bet losing streak that sucked donkey dick so I don't think it's just positive variance)

25/09/2010 Olympiakos Piraeus vs Asteras Tripolis - Asteras Bwin @ 19

25/09/2010 Panathinaikos vs Panionios - Panionios Betclic @ 15

Also:

26/09/10 Sol de America vs Sportivo Luqueno- Sportivo Luqueno Bwin 3.85 (this may vanish fast as it's an arbable line but I have sworn off arbing after one too many lines escaping on me).