Two Plus Two Publishing LLC
Two Plus Two Publishing LLC
 

Go Back   Two Plus Two Poker Forums > >

Notices

Sports Betting Discussions related to wagering on sporting events.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 04-02-2020, 07:15 PM   #6776
AALegend
old hand
 
Join Date: Dec 2011
Location: Philly
Posts: 1,790
Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

Any picks for this weekend's action?
AALegend is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-02-2020, 08:13 PM   #6777
Nepeeme2008
veteran
 
Nepeeme2008's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2017
Location: In position
Posts: 2,026
Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by AALegend View Post
Any picks for this weekend's action?
Are you asking me or Risto? Because we 2 are the only one's that have been posting picks the last few months.

I'm still betting both Belarus and Nicaragua, but I won't be posting any picks anymore.

Maybe Rickroll can post some.
Nepeeme2008 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-02-2020, 08:46 PM   #6778
Nepeeme2008
veteran
 
Nepeeme2008's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2017
Location: In position
Posts: 2,026
Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

My last pick before permanent retirement. One last hurahh for the road.
I promise.

Belshina vs Gorodeya

u2 or the best price you can find from your book

Results so far

Belshina
L 1-3
L0-1

Gorodeya
L0-2
L0-1

It's so early in the season and we don't have much to go on.
I think betting on a draw is also a good bet for this game although I might regret it that I haven't.
Nepeeme2008 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-03-2020, 06:08 AM   #6779
Beck
old hand
 
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Phuket, Thailand
Posts: 1,940
Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

Wasnt it Belarus that had a lot of fake matches recently?
Beck is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-03-2020, 06:30 AM   #6780
MisterRodriguez
journeyman
 
MisterRodriguez's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2017
Location: UE
Posts: 299
Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

https://www.theguardian.com/football...betting-mayhem
MisterRodriguez is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-03-2020, 08:33 AM   #6781
Nepeeme2008
veteran
 
Nepeeme2008's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2017
Location: In position
Posts: 2,026
Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by MisterRodriguez View Post
Good story.

Belarus and Nicaragua are the only pro leagues going right now.
I would never have bet on them before the crisis for exactly those type of reasons.
We can only hope everything is on the up and up.
Or, maybe we should just stop betting(gambling is such an ugly word) altogether. Game starts soon. Fingers crossed!

Nice to see you back. I guess?

Last edited by Nepeeme2008; 04-03-2020 at 08:48 AM.
Nepeeme2008 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-03-2020, 12:04 PM   #6782
Nepeeme2008
veteran
 
Nepeeme2008's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2017
Location: In position
Posts: 2,026
Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

Wow, what a sweat. We dodged a bullet guy's, after all those shots on goal, we still managed to win the u2. Lol, just kidding.

One shot on goal! Stomach that for a minute. One shot during the whole match and Gorodeja manages to win the match 1 to nill.
At least they seem to have a solid defence. Either that or Belshina are that bad. How are we to know? I don't have a clue who's on the roster,lol.
Honest question, does anyone think the game was rigged?
This is why I honestly feel bad that I hinted that the game might be a draw and steered anyone in that direction. Sorry about that.

Well, it didn't take a genius to figure out this would be a low scoring game. Any idiot could've known that. And the bet wasn't the best value, but if I'm going to post a pick , it has to be a safe enough pick.
I've never posted anything here that wasn't well thought out and studied thoroughly.

That was it from me guys. Like I said before, I'm hanging up my golden boots.

Wish everyone good luck with their bets in the future.
Nepeeme2008 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-04-2020, 05:41 AM   #6783
MisterRodriguez
journeyman
 
MisterRodriguez's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2017
Location: UE
Posts: 299
Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

It isnt time to bet or work.Its time to learn,evolve,and get ahead of the competition
MisterRodriguez is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-04-2020, 01:54 PM   #6784
Nepeeme2008
veteran
 
Nepeeme2008's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2017
Location: In position
Posts: 2,026
Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by MisterRodriguez View Post
It isnt time to bet or work.Its time to learn,evolve,and get ahead of the competition
That's so true. Very well put.
Nepeeme2008 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-04-2020, 05:37 PM   #6785
MisterRodriguez
journeyman
 
MisterRodriguez's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2017
Location: UE
Posts: 299
Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

Quizas to optimistic to be honest as i dont see us having many sports,namely the markets i attack..before 2021

Mass events are off till a vaccine happens..dark times

Soccer is viable economically at closed doors though,but 1 player with corona and all canceled again so i dont know ,this looks very uncertain atm
MisterRodriguez is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 04-22-2020, 11:28 AM   #6786
CousinGreg
enthusiast
 
CousinGreg's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2019
Posts: 70
Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

FC Slutzk been a money tree in Belarus
CousinGreg is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-17-2020, 12:42 AM   #6787
Nick Diaz
adept
 
Nick Diaz's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2012
Location: The floor at Tristar
Posts: 1,037
Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

we got some soccer starting up thi weekend
Nick Diaz is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-17-2020, 06:08 AM   #6788
Risto234
centurion
 
Join Date: Dec 2019
Location: Estonia
Posts: 157
Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by CousinGreg View Post
FC Slutzk been a money tree in Belarus
They were that yesteday aswell as long as you bet against them for a change ...

I believe they lost like 0:3 to BATE ...
Risto234 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-31-2020, 03:01 PM   #6789
zioxcult
journeyman
 
Join Date: Nov 2009
Posts: 337
Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

If one sportsbook has a bet for a player "To get a card", while another has "To be booked", are these the same things? I tried looking it up and saw a few hints that maybe one was only referring to yellows, but it was vague.
zioxcult is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-31-2020, 05:05 PM   #6790
Hammerzitzen
journeyman
 
Join Date: Dec 2011
Posts: 230
Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by zioxcult View Post
If one sportsbook has a bet for a player "To get a card", while another has "To be booked", are these the same things? I tried looking it up and saw a few hints that maybe one was only referring to yellows, but it was vague.
yup, same thing
Hammerzitzen is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-01-2020, 08:17 AM   #6791
Risto234
centurion
 
Join Date: Dec 2019
Location: Estonia
Posts: 157
Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

Next tuesday in Dfb Pokal semifinal

Saarbrücken vs Bayer Leverkusen

Leverkusen -2 AH @1.67- bet365

When these odds came out some days ago they were even greater so i'd imagine they will continue dropping even further in coming days ... Leverkusen should technically win this game by 2 or more goals even if they field reserve team against this 4th league side but since it's cup semifinal i hope they dont "rest" too much firstteamers ... Also Leverkusen will be in much better physical condition cause they can actually play competive games unlike their hosts i think ...
Risto234 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-19-2020, 10:02 AM   #6792
rickroll
oddly catty
 
rickroll's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2011
Location: serene, serene, puissant, puissant
Posts: 8,215
Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

little late, forgot about this one

i think the crowd and books are still giving home field advantage whereas it's been pretty well argued that it's crowd influence over refrees that gives the advantage as the one thing that can be objectively measured (extra time added ie if ahead extra time is less than expected, if behind it's more than expected) would indicate it does exist for refs

teams that aren't circled by a track (ie closer crowd) get a much stronger bonus - thus indicating the crowd does influence decisions, even if it's subconcsious

so anyway, i've often been firing away at the away team where i felt they were better than the home team as it was often at plus odds

today i bet SOU over BOU, SOU is just a whole other tier above

bet
SOU .3u
SOU clean sheet .2u
SOU win either half 1u
SOU win both halves .1u
SOU DNB 1.5u

then after Ings goal i doubled down on
.5u 1-0 +496
.5u +617
.5u +1340
rickroll is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-19-2020, 10:17 AM   #6793
bc11816
journeyman
 
Join Date: Sep 2019
Posts: 256
Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

I like to bet high varience long shots/large odds between 60 and 100/1. I also bet single matches and smaller odds, but i guess right now these kind of bets is what i am looking at mostly.


Totenhem Leicester Away win and 4+ goals @ 9/1

Man United Chelsea Away win and 4+ goals @ 8/1

accumuatror 70/1


These types of bets are hgh risk , my moto here is that i win 1 in cca 30 bets.
bc11816 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 07-25-2020, 11:44 AM   #6794
rickroll
oddly catty
 
rickroll's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2011
Location: serene, serene, puissant, puissant
Posts: 8,215
Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

these are all for <1u just based off gut feelings, if something is ever model driven will say so - will update later one total soccer results - right now database a mess

TOT -182
CHE -114 - considering going bigger on this
LEI/MUN Draw +246
LEI/MUN u2.5 -103
NEW/LIV o3, 3.5 +103
WHU +203 - love this a lot actually - going to dive deeper later and put down up to 3u on it if still like it then
ARS -111 - considering going bigger on this
EVE +122
rickroll is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-02-2020, 05:12 PM   #6795
OFA
old hand
 
OFA's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2013
Posts: 1,531
Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

Any of you lads full time sports bettors? I have a sports betting group with 55,000 people in it. Potential business opportunity. PM me
OFA is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-23-2020, 11:13 AM   #6796
Risto234
centurion
 
Join Date: Dec 2019
Location: Estonia
Posts: 157
Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

Champions League final today so ...

PSG over 4 corners @1.85

They are never going to park the bus here and even if they dont storm to attack like headless chicken from 1st min they should still collect couple corners during the match ...
Risto234 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-24-2020, 01:30 AM   #6797
JSkelts
grinder
 
JSkelts's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2017
Location: Miming in the choir
Posts: 421
Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

Gearing up for the PL starting up in a few weeks and hoping to build a model for DFS purposes. I've found these two papers that I'm planning on reading through for ideas:

https://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdo...=rep1&type=pdf

https://link.springer.com/content/pd...018-5747-8.pdf

But I was wondering if anyone more experienced had other resources to suggest?
JSkelts is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-24-2020, 01:57 AM   #6798
rickroll
oddly catty
 
rickroll's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2011
Location: serene, serene, puissant, puissant
Posts: 8,215
Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by JSkelts View Post
Gearing up for the PL starting up in a few weeks and hoping to build a model for DFS purposes. I've found these two papers that I'm planning on reading through for ideas:

https://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdo...=rep1&type=pdf

https://link.springer.com/content/pd...018-5747-8.pdf

But I was wondering if anyone more experienced had other resources to suggest?
hells yeah, on my reading list
rickroll is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 08-24-2020, 03:32 AM   #6799
JSkelts
grinder
 
JSkelts's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2017
Location: Miming in the choir
Posts: 421
Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by rickroll View Post
hells yeah, on my reading list
Quarter jukebox domination is on the horizon
JSkelts is offline   Reply With Quote

Reply
      

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off


Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 09:32 AM.


Powered by vBulletin®
Copyright ©2000 - 2020, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright © 2008-2020, Two Plus Two Interactive
 
 
Poker Players - Streaming Live Online