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01-17-2020 , 06:15 AM
Today in Spain

Leganes vs Getafe

over 2 goals @2.25

I guess now i'm ready to see lowscoring game with 0-1 goals
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01-17-2020 , 05:04 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Risto234
Today in Spain

Leganes vs Getafe

over 2 goals @2.25

I guess now i'm ready to see lowscoring game with 0-1 goals
I thank Leganes for this magnificent first half perfomance
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01-17-2020 , 05:30 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Risto234
I thank Leganes for this magnificent first half perfomance
Nice score.
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01-23-2020 , 10:47 AM
Liverpool fc vs Wolverhampton

Liverpool to win both halves +275

Over 10 corners -120
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01-23-2020 , 11:31 AM
Wolverhampton vs Liverpool

Wolves over 1.0 goals @2.53
Wolves over 5.0 corners @2.62

Portuguese national team has scored in every home leaguegame this season and in h2h game at Anfield few weeks ago they got like 5-6 corners so obv at home i expect them to attack even more ... And with that in mind perhaps they can give their fans something to cheer about ...
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01-23-2020 , 11:47 AM
If you believe that Wolves will score over1.0 Risto, then these props have to be a no brainer

Match Result/Total Goals
Liverpool/over 2.5 +125

Match Result/Both teams to score
Liverpool/yes +225

If things go bad, all of yesterday's good work will go for naught.
Perhaps they can give us something to cheer about...

Last edited by Nepeeme2008; 01-23-2020 at 11:54 AM.
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01-23-2020 , 01:04 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nepeeme2008
If you believe that Wolves will score over1.0 Risto, then these props have to be a no brainer
It's usually quite realistic to take these markets whenever underdog is playing at home cause i doubt despite being the weaker team they shouldn't be too naive to just defend for 90 minutes ...

Ofcourse Liverpool -1 AH might also be good bet if they will make another impressive perfomance just like away vs Leicester but let's see ...
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01-23-2020 , 01:48 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Risto234
It's usually quite realistic to take these markets whenever underdog is playing at home cause i doubt despite being the weaker team they shouldn't be too naive to just defend for 90 minutes ...

Ofcourse Liverpool -1 AH might also be good bet if they will make another impressive perfomance just like away vs Leicester but let's see ...
Wolverhampton are a decent team with a lot of talent.
Playing at home, they should be good for at least one goal.
It would not shock me to see a draw or even an upset.
Having said that, we have to go with the numbers.
Wolvs have fallen behind at halftime a league leading 13 times.
plus, with the total dominance of Liverpool this season, the reason I'm betting on Liverpool winning both halves.

Last edited by Nepeeme2008; 01-23-2020 at 02:04 PM.
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01-23-2020 , 02:39 PM
@Nepeeme2008

Its when our confidence is over the roof that we have to be extra cautious.




Quote:
Originally Posted by Nepeeme2008
Liverpool fc vs Wolverhampton

Liverpool to win both halves +275

Over 10 corners -120
at least you buy some kind of backup
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01-23-2020 , 02:48 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by PaiDaMorte
@Nepeeme2008

Its when our confidence is over the roof that we have to be extra cautious.






at least you buy some kind of backup
Can't agree with you more. Although the corners prop bet is the only one that's independent of Liverpool winning. So maybe I didn't do the greatest of jobs!
Maybe I should have included each wager is one equal unit?
I didn't bet the house. If all of today's bets go sour, it'll simply erase yesterday's profit.
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01-23-2020 , 03:01 PM
I'm sure your comments were well intended. And I'm really a humble person.
But I feel like I always have to explain and defend myself here.


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01-23-2020 , 06:07 PM
Wolverhampton vs Liverpool/ money line
Liverpool to win, -141 win

Wolverhampton vs Liverpool/ prop bet
Match Result/Total Goals over 2.5 +125, win

Wolverhampton vs Liverpool / prop bet
Match Result/Both teams to score
Liverpool/yes +225, win

To win both halves, +275
Liverpool, win

Total corners - over 10/ yes, -120
Loss
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01-23-2020 , 08:38 PM
In Football(Soccer), there are a few elite teams spread throughout the Europeans leagues, and then there's everybody else.

For example: France Lique 1
PSG MP W D L
20 16 1 3
So psg have won 16 out of 20 matches and drew 1 and lost 3
This is an outstanding record. But unfortunately, the money line for these elite teams is so bad, we often opt for a second option. We take for example Nantes, who are in 4th place. Hey, they have 10 wins 2 draws and only 8 losses. And they're in fourth after all.
But, They are not a good team. Not a good team to put your money on. Because, for a punter, unless you specialize in draws, there is no such thing as a draw. For a punter, it's the same thing for our purposes as a loss. So Nantes is a 500 team. They have 10 wins but also 10 losses.
Now, on the other hand, Soccer, as mentioned, has a few teams that are almost guaranteed money.
Now, I haven't invented the wheel and I guess this stuff is obvious.
Forget those mediocre teams. Unless nantes plays the bottom of the league team I guess.
We have to take advantage and find ways to make money with those few dominant teams. Sometimes an option aside from props, what I do is use 2 team parlays with multiple combinations. There is no team sport where you'll find such gaurenteed money and where one team is so dominant outside of soccer.

Hey, sometimes Aces will get cracked. But it doesn't mean we're going to stop playing them.
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01-24-2020 , 07:02 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nepeeme2008
Wolverhampton vs Liverpool/ money line
Liverpool to win, -141 win

Wolverhampton vs Liverpool/ prop bet
Match Result/Total Goals over 2.5 +125, win

Wolverhampton vs Liverpool / prop bet
Match Result/Both teams to score
Liverpool/yes +225, win

lTo win both halves, +275
Liverpool, win


Total corners - over 10/ yes, -120
Loss
would love to know how you graded that as a win.
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01-24-2020 , 08:05 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by riverboatking
would love to know how you graded that as a win.
He even put one bet there that he even had mention before the end of the game.

he's on denial, dont bother.
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01-24-2020 , 09:55 AM
I concede 3 things.
1) I also thought I lost that one.
I guess you guys are as inexperienced as I am. Liverpool won the game. Thus they won both halves. The book came up with it, not me.
2) which brings us to 2. I'm still a novise. I admit. I'm not trying to do a d-ck swinging contest.
I've learned a lot from the sports betting forum in the last year and I'm simply trying to share information. Just like the people who share information on this forum, especially the crowd source thread.
Again, I put these pics out there for others to use, if they feel like they think it worthwhile. Not to show off how smart I am
3) I concede I don't have the best communication skills.

I'm not going to bother responding anymore. This doesn't have to be some silly contest.
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01-24-2020 , 10:08 AM
Instead of trying to put each other down, let's try to make some money together.
These are two examples of what I meant by 2 team parlay
Using the best teams with the best chance of winning together, wagering 1 unit, as we would with a single team wager, to get a better return. And at the same time, securing ourselves if one team fails to deliver.
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01-24-2020 , 10:56 AM
Man you got to learn to screenshot instead of taking photos with your camera, my eyes are bleeding
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01-24-2020 , 11:07 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by rickroll
Man you got to learn to screenshot instead of taking photos with your camera, my eyes are bleeding
Lol. I know
I'm downloading from my gallery to tapatalk
It's the easiest way I know.

Psg/Juve

Glasgow Celtic/psg

You know Rick, I'm trying to be a grown up about those accusations that we're thrown at me. That I somehow faked my results.

And I said I wouldn't comment on it anymore. But the more I think about it, I do get upset.
I shouldn't have to download any screenshots to defend myself.
I was just posting results like the guys do at the Crowdsource thread.

And, WTF would anyone think I would fake my results?
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01-24-2020 , 11:30 AM
To be fair there are bets where it's broken down by halves as if score were wiped at halftime and also where it's just recording the total score at the halftime and then full time intervals so that's where the confusion is from.

Screenshots are easily faked though. Not accusing you faking them here but if someone doesn't believe you sending a screenshot likely won't change anything

Well done with the Liverpool game BTW

For what it's worth I think you come in here with a lot of eagerness and optimistic expectations in a field that has broken the joy in most people. Toss in that this is an area ripe with fraud and you get a pretty hostile audience at times.

Early in the season I was going to put a wager on MCI and then realized that basically betting exact score 0-0, 0-1, 1-1, 0-2,1-2, 2-2, 0-3, 1-3, 2-3 etc etc all the way to MCI scoring 7 goals and Watford scoring up to 2.

I'd spent all this time calculating the odds and at worst case scenario (hitting lowest payout multiple exact score) it'd still pay much better than if I just bet MCI to win and it also gave upside if an unexpected score occured.

I thought I was so smart. Began thinking how this was a brilliant system and I should start looking to applying it as a +EV to bet lopsided games.

MCI scored 8 goals. Had they not scored 8 goals I would have continued to think I tapped into some genius. These guys have seen a lot of people who thought they tapped into genius before who hadn't accounted for MCI scoring 8 goals.

Agreed though they are unnecessarily harsh but that's pretty standard in the sports betting threads
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01-24-2020 , 11:47 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by rickroll
To be fair there are bets where it's broken down by halves as if score were wiped at halftime and also where it's just recording the total score at the halftime and then full time intervals so that's where the confusion is from.

Screenshots are easily faked though. Not accusing you faking them here but if someone doesn't believe you sending a screenshot likely won't change anything

Well done with the Liverpool game BTW

For what it's worth I think you come in here with a lot of eagerness and optimistic expectations in a field that has broken the joy in most people. Toss in that this is an area ripe with fraud and you get a pretty hostile audience at times.

Early in the season I was going to put a wager on MCI and then realized that basically betting exact score 0-0, 0-1, 1-1, 0-2,1-2, 2-2, 0-3, 1-3, 2-3 etc etc all the way to MCI scoring 7 goals and Watford scoring up to 2.

I'd spent all this time calculating the odds and at worst case scenario (hitting lowest payout multiple exact score) it'd still pay much better than if I just bet MCI to win and it also gave upside if an unexpected score occured.

I thought I was so smart. Began thinking how this was a brilliant system and I should start looking to applying it as a +EV to bet lopsided games.

MCI scored 8 goals. Had they not scored 8 goals I would have continued to think I tapped into some genius. These guys have seen a lot of people who thought they tapped into genius before who hadn't accounted for MCI scoring 8 goals.

Agreed though they are unnecessarily harsh but that's pretty standard in the sports betting threads
I'm way over it. Thanks rick. You're one of the most solid guys on this forum.
Why should I get upset anyways? I'm just a screen name. Nobody knows who I really am anyway. So I should never take anything personally.

Yes, as far as coming across as over enthusiastic and as far as causing people to question because of it, that's totally legit.

To be totally transparent, I'm still new to this and have a very small sample size of success. And as you can see, I'm small time. 20 dollars a unit
I'm not making a living with this!
Sure, I realize that a lot of people who try sports betting fail. And I have a long way to go before I establish myself, to myself, nobody else, that I'm a consistent winner. But sure, I am optimistic.

Anyway, about a year ago, when I went on a downswing in poker, and decided to give this a try, I was pretty clueless. I bet on sports before of course, but I was clueless. If I do manage to have any long term success at this, I'll owe it all to the guys on this forum like TomG and Rigs who aren't afraid to share their knowledge. For that I'm grateful.

Do you think I've kissed TomG's and Rigs's ass enough!

Last edited by Nepeeme2008; 01-24-2020 at 12:14 PM.
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01-24-2020 , 11:52 AM
By the way rick. I think that particular wager must be one of the toughest to figure out. I haven't even bothered to try.
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01-24-2020 , 09:48 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nepeeme2008
I concede 3 things.
1) I also thought I lost that one.
I guess you guys are as inexperienced as I am. Liverpool won the game. Thus they won both halves. The book came up with it, not me.
lolololololololololol.

what book is this?
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01-25-2020 , 06:03 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Nepeeme2008
I guess you guys are as inexperienced as I am. Liverpool won the game. Thus they won both halves. The book came up with it, not me.
Quote:
Originally Posted by riverboatking
lolololololololololol.

what book is this?
Liverpool were ahead at both half time and full time, thats why you won the bet.

Since soccer is generally a low scoring sport, having a bet were a team need to win each half individually is very rare.
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01-25-2020 , 04:11 PM
Good explanation. Thanks
I'm not an established long, term winner, so I won't bother to post anymore. I guess I need to establish better credentials, although I don't know how that's supposed to happen when you don't post anything.

I don't get this toxicity.
Really laughable but, who cares.
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