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Football (soccer) betting thread Football (soccer) betting thread

01-07-2010 , 02:51 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by rocky1210
thorn, what you think about the other spanish cup games,
mallorca looks good value, good run and 4th in the league
Just quickly ran the preliminary numbers. Vallecano playing well also, though one division down. more importantly R.Vallecano have an excellent def at home conceding less than average vs teams scoring more than average.
Mallorca looks value @ around 2.4 or better and also the under 2.5 @ 1.6ish.
though I have no injury data for this game so i'd look for 2.5+ FT result & 1.7+ for the unders.
I havent even looked at the prices I could be way off. I don't have time to look any further into it since it kicks off in 10mins and my 5 month old son is sat on my lap whingeing oh and my dinners ready also ..........lolfamilylifeaments!

GL
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01-07-2010 , 04:27 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by thorntoc
Betfair has a specials market on premier league weekend(Sat/Sun/Mon) game postponements.

Book is currently 113% Back-Lay 86.5%
so likely no value yet till the liquidity fills up.

Zero Games @ 5.5

1 - 2 Games @ 3.45

3 Games or more @ 1.52

fixtures:
Sat
12:45 GMT Hull - Chelsea
15:00 GMT Arsenal - Everton
15:00 GMT Burnley - Stoke
15:00 GMT Fulham - Portsmouth
15:00 GMT Sunderland - Bolton
15:00 GMT Wigan - Aston Villa
17:30 GMT Birmingham - Man Utd
Sun
13:30 GMT West Ham - Wolves
16:00 GMT Liverpool - Tottenham
Mon
20:00 GMT Man City - Blackburn

thoughts guys?

Had a look through the weather reports and it seems a decent chance all games could go ahead
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01-08-2010 , 12:21 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by thorntoc
Had a look through the weather reports and it seems a decent chance all games could go ahead
Remember, the pitches may be playable, but many games still get called off with the fans safety in mind. A lot of weekend games have already been called off in the lower divisions.

I don't think I'll get involved with this bet though.
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01-08-2010 , 04:52 AM
ganzo, any picks for the WE?

Im kinda busy, cant sort out games by myself bigtime...

But need action

Regards
A234

\€ Btw i dont c any value in the BF special bet except we had a rapid change in weather - wich we dont have untill next week prolly...

Last edited by A234; 01-08-2010 at 04:54 AM. Reason: \€
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01-08-2010 , 10:45 AM
Premiership postponed matches

So far:
Fulham
Burnley
Sunderland

with Liverpool having asked for their match to be postponed on Sunday.

Quote:
...while the games at Arsenal, Birmingham and Hull are all set to go ahead provided the safety of spectators attending the fixtures can be guaranteed.
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01-08-2010 , 01:52 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by aao
Premiership postponed matches

So far:
Fulham
Burnley
Sunderland

with Liverpool having asked for their match to be postponed on Sunday.
we may not get any prem games the way it's going..........meanwhile in the Championship WestBrom V NottmForest going ahead tonight so far as we know.
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01-08-2010 , 03:03 PM
Nott.F. defence away from home is excellent but they're not much of a goal threat. WBA's def is also good but they're putting the goals away too.
my picks
WBA V Nott'm Forest @ 2.04
WBA HT V Nott'm Forest @ 2.82
Nottm Forest To Score in Both Halves: NO @ 1.18

Last edited by thorntoc; 01-08-2010 at 03:17 PM.
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01-09-2010 , 01:29 AM


what do you guys think? its french btw, i bet on "team to qualify to 1/4 champions league"

seems a pretty easy bet to me, though im new to sportbetting, maybe there are some things i dont understand like calculating odds and stuff
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01-09-2010 , 03:31 AM
interesting thread
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01-09-2010 , 06:02 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Saxophone


what do you guys think? its french btw, i bet on "team to qualify to 1/4 champions league"

seems a pretty easy bet to me, though im new to sportbetting, maybe there are some things i dont understand like calculating odds and stuff
thought you'd got RealMadrid to qualify vs Lyon @ 2.79
just realised it's an accumulator............not sure bout this one
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01-09-2010 , 07:16 AM
Arsenal V Everton @ 1.4
Arsenal HT V Everton @ 1.95
>1.5gls Arsenal V Everton @ 1.27
>2.5gls Arsenal V Everton @ 1.83
>3.5gls Arsenal V Everton @ 3
>4.5gls Arsenal V Everton @ 6
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01-09-2010 , 07:57 AM
I took Arsenal v Everton o3.5 @ 3.05 because I'm bored and want to watch the game with some interest attached
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01-09-2010 , 08:54 AM
09/01:

wigan vs aston villa @2.30
arsenal vs everton @1.40

then an accumulator on:

@2.11
leeds vs wycombe
norwich vs exeter
apoel vs enp
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01-09-2010 , 08:58 AM
wigan/AV been PP
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01-09-2010 , 09:10 AM
>2.5gls Leeds V Wycombe @ 1.69
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01-09-2010 , 09:23 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by thorntoc
wigan/AV been PP
Lol, did u c the non EPL matches for today :s
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01-09-2010 , 10:25 AM
loads been pp i presume
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01-09-2010 , 10:59 AM
Cardiff V Blackpool @ 1.89
>2.5gls Cardiff V Blackpool @ 1.95
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01-09-2010 , 11:09 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by thorntoc
wigan/AV been PP
Yeah, just realised. Bet was placed last night though but updated this thread before re-checking.
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01-09-2010 , 01:14 PM
ManUtd HT V Birmingham @ 2.34
>3.5gls Birmingham V ManUtd @ 4
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01-09-2010 , 02:40 PM
>2.5gls Sevilla V Santander @ 2.04
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01-10-2010 , 09:59 AM
>2.5gls Leic/Ipsw @ 2.08
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01-10-2010 , 11:39 AM
1.32 Real Madrid 5.7 Mallorca 11.3

Mallorca is fighting for a champions league spot. Last season H2H: a W @ Real 1-3, and an L 0-3 to the Galacticos at home. Mallorca got beat 4-2 by Barcelona in November. Just two days ago, they lost to Rayo Vallecano in a close Copa del Rey match away, where Mallorca were down to 10 men since 35th minute.

Their squad from the Thursday Cup game:
RCD Mallorca: Lux, Mattioni, Nunes, Rubén, Corrales, Julio Álvarez, Bruno China (m. 79 Castro), Pezzolano, Tuni (m. 39 Josemi), Víctor Casadesús, Keita (m. 60 Martí) - Mattioni is the guy who managed to collect to yellows and make his teammates run that much harder for an hour. This bunch is proud, but I suspect they might be just not deep enough to be playing on two days' rest. Yet.

Real Madrid feature full squad, minus Van Nistelrooy and Pepe and possibly Kaka who is coming off an injury but is available to play (but IMHO will not play 90' in any case). Their formidable attacking 3-4 are healthy: Ronaldo, Benzema, Higuain, and - sort of - Van der Vaart. Not sort of healthy, but sort of formidable.

Mallorca are exceptional on defense except the very very best, and if they can conjure enough ball possession to put two behind Barcelona's Valdez, they surely can score one against a usually suspect Madrid's D. Although, last two games this defense allowed exactly zero goals (6-0 at home and 0-0 away a week ago).

My guess is 2-1, with at least one goal either off a penalty kick awarded for a Mallorca foul on Ronaldo, or him dribbling around 2-3 foes and mockingly parachuting the ball over the helpless goalie. That guy is a privilege to watch, just like Federer in tennis or Kobe in hoops.

P.S. Speaking of Federer... Did Gilette drop Henry from their ads after his handball unfairly ditched Ireland from the World Cup?
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01-10-2010 , 02:01 PM
gone for RM and the overs in this one
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01-10-2010 , 02:15 PM
R.Madrid V Mallorca @ 1.35
R.Madrid HT V Mallorca @ 1.8
>1.5gls R.Madrid V Mallorca @ 1.17
>2.5gls R.Madrid V Mallorca @ 1.52
>3.5gls R.Madrid V Mallorca @ 2.28
>4.5gls R.Madrid V Mallorca @ 3.9
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