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Old 06-04-2013, 10:51 PM   #5201
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

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Originally Posted by CHRONICFEVER View Post
vig give us some world qualifier locks
Would call these suggestions, def not locks

Malawi/Namibia under 2 goals
Kenya +.5 goals

I'll look at some more for all the games Friday
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Old 06-05-2013, 02:58 AM   #5202
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

gl !
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Old 06-05-2013, 02:11 PM   #5203
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

England U21 - Italy U21

Under 2,5 goals @ 1,7 (1,5 units)

Sao Paulo - Goias

Under 2,5 goals @ 2,24 (1 unit)
Draw or Goias @ 3,3 (0,5 units)

Criciuma - Santos

Under 2,5 goals @ 1,94 (1 unit)

Portuguesa - Internacional

Over 2,5 goals @ 2,44 (0,75 units)

edit: added Italy @ 2,54 (1 unit).. slightly favored italy even before i saw englands starting XI.. i really like italy here

Last edited by frikkiw40; 06-05-2013 at 02:24 PM.
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Old 06-05-2013, 08:01 PM   #5204
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

Gremio - Vitoria

Draw or Vitoria @ 3,1 (0,5 units)

Ponte Preta - Atletico PR

Over 2,5 goals @ 2,26 (1 unit)

Vasco Da Gama - Atletico MG

Over 2,5 goals @ 2,2 (1 unit)
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Old 06-05-2013, 08:39 PM   #5205
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

thevig,

do you use a model to choose your bets? analyse stats?
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Old 06-05-2013, 09:05 PM   #5206
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

Flamengo - Nautico

Flamengo -1 @ 2,58 (1 unit)

Bahia - Botafogo

Bahia or Draw @ 1,83 (1,5 units)

very borderline on the under 2,5 in cruzeiro-corinthians.. likely to be a cagey midfield battle and tough to find a breakthrough but i don't really like it at only 1,78
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Old 06-06-2013, 12:29 AM   #5207
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

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Originally Posted by YouFaiil View Post
thevig,

do you use a model to choose your bets? analyse stats?
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Old 06-06-2013, 01:43 AM   #5208
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

loooooool
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Old 06-06-2013, 04:51 AM   #5209
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

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Originally Posted by frikkiw40 View Post
England U21 - Italy U21

Under 2,5 goals @ 1,7 (1,5 units) W

Sao Paulo - Goias

Under 2,5 goals @ 2,24 (1 unit) W
Draw or Goias @ 3,3 (0,5 units) W

Criciuma - Santos

Under 2,5 goals @ 1,94 (1 unit) L

Portuguesa - Internacional

Over 2,5 goals @ 2,44 (0,75 units) L

edit: added Italy @ 2,54 (1 unit).. slightly favored italy even before i saw englands starting XI.. i really like italy here W

Gremio - Vitoria

Draw or Vitoria @ 3,1 (0,5 units) L

Ponte Preta - Atletico PR

Over 2,5 goals @ 2,26 (1 unit) W

Vasco Da Gama - Atletico MG

Over 2,5 goals @ 2,2 (1 unit) L

Flamengo - Nautico

Flamengo -1 @ 2,58 (1 unit) L

Bahia - Botafogo

Bahia or Draw @ 1,83 (1,5 units) W
6-5 ----> +3.235

Overall: 32-47 | W-ratio: 40,5% | Net: -8.875 units
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Old 06-06-2013, 08:58 AM   #5210
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

SPAIN U21 RUSSIA U21
Spanish team likes to try and outplay their opponents, they prefer attacking style but their defensive line with captain De Gea is also excellent. In last nine qualification games they recieved only one goal and that gives good picture on how hard it is to score against them.
Russians will have hard time in offensive part because their best forward Kokorin is injured as well as key ofenssive players Dzagoev and Smolov. This is the first match in group, Spain won't take too much risk and I expect that Russians will have a lot of problems against spanish powerful midfield and solid defense. Russians also had problems in the qualifiers with almost all key players on disposition they were unable to score against Albania and Portugal.
Bet: away team to score
Tip: No
Odds: @ 2.10
Risk: 3/10
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Old 06-06-2013, 02:05 PM   #5211
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

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Originally Posted by GunnerX View Post
SPAIN U21 RUSSIA U21
Spanish team likes to try and outplay their opponents, they prefer attacking style but their defensive line with captain De Gea is also excellent. In last nine qualification games they recieved only one goal and that gives good picture on how hard it is to score against them.
Russians will have hard time in offensive part because their best forward Kokorin is injured as well as key ofenssive players Dzagoev and Smolov. This is the first match in group, Spain won't take too much risk and I expect that Russians will have a lot of problems against spanish powerful midfield and solid defense. Russians also had problems in the qualifiers with almost all key players on disposition they were unable to score against Albania and Portugal.
Bet: away team to score
Tip: No
Odds: @ 2.10
Risk: 3/10
+1 good analysis, ended up tailing it

for tonight:

Coritiba - Fluminense

Draw or Fluminense @ 1,84 (1,5 units)

Netherlands U21 - Germany U21

Netherlands or Draw @ 1,65 (2 units)
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Old 06-06-2013, 02:13 PM   #5212
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

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Originally Posted by Snap709 View Post
Anyone got a view on the u21 championships?
after watching most of the first games (the dutch and germans play in a little bit) it looks like it's going to be pretty stale, norway have a decent side with loads of A-team capped players and have a slim outside chance of gaining the 2nd spot if they can muster a win against a lacklustre england side that has little to no attacking bite unless zaha can perform for them.. spain will almost definitely win their group and the netherlands/germany will duke it out for the 2nd spot.. italy and (especially) spain look head and shoulders above the grade early on while the dutch team looks good on paper with a number of very talented and experienced players in their side, a lots going to be riding on the game against a germany side that i know little about other than that most of them play in the bundesliga. A couple of them are starters at decent teams and holtby is obviously class, i expect germany to be solid but have too many, at least perceived, weak links and they won't go far unless a lot of things go their way
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Old 06-06-2013, 03:05 PM   #5213
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

Sides
  1. Finland
  2. Iceland
  3. Belgium -1 goal
  4. Russia +.5 goal
  5. Albania
  6. Croatia -1.5 goals

Draws
  1. Sweden/Austria
  2. Para/Chile
  3. Monte/Ukraine

Totals
  1. Tina/Colo over 2.5
  2. Venezuela/Bol under 2.5
  3. Latvia/Bos over 2.5
  4. Italy/Czech under 2
  5. USA/Jam over 2

Got a little bit of everything, just throwing darts with these plays.

Last edited by TheVig; 06-06-2013 at 03:17 PM. Reason: Hopefully chronic finds some locks
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Old 06-06-2013, 03:46 PM   #5214
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by TheVig View Post
Sides
  1. Finland
  2. Iceland
  3. Belgium -1 goal
  4. Russia +.5 goal
  5. Albania
  6. Croatia -1.5 goals

Draws
  1. Sweden/Austria
  2. Para/Chile
  3. Monte/Ukraine

Totals
  1. Tina/Colo over 2.5
  2. Venezuela/Bol under 2.5
  3. Latvia/Bos over 2.5
  4. Italy/Czech under 2
  5. USA/Jam over 2

Got a little bit of everything, just throwing darts with these plays.
hope to the heavens that you're right about iceland, if we win this one we're going to be in a ridiculously good position to make playoffs.. we are historically good on home soil, maybe i have selective memory but we beat italy here in 2005 i think it was, czech republic around the same time (jan koller, young rosicky, milan baros etc.) and held spain to a draw not so long ago ... obviously lost to some poor teams as well, we aren't exactly world beaters, but the icelandic team often elevate their performance by some degree at home
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Old 06-06-2013, 09:02 PM   #5215
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

World cup qualifiers

libya-congo

draw @ 3,3 (0,5 unit)

finland-belarus

under 1,5 @ 3,05 (0,5 unit)

latvia-bosnia

over 2,5 @ 2,05 (1 unit)

latvia-bosnia

bosnia @ 1,61 (2 units)

sudan-ghana

ghana @ 1,7 (3 units)

croatia-scotland

over 2,5 @ 2,06 (1 unit)

Albania-Norway

Albania or Draw @ 1,72 (1,5 units)

Montenegro-Ukraine

under 2,5 goals @ 1,64 (1,5 units)

Iceland-Slovenia

Iceland @ 2,6 (1 unit)



let the good times roll
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Old 06-07-2013, 01:31 AM   #5216
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by frikkiw40 View Post
World cup qualifiers

libya-congo

draw @ 3,3 (0,5 unit)

finland-belarus

under 1,5 @ 3,05 (0,5 unit)

latvia-bosnia

over 2,5 @ 2,05 (1 unit) *

latvia-bosnia

bosnia @ 1,61 (2 units)

sudan-ghana

ghana @ 1,7 (3 units)

croatia-scotland

over 2,5 @ 2,06 (1 unit)

Albania-Norway

Albania or Draw @ 1,72 (1,5 units) *

Montenegro-Ukraine

under 2,5 goals @ 1,64 (1,5 units)

Iceland-Slovenia

Iceland @ 2,6 (1 unit) *



let the good times roll
I like ur style
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Old 06-07-2013, 04:38 AM   #5217
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheVig View Post
Sides
  1. Finland
  2. Iceland
  3. Belgium -1 goal
  4. Russia +.5 goal
  5. Albania
  6. Croatia -1.5 goals

Draws
  1. Sweden/Austria
  2. Para/Chile
  3. Monte/Ukraine

Totals
  1. Tina/Colo over 2.5
  2. Venezuela/Bol under 2.5
  3. Latvia/Bos over 2.5
  4. Italy/Czech under 2
  5. USA/Jam over 2

Got a little bit of everything, just throwing darts with these plays.
Beligium -1 super LOCK
USA/Jamaica over 2 is lockish too
Lets get it!
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Old 06-07-2013, 01:34 PM   #5218
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

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Originally Posted by TheVig View Post
I like ur style
kind of surprise me that you could get norway as favorites, they have been far from convincing, have already lost to albania in Oslo and are playing in a difficult setting tonight in Albania, kind of shocked that it's still 0-0 in latvia, they got a red card in the 11' minute
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Old 06-07-2013, 01:57 PM   #5219
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

Yea, who wants to go to Albania. Let alone for soccer. Bosnia running things now
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Old 06-07-2013, 02:04 PM   #5220
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

Good start so far, Finland was my fav side today.
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Old 06-07-2013, 02:28 PM   #5221
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

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Originally Posted by TheVig View Post
Good start so far, Finland was my fav side today.
yeah i got a really good start going with the qualifiers as well, if ghana can hold out with 10 men then i think i'm in for a good one tonight
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Old 06-07-2013, 02:38 PM   #5222
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

ahh, so annoying my book wasnt even offering all matches.
i got belgeum ML, Over 2 in USA game, Under 2 in italy game and over 2.5 in argentina

lets get this money!!

oh yeah and iceland too!
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Old 06-07-2013, 03:36 PM   #5223
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

This Iceland game is crazy
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Old 06-07-2013, 03:38 PM   #5224
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

Haha 4 goals in 30 mins
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Old 06-07-2013, 04:00 PM   #5225
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

This is such a sick sweat, our tournament basically riding on this
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