doesnt seem to be much traffic on this thread hehe hope some of you got 2/1 on croatia at -1.price has been cut right in now.i have a sick amount lumped on this.ireland moving out in price due to robbie keane injury..this is a major plus for people looking to bet on the game because he is ready for retirement in my view and has been a drain on the balance of the team.ireland at 5/4 is a steal now.
serbia are pretty much backable -1 now i hope it moves out to 2/1ish tho
id also add holland -2 at 5/2 for a smaller bet at a good price..dutch are free scoring and demolished them 4-1 away.i expect more of the same.be lucky!

Any thoughts on Mexico vs US tonight? Thinking about a sweat/fan bet on US at +0.5 +160, any value there?

Tonight sees plenty of WC Qualifiers and despite there normally not really being any value in the 1x2 markets due to 2 teams being hugely mis matched there does tend to be value in the goals markets, The main one being the 2-3 goals market. For anyone who doesnt know what 2-3 goals means it is for the game to end with 2 or 3 goals in total which happens a good % of the time.

It covers 7 popular scorelines. 2-0, 2-1, 3-0, 0-2, 1-2, 0-3 and the 1-1 draw. Odds on this bet are generally 1.95 or 2.00


Now tonights standout group for this bet is GRP A which after 15 games played 11 games have ended 2-3 goals (73%) It doesn't take a maths genius to know that a 73% strikerate on 1.95 shots is showing good profit.

1 unit would be showing a 6.45pt profit and that is just taking the minimum odds of 1.95.

3 games tonight in GRP A and all 3 have good potential to end 2-3 goals.

Belgium vs Macedonia: 2-3 Goals @ 2.00

All 5 of Belgiums games so far have ended 2-3 goals including both home games. 3 of Macedonias 5 games have ended 2-3 goals so far with 1 of their 2 away games.

The previous game between these 2 in the grp ended 2-3 goals which was a 2-0 away win for Belgium.

Between Belgiums 2 home games and Macedonias 2 away games 3 out of those 4 have ended 2-3 goals with the reverse fixture ending 2-3 goals.



Wales vs Croatia: 2-3 Goals @ 1.95

4 of Wales 5 games so far have ended 2-3 goals with both games at home ending 2-3 goals. 4 of Croatias 5 games have also ended 2-3 goals with both away games ending 2-3 goals.

Between Wales 2 home games and Croatias 2 away games all 4 have ended 2-3 goals with the reverse fixture in the grp also ending 2-3 goals which was a 2-0 home win for Croatia.


Serbia vs Scotland: 2-3 Goals @ 1.95

Only 2 of Serbias 5 games so far have ended 2-3 goals with 1 of their 2 home games ending 2-3 goals. 4 of scotlands 5 games have neded 2-3 goals including both away games.

Between serbias 2 home games and Scotlands 2 away games 3 of those 4 have ended 2-3 goals. The reverse fixture ended 0-0 in Scotland.



The above 3 all have a good chance of ending 2-3 goals IMO. Backing all 3 to level stakes would show at least a 30% ROI for 2 out of 3 and a 97% ROI for 3 out of 3.

For those who like to be adventurous the treble paying just over 13/2 (7.60) looks decent.

If 1 of these were to let us down I would go with the Serbia game. Serbia put 6 goals past Wales but havent scored a single goal in any of their other 4 games. Serbia at home should score past a weak Scottish defence though so will stick it in my bets tonight but I wouldsn't be surprised to see a 0-0/1-0/0-1 scoreline.


The above 3 look the best options tonight but there is a few more with decent chances.


Montenegro vs England: 2-3 Goals @ 1.95.

Apart from when England have played Minnows San Marino and Moldova their games have ended 2-3 goals. I cant see the game being a goalfest so 4+ seems unlikely but expect goals. 1-1 or England to win it 2-0/2-1 seem the most likely.

Others I like are,


N. Ireland vs Israel: 2-3 Goals @ 1.95
Denmark vs Bulgaria: 2-3 Goals @ 1.95
Ukraine vs Moldova: 2-3 Goals @ 2.05


The above 7 all look decent shouts tonight. Any 4 from 7 will show a level stake profit and just 3 from 4 would only show a small loss.


Above 7 all 10pt singles for me and also taking out the N.Ireland and Ukraine games and the 5 that are left I am doing 5 x 1pt 4folds and 1 x 1pt 5 fold

All 7 pays 115/1 which could be worth a shilling or 2


Total Staked: 76pts

Total Returned: ??

GRP A in tonights WC Qualifiers looks good for 2-3 goals.

15 games have been played so far in Grp A and 11 of those 15 have ended 2-3 goals (73%)

Odds on tonights 3 games ending 2-3 goals are 1.95, 1.95 & 2.00. Any 2 would show at least a 30% ROI and all 3 would show a 97% ROI.

I'm In

In Estadio Azteca? No. If I could get +160 for the US to score at all, I might consider it.

Decent night tonight, 7 selections and had 6 winners. Just 1 goal short in the Belgium game for a 115/1 7fold.

I highlighted Grp A was the grp to be with for games ending 2-3 goals and I said 2 out of 3 would show a 30% ROI and 2 out of 3 is what we got although how Belgium only won 1-0 is baffling.

70pts staked on the singles for a return of 118pts making a 48pts profit and a ROI of 68.57%

6pts were staked on the multiples and a return of 14.52pts for a profit of 8.52pts and a ROI of 142%

Shame the Blegium game only ended 1-0 as another goal would of made all the difference to the returns tonight



Overall: 76pts staked, 132.52 returns for a profit of 56.52pts and a ROI of 74.37%


See You All @ The Weekend

good work

from which bookie did you take the posted odds?

pretty sick! i found the prediction after kickoff and looking through it thought you had it all up(until i saw the belgian result) its amazing how many football bets at long odds get left down by a solitary goal or last minute goal!will def have a look at what your following from now on.

Dammit I didn't end up gettin that bet in.

Ya should have, would have been a great cover
Bad beat if ya had Mexico

Ya the non-foul call was horrible in the box late.

Adding:
Gunners/Reading over 3.5 goals +105 1u
Everton/Stoke under 2 goals +140 1u
Southampton +.5 goals -130 1.3u

wow. on fire.

Shudda parlayed all but draw!
Thevig is like the sharky of EPL

Very nice day, thanks for the picks

Originally Posted by TheVig
15-9-2 +10.8u

City/Newcastle over 3 goals -105 1.05u
Spurs/Swans draw +225 1u
Wigan -105 1.05u
West Ham +130 1u
Man United -1 goal +110 1u


6-1-1 +5.75u

21-10-3 +16.55u

nastyyy

thevig,

how come you only bet 1u per bet? shouldnt u alter ur bet size for maximum roi?

I have a limited br for the time being. Comfortable with a unit a game for now.

21-10-3 +16.55u

Liverpool/Villa over 3 goals +110 1u

0-0-1 0u

21-10-4 +16.55u

21-10-4 +16.55u

QPR/Fulham over 2.5 goals -105 1.05u

Always nice to get a bet in at halftime. A big thanks to Chris Samba, keep up that quality play.

1-0 +1u

22-10-4 +17.55

huge value but you can't pick which team has it?

It's Sarah Palin

edit - Spaming not allowed

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