Quote:
Originally Posted by Gazo
I would suggest you get rid of these highlighted overs from your football betting and save yourself some money though thorntoc
Why so Gazo?
You prob know all this already
Morton have the league's worst defensive record away from home at 26 goals conceded in 10 games and this is vs teams scoring 0.07 less goals per game than the league average.
Partick are scoring well above average(+0.32) at home and against teams conceding just below average gpg
Morton's attack is mediocre but there def is so weak that they can't really push forward and attack. Their only real option imo is to play 11 men behind the ball and hope for a 0-0,1-1 though even if they sacrificed any kind of attacking threat(unlikely) I would still expect them to concede a goal(possibly 2).
PT have strong defense also. They can push forward,play attacking football as they have little to worry about on the defensive end.
I have expected goals in the range of 0-1 for Morton and 2-5 for PT.
Obviously my bets are weighted toward the more likely events though imho all the overs are +ev