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very frustrating - was incredibly close with the 0-0 and draw, but i think in hindsight the under2.5 would have been the safer bet (instead of a draw).
bolton gave away a 2 goal lead so meh... thanks to thorntoc i clawed back some units with bolton to win at HT.
that was so close. The result in that game (Ast/Liv) was polarized to 0-0,0-1,1-0,1-1 imho. I shoulda 'dutched' those scorelines.
my picks for today so far
Arsenal HT V Portsmouth @ 2.26
>1.5gls Portsmouth V Arsenal @ 1.3
>2.5gls Portsmouth V Arsenal @ 1.93
>3.5gls Portsmouth V Arsenal @ 3.35
>4.5gls Portsmouth V Arsenal @ 6.8
Couldn't see any value in a straight arsenal FT bet, my model has them @ 1.63 and currently available @ 1.56 on BF. HT i've got em as value @ 2.02 or better so went for that one. Also there's some value in backing Portsmouth FT (currently @7.2 on BF) imo though it would be counter-intuitive to take that bet and the Arsenal HT so I just went for the lower variance option in Arsenal HT.
I like the over in this one (sorry aao). I'll have a look at the other games later
GL all