Football (soccer) betting thread - Page 159 - Sports Betting

wba is very close to a play...

wolves are also close but managerial changes (which are usually a short term positive for teams) have been awful for them

Quote

04-11-2012 , 02:20 PM

#3953

sayhey69

adept

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 831

adding:

WBA Win @15.99 risking .5u

Quote

04-11-2012 , 02:31 PM

#3954

yeaFMLdegen

grinder

Join Date: Nov 2011 Posts: 555

Quote:

Originally Posted by sayhey69

adding:

WBA Win @15.99 risking .5u

you seem to be doing alot of betting on the underdog vs the top 4 or 5 teams in EPL. any particular reason for this? are you taking into account potential starting lineups?

i personally don't see how WBA EVER win at city away without having something big to play for (like possible relegation/europe) or huge changes in city's starting lineups. I did however like your bet on blackburn home win vs liverpool last night.

Quote

04-11-2012 , 02:56 PM

#3955

sayhey69

adept

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 831

Quote:

Originally Posted by yeaFMLdegen

i dont have a strategy to bet against certain teams. i think generally the top teams are overvalued (or may be i undervalue them, well see in the long run). i do look at injuries and suspensions. this was a no play for me but the odds jumped right before this one i assume from the announcement that tevez, silva and aguero are starting. imo tevez is not a positive.

playing at home is a pretty big advantage for me and i tend to think theres value in bottom teams playing top teams at home.

youve actually pointed out some things i already have on my list to look at when i have time in the offseason.

Last edited by sayhey69; 04-11-2012 at 03:03 PM.

Quote

04-11-2012 , 03:03 PM

#3956

yeaFMLdegen

grinder

Join Date: Nov 2011 Posts: 555

also does anyone ever bet in play on games? ive found quite a bit of value at times looking at lines throughout football games

getting a good knowledge of spanish/italian football is a must for any serious sports betters, there's more value avoiding the EPL for the most part and betting on games abroad/lower leagues imo

Quote

04-11-2012 , 03:08 PM

#3957

OHaiSup

centurion

Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 105

gl with that last pick sayhey

also gl with the qpr match ill need it too

Quote

04-11-2012 , 03:12 PM

#3958

sayhey69

adept

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 831

Quote:

Originally Posted by OHaiSup

gl with that last pick sayhey

also gl with the qpr match ill need it too

city match isnt looking good for me

. im due for some losses

Quote

04-11-2012 , 03:14 PM

#3959

yeaFMLdegen

grinder

Join Date: Nov 2011 Posts: 555

also i wouldn't have bet on wolves win at home vs arsenal if you gave me 20/1, this new guy is absolutely clueless.

There is barely a player in the whole squad which you could class as "premiership quality"

there has also been some bickering/fighting within the squad (captain and keeper almost fighting on pitch a week or so ago) with ZERO chance of staying up.

edit: trying not to sound result orientated with arsenal already 2 up, but just look at the results in the last 10 games (especially the last 5 or 6)

Quote

04-11-2012 , 03:32 PM

#3960

sayhey69

adept

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 831

Quote:

Originally Posted by yeaFMLdegen

ya. thats why i didnt want to touch the game. at 20/1 i think i might have had to go for it tho... and as far as being results oriented, its pretty hard to not be since theres never really a clear cut "correct" decision

Quote

04-11-2012 , 03:51 PM

#3961

TheVig

adept

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 940

refs screwing wigan again

Quote

04-11-2012 , 03:54 PM

#3962

TheVig

adept

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 940

maybe a make up call there, was a clear goal kick

Quote

04-11-2012 , 03:56 PM

#3963

sayhey69

adept

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 831

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheVig

refs screwing wigan again

go go go wigan. i cant find a decent stream for the game

Quote

04-11-2012 , 04:05 PM

#3964

OHaiSup

centurion

Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 105

omg wigan

QPR -

((

Quote

04-11-2012 , 04:35 PM

#3965

OHaiSup

centurion

Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 105

Quote:

Originally Posted by sayhey69

go go go wigan. i cant find a decent stream for the game

hold?

Quote

04-11-2012 , 04:41 PM

#3966

Saywut

journeyman

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 227

Quote:

Originally Posted by Saywut

I took both Wigan and Swansea win gogoogog

Ship wigan, ty for the tip sayhey

Quote

04-11-2012 , 04:44 PM

#3967

sayhey69

adept

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 831

Quote:

Originally Posted by sayhey69

today: 0-2 -2u
ytd: 34-35 +27.299u

Wigan Win @9.12 risking .5u W
Swansea Win @3.64L

Swansea U2' @1.885L

WBA Win @15.99 risking .5u L

today: 1-3 +1.56u
ytd: 35-38 +28.859u

sick day for the epl

Quote

04-11-2012 , 04:46 PM

#3968

OHaiSup

centurion

Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 105

gg sayhey!

Quote

04-11-2012 , 04:57 PM

#3969

TheVig

adept

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 940

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheVig

Ytd 115-102-10 +38.06u
Bets on a 1-5u scale

Under 2.5 goals in Everton and Sunderland 1.3u to win 1u L
Over 3 goals in Newcastle and Bolton 2u to win 2.3u L
Draw in Villa and Stoke 1u to win 2.37u W
Fulham +.5 goal 1.3u to win 1u W

Rovers +.5 goal 1.19u to win 1u L

Wigan +1.5 goals 1.3u to win 1u W
Over 3 goals in Gunners and Wolves 4.12u to win 4u P
Over 2.5 goals in QPR and Swans 2u to win 2.1u W

4-3-1 +1.98u

Ytd 119-105-11 +40.04u

Quote

04-12-2012 , 03:46 AM

#3970

OHaiSup

centurion

Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 105

any tips for today guys?

Quote

04-13-2012 , 10:28 AM

#3971

TheVig

adept

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 940

Ytd 119-105-11 +40.04u
Bets on a 1-5u scale

Over 3 goals in Norwich and City 3.06u to win 3u
Over 3 goals in Sunderland and Wolves 2u to win 2.2u
Over 2.5 goals in Swans and Rovers 3.15u to win 3u
QPR to win 1u to win 2.62u

Quote

04-13-2012 , 11:11 AM

#3972

Comfortably Nub

newbie

Join Date: Jun 2011 Posts: 47

Out for the weekend, logged these at various time throughout the week.

Pescara - Livorno, Pescara to win, 1.5u @ 1.70
Udinese - Inter, Udinese to win, 1u @ 2.40
Norwich - Manchester City, O2,5 2u @ 1.50
Swansea - Blakburn, O2,5, 1.5u @ 1.85

Palermo - Parma, Palermo to win, 1u @ 2.25
Rayo Valecanno - Atl. Madrid, O2,5, 2u @ 1.78
Lorient - Montpellier, Montpellier to win, 1u @ 2.10

Torino - Sassuolo, Torino to win, 1.5u @ 2.00

Quote

04-13-2012 , 03:06 PM

#3973

sayhey69

adept

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 831

not really liking anything this weekend. may be norwich @6.74 but if city plays like they did against wba, norwich has no chance.

havent looked at totals yet.