Quote:
Originally Posted by A234
Nice Picks. Ill be on the lookout for more
What do you think about Ajax v Nijmegen? Any value in that?
Regards
A234
ty - let's hope theyre winners hehe.
dutch football... im not so sure about. i always tended to think that value-wise, there was very little in it compared with the risk you'd be taking. for example, a lot of the games will be handicap picks (-1 or -2) for tiny odds. sure, the gulf in the strength of the teams is huge in the eridivisie and one team does often win by a large margin... to me it just seems a bit hit and miss depending on which team decides to turn up and play each game and id rather invest a unit or two on top of another game i feel more confident on instead of here.
happy to give my 2 cents though... im not claiming to be an expert or anything though.
regarding the ajax vs NEC match, this fixtures string of results over the last 6 years have given us a 2-0, 0-0, 2-0, 1-1, 1-0 and 1-0. at home, ajax's last 5 results have been high winning margin affairs, with a
5-1,
5-1,
2-1,
4-0 and
3-0 from present to past respectively... so the -2 handicap pick looks good in that regard with a free scoring ajax team. compare that with NECs away form over the last 5 and we see that theyve been close games, with a 2-
2, 3-
3, 2-
0, 1-
1 and 2-
3 all against mid-table opposition. idk, it's prety hard to say anything with confidence... no idea which side will turn up or if the game is likely to be open or tight...
if i HAD to pick something itd be
more goals to be scored in the second half of the game @1.55 on gamebookers.com. the bet gets refunded if the number of goals is equal in each half which is definitely a plus side imo.
the stats for ajax's last 5 home games are above, but the HT scores have been
5-1,
1-0,
1-0,
1-0 and
1-0... compared with NEC's away HT scores of 1-
1, 1-
1, 1-
0, 0-
1 and 0-
1.