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12-19-2011 , 01:43 PM
In the end went for:

Lay Birmingham - Crystal Palace vs Birmingham 1u @ 2.44

Almost certainly a poor bet given my lack of knowledge but Birmingham feel very short to me.
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12-19-2011 , 01:55 PM
Backed Palace earlier in the week at 2.9 and felt that was too big

Last edited by kolotoure; 12-19-2011 at 01:55 PM. Reason: im such a fish :(
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12-19-2011 , 02:06 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by xXDeuce7Xx
I'm curious to know what makes you confident in the over in the palace game? Palace have scored 5 goals in their last 10 league games, and Birmingham have scored 10 goals in their last 10.
It is just a feeling sometimes I have. I can not explain it...but most of the time it brought in some cash still very confident about this...
It is not I always place bets like that ...but in a very few moments I get this feeling. So if you like money take a ride on the money train.

Could even imagine to place a small bet for over 3...still think about it.

this will not go under...It is like an early xmas gift...

But we will see later...my advice...place this bet
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12-19-2011 , 02:10 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fanatic
It is just a feeling sometimes I have. I can not explain it...but most of the time it brought in some cash still very confident about this...
It is not I always place bets like that ...but in a very few moments I get this feeling. So if you like money take a ride on the money train.

Could even imagine to place a small bet for over 3...still think about it.

this will not go under...It is like an early xmas gift...

But we will see later...my advice...place this bet
level?
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12-19-2011 , 02:32 PM
Over 2.5 is 4/7 for the Samp game tonight. Hmmmmm, something fishy there I reckon.
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12-19-2011 , 02:40 PM
look at the amount of goals in pescara games this season...
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12-19-2011 , 02:41 PM
Yeah I know, still extremely short for a Samp game tho. Italian football tho, staying well clear.

--

Wondering if Mr Stroud (the ref for the Palace/Brum game) will get a bit card happy tonight in front of the Sky cameras. Line is 3.5 but both these sides don't tend to pick up bookings. Tempted by the over, gonna wait for team news before deciding.
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12-19-2011 , 02:44 PM
I wouldn't bet on it but it's not artificially short imo
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12-19-2011 , 03:13 PM
Backing Palace win, and covering my losses with the draw.

Birminghams away record is awful, cant see them winning.
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12-19-2011 , 04:12 PM
21 minutes gone and the york v kidderminster over 2.5 is in the bag.
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12-19-2011 , 04:58 PM
Palace do not look like winning so far after 52 mins

Edit - Thinking about trading out!
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12-19-2011 , 05:32 PM
Nooooooooooooooooooo 5 minutes to go

Last edited by ONE OF A KIND; 12-19-2011 at 05:35 PM. Reason: and lol 16 corners
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12-19-2011 , 05:38 PM
GOAlllllllllllllllllllllll
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12-19-2011 , 05:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by The_Bends
In the end went for:

Lay Birmingham - Crystal Palace vs Birmingham 1u @ 2.44

Almost certainly a poor bet given my lack of knowledge but Birmingham feel very short to me.
Happy with this. Still not sure that betting purely on table position/form is a good idea verses having actual knowledge but 1 for 1 I suppose.
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12-19-2011 , 06:28 PM
Samp games really are money for Under 2.5. Don't matter who they play, I really should start betting on their games.

Sucks they lost tho
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12-20-2011 , 08:44 AM
Kev, do think there will be alot of cards in the blackburn / bolton game? Its almost a relegation decider already!

Thinking about backing it big.
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12-20-2011 , 10:01 AM
Blackburn - Bolton Over 2,5 and 3 goals

Wolves - Norwich Over 2,5 ad 3 goals

3 of these teams cover 2,5 goals over 75% of the time this season, and Norwich covers 65%, so I'm expecting goals tonight. Blackburn possibly fielding a back four of Lowe, Hanley, Samba, Pedersen doesn't hurt either.
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12-20-2011 , 11:01 AM
Sorry guys...yesterday I was way off...



Nurnberg – Greuther Furth
Over 2,5

Siena – Fiorentina
Over 2,5 - value deluxe

Blackburn – Bolton
Over 2,5

Gijon – Mallorca
Over 2,5

Nancy – Marseille
Over 2,5
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12-20-2011 , 11:33 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fanatic
Sorry guys...yesterday I was way off...



Nurnberg – Greuther Furth
Over 2,5

Siena – Fiorentina
Over 2,5 - value deluxe

Blackburn – Bolton
Over 2,5

Gijon – Mallorca
Over 2,5

Nancy – Marseille
Over 2,5
Can confirm Siena - Fiorentina
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12-20-2011 , 11:44 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fanatic
Sorry guys...yesterday I was way off...



Nurnberg – Greuther Furth
Over 2,5

Siena – Fiorentina
Over 2,5 - value deluxe

Blackburn – Bolton
Over 2,5

Gijon – Mallorca
Over 2,5

Nancy – Marseille
Over 2,5
Why is there such great value in Siena - Fiorentina? Both teams avg ~1 goal for and ~1 goal against this season. Siena's games have covered 2,5 4/15 times this season, and Fiorentina's games have covered 6/15. You really should state your reasoning for this, rather than just calling it a "value deluxe" play, since a basic look at the teams performance this season suggests the opposite.
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12-20-2011 , 12:40 PM
good friend of mine started recording his soccer picks on twitter and had a few nice picks last times...soccer capper

i guess it's worth the try
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12-20-2011 , 12:45 PM
Well last night wasnt great 1 out of 4 but I think they where good bets, How many times are Birmingham going to get 14 corners in a game and the goal with 5 minutes to go. Dont really fancy anything tonight so have done some small bets on these -

Blackburn v Bolton - Blackburn -1

Blackburn v Bolton - Yakubu anytime Scorer

Wolves v Norwich - Over 2.5

Cagliari v AC Milan - Under 2.5

Looking forward to tomorrows games.
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12-20-2011 , 12:54 PM
Any thoughts on Lyon Match tommorow night ?
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12-20-2011 , 12:57 PM
** Tempted to take Lyon @ 6/4 despite it seeming like a bit of a banana skin.
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12-20-2011 , 03:38 PM
Tonight:

Back The Draw - Wolves vs Norwich 1u @ 3.6
Lay Blackburn - Blackburn vs Bolton 1u @ 2.2

Pretty happy with these. Thinking

Blackburn are terrible - Bolton are only in terrible form. Blackburn price looks more wrong than either the Draw or Bolton price. If Bolton had hit 4 (which they very nearly did) I'd have taken them for the win outright

Norwich look like a decent outfit. Wolves are average at best. Think Wolves are too solid to lose at home but a draw seems a good shout at that price
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