Quote:
Originally Posted by The_Bends
No problem thanks for the guidance.
Picks today:
Back Man Utd - QPR vs Man Utd 1u @ 1.5
Back The Draw - Man City vs Arsenal 1u @ 4
Back Aston Villa - Aston Villa vs Liverpool 1u @ 4.8
Back Tottenham - Tottenham vs Sunderland 1u @ 1.42
Really surprised by how long Villa are today. My bet here is way off the current line & I still like it. Liverpool are favourites certainly but not by the amount the market is saying IMO.
Bet review
Back Man Utd - QPR vs Man Utd 1u @ 1.5 - Won
Happy. Felt a good bet before & even better in the game. United super motivated at the moment.
Back The Draw - Man City vs Arsenal 1u @ 4 - Lost
Very happy. Would have taken the bet at much shorter odds. The way the game played out & the stats at the end suggest that the draw comes in way more than 25% of the time.
Back Aston Villa - Aston Villa vs Liverpool 1u @ 4.8 - Lost
Not happy at all. Got my money in
way too short. Completely mugged by the movement of the line & judged the game wrong. Villa without Agbonlahor & Bent are a relegation team on yesterday's evidence. Lesson for the future - when the line goes mental look harder for a reason why.
Back Tottenham - Tottenham vs Sunderland 1u @ 1.42 - Won
Meh. Not very happy with this bet. I felt Spurs would certianly win after the Stoke result but with the team they put out they did not bring home the win 70% of the time IMO. Not a great bet.
Day review
$ result - down 1.13 units
Feeling on review - Positive-ish
Losing day but very happy with the City/Arsenal bet. Villa game a good learning experience - onto midweek.