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Old 12-09-2011, 11:04 PM   #2701
rocky1210
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by kolotoure View Post
Who has been better than Real so far this season?
some distance is a bit of a stretch.

Barca are the obvious answer, and with some dubious results and what looks a little lack of interest this season (won it all/too much pressure??), I still think they are still the team that can easily make Real look ordinary. See last 4 seasons.

But, yes, Real are the best team at the moment, killing their opposition, though Spanish league is lolbad for competition.

I would imagine UCL price for Real would drop if they beat Barca tonight though
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Old 12-09-2011, 11:06 PM   #2702
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

ytd 51-45-7 +20.85u
bets on a 1-5u scale

Draw between Bolton and Villa 1u to win 2.3u
Over 3 goals in Man United and Wolves 1.1u to win 1u
Draw between Norwich and Newcastle 1u to 2.25u
Swansea to win 1u to win 1.55u
Over 2.5 goals in Gunners and Everton 2.5u to win 2u
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Old 12-10-2011, 01:25 AM   #2703
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

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Originally Posted by xXDeuce7Xx View Post
What are the odds on these overs on average, like 1.35 at most?
1.35-1.40 is about average. One game last night was 1.78 but between that and 1.35 is the normal.

I parlayed combinations of 5 matches together last night, for average odds of about 6 to 1.
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Old 12-10-2011, 05:51 AM   #2704
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

Card Index total for last 5 league meetings between Real/Barca

95, 145, 80, 100, 60

The line tonight is 8.5 (85)
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Old 12-10-2011, 06:05 AM   #2705
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by rocky1210 View Post
some distance is a bit of a stretch.

Barca are the obvious answer, and with some dubious results and what looks a little lack of interest this season (won it all/too much pressure??), I still think they are still the team that can easily make Real look ordinary. See last 4 seasons.

But, yes, Real are the best team at the moment, killing their opposition, though Spanish league is lolbad for competition.

I would imagine UCL price for Real would drop if they beat Barca tonight though
If you looked at the 2 teams objectively this year with no knowledge of prior performance the gap has been pretty big
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Old 12-10-2011, 06:07 AM   #2706
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

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Originally Posted by bw89 View Post
I'm sure there's no way the market has taken into account the fact that the league average is so high...

edit: That's not to say there's no potential profitability there, just that backing overs blind sounds like a really bad idea.
There are a couple of teams games who I would avoid as they have some idea about how to defend
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Old 12-10-2011, 06:50 AM   #2707
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

my sportsbook has decent odds for over 2,5s in jupiler league. is it really that common?
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Old 12-10-2011, 07:28 AM   #2708
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

Real v Barca

So on the booking side of things, the value seems to be which team will get the most booking points. Real 3/4 and Barca at 6/4 or the draw 6/1.

Any thoughts?
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Old 12-10-2011, 07:28 AM   #2709
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

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my sportsbook has decent odds for over 2,5s in jupiler league. is it really that common?
It's the highest scoring league in Europe. Do some research on soccerway and you will see the couple of teams who tend to defend a little better and avoid them
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Old 12-10-2011, 09:57 AM   #2710
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

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It's the highest scoring league in Europe. Do some research on soccerway and you will see the couple of teams who tend to defend a little better and avoid them
cheers
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Old 12-10-2011, 10:48 AM   #2711
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

Arsenal race to 2 @ 1.75. Free money is nice!
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Old 12-10-2011, 11:21 AM   #2712
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

Everton usually give Arsenal a run for their money at the Emirates.
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Old 12-10-2011, 11:32 AM   #2713
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

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Everton usually give Arsenal a run for their money at the Emirates.
Everton were woeful last week but have started much better this week
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Old 12-10-2011, 11:38 AM   #2714
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

i finally get to bet on first goal scorer, in el clasico!

so i'm doing it even if theres no value. any ideas?

Cristiano Ronaldo +400
Lionel Messi +400
Gonzalo Higuain +500
Karim Benzema +500
David Villa +550
Pedro Rodriguez +650
Alexis Sanchez +700
Ricardo Kaka +700
Isaac Cuenca +800
Jose Maria Callejon +800
Angel Di Maria +900
Andres Iniesta +1000
Cesc Fabregas +1000
Mesut Ozil +1200
Dani Alves +1500
Xavi Hernandez +1500
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Old 12-10-2011, 11:42 AM   #2715
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

I would wait to see the starting lineups
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Old 12-10-2011, 02:00 PM   #2716
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by TheVig View Post
ytd 51-45-7 +20.85u
bets on a 1-5u scale

Draw between Bolton and Villa 1u to win 2.3u L
Over 3 goals in Man United and Wolves 1.1u to win 1u W
Draw between Norwich and Newcastle 1u to 2.25u L
Swansea to win 1u to win 1.55u W
Over 2.5 goals in Gunners and Everton 2.5u to win 2u L
2-3 -1.95u

ytd 53-48-7 +18.9u
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Old 12-10-2011, 02:04 PM   #2717
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

ytd 53-48-7 +18.9u

Over 2.5 goals in Blackburn and Sunderland 3.6u to win 3u
Spurs to win 2u to win 2u
Over 2.5 goals in Spurs and Stoke 1.15u to win 1u
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Old 12-10-2011, 03:45 PM   #2718
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by nutshot2 View Post
i finally get to bet on first goal scorer, in el clasico!

so i'm doing it even if theres no value. any ideas?

Cristiano Ronaldo +400
Lionel Messi +400
Gonzalo Higuain +500
Karim Benzema +500
David Villa +550
Pedro Rodriguez +650
Alexis Sanchez +700
Ricardo Kaka +700
Isaac Cuenca +800
Jose Maria Callejon +800
Angel Di Maria +900
Andres Iniesta +1000
Cesc Fabregas +1000
Mesut Ozil +1200
Dani Alves +1500
Xavi Hernandez +1500
im gonna go with cristiano ronaldo
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Old 12-10-2011, 05:05 PM   #2719
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

and i was wrong
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Old 12-10-2011, 05:08 PM   #2720
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

lol valdes
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Old 12-11-2011, 01:52 PM   #2721
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by TheVig View Post
ytd 53-48-7 +18.9u

Over 2.5 goals in Blackburn and Sunderland 3.6u to win 3u W
Spurs to win 2u to win 2u L
Over 2.5 goals in Spurs and Stoke 1.15u to win 1u W
2-1 +2u

ytd 55-49-7 +20.9u
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Old 12-11-2011, 05:12 PM   #2722
Phippsy1987
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

Could someone just make sure i'm not missing something (have double checked but still wanna make sure lol)

http://www.bet365.com/extra/extra.as...rLeagueFreeBet

Bet365's free bet on Chelsea v Man City

Profit can be made yeah? If you backed 1X at 1.4 and then 2 right at the start of In Play (assuming it was 0-0 an nothing has happened yet) at 2.8 then you could have profit no matter what outcome?

I kinda like the over/under 4.5 goals in this using the free In Play if it loses. Would only be 7.50 profit for under 4.5 but over would be 155 if i'm right? Thoughts....?
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Old 12-12-2011, 01:23 AM   #2723
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

Against their T&C.

Quote:
free bets or any other promotional offer results in guaranteed customer profits irrespective of the outcome, whether individually or as part of a group, bet365 reserves the right to reclaim the bonus element of such offers and in their absolute discretion either settle bets at the correct odds, void the free bets or void any bet funded by the deposit bonus.
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Old 12-12-2011, 02:43 AM   #2724
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

ytd 55-49-7 +20.9u
bets on a 1-5u scale

Over 2.5 goals in Chelsea and Man City 2.6u to win 2u
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Old 12-12-2011, 10:23 AM   #2725
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Re: Football (soccer) betting thread

So, Citeh / Chelski tonight...

City @ 3.2 (ish) and im thinking a city win... maybe over 3,5 goals?

thoughts?
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