Football (soccer) betting thread - Page 109 - Sports Betting

some distance is a bit of a stretch.

Barca are the obvious answer, and with some dubious results and what looks a little lack of interest this season (won it all/too much pressure??), I still think they are still the team that can easily make Real look ordinary. See last 4 seasons.

But, yes, Real are the best team at the moment, killing their opposition, though Spanish league is lolbad for competition.

I would imagine UCL price for Real would drop if they beat Barca tonight though

Quote

12-09-2011 , 11:06 PM

#2702

TheVig

adept

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 940

ytd 51-45-7 +20.85u
bets on a 1-5u scale

Draw between Bolton and Villa 1u to win 2.3u
Over 3 goals in Man United and Wolves 1.1u to win 1u
Draw between Norwich and Newcastle 1u to 2.25u
Swansea to win 1u to win 1.55u
Over 2.5 goals in Gunners and Everton 2.5u to win 2u

Quote

12-10-2011 , 01:25 AM

#2703

forthwrite

self-banned

Join Date: Nov 2009 Posts: 3,358

Quote:

Originally Posted by xXDeuce7Xx

What are the odds on these overs on average, like 1.35 at most?

1.35-1.40 is about average. One game last night was 1.78 but between that and 1.35 is the normal.

I parlayed combinations of 5 matches together last night, for average odds of about 6 to 1.

Quote

12-10-2011 , 05:51 AM

#2704

kevin21

SE Spokesman

Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 62,020

Card Index total for last 5 league meetings between Real/Barca

95, 145, 80, 100, 60

The line tonight is 8.5 (85)

Quote

12-10-2011 , 06:05 AM

#2705

kolotoure

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Nov 2005 Posts: 15,858

Quote:

Originally Posted by rocky1210

If you looked at the 2 teams objectively this year with no knowledge of prior performance the gap has been pretty big

Quote

12-10-2011 , 06:07 AM

#2706

kolotoure

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Nov 2005 Posts: 15,858

Quote:

Originally Posted by bw89

I'm sure there's no way the market has taken into account the fact that the league average is so high...

edit: That's not to say there's no potential profitability there, just that backing overs blind sounds like a really bad idea.

There are a couple of teams games who I would avoid as they have some idea about how to defend

Quote

12-10-2011 , 06:50 AM

#2707

HurricaneNick

journeyman

Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 365

my sportsbook has decent odds for over 2,5s in jupiler league. is it really that common?

Quote

12-10-2011 , 07:28 AM

#2708

ONE OF A KIND

enthusiast

Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 61

Real v Barca

So on the booking side of things, the value seems to be which team will get the most booking points. Real 3/4 and Barca at 6/4 or the draw 6/1.

Any thoughts?

Quote

12-10-2011 , 07:28 AM

#2709

kolotoure

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Nov 2005 Posts: 15,858

Quote:

Originally Posted by HurricaneNick

my sportsbook has decent odds for over 2,5s in jupiler league. is it really that common?

It's the highest scoring league in Europe. Do some research on soccerway and you will see the couple of teams who tend to defend a little better and avoid them

Quote

12-10-2011 , 09:57 AM

#2710

HurricaneNick

journeyman

Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 365

Quote:

Originally Posted by kolotoure

It's the highest scoring league in Europe. Do some research on soccerway and you will see the couple of teams who tend to defend a little better and avoid them

cheers

Quote

12-10-2011 , 10:48 AM

#2711

kolotoure

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Nov 2005 Posts: 15,858

Arsenal race to 2 @ 1.75. Free money is nice!

Quote

12-10-2011 , 11:21 AM

#2712

kevin21

SE Spokesman

Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 62,020

Everton usually give Arsenal a run for their money at the Emirates.

Quote

12-10-2011 , 11:32 AM

#2713

kolotoure

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Nov 2005 Posts: 15,858

Quote:

Originally Posted by kevin21

Everton usually give Arsenal a run for their money at the Emirates.

Everton were woeful last week but have started much better this week

Quote

12-10-2011 , 11:38 AM

#2714

nutshot2

Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 48,742

i finally get to bet on first goal scorer, in el clasico!

so i'm doing it even if theres no value. any ideas?

Cristiano Ronaldo +400
Lionel Messi +400
Gonzalo Higuain +500
Karim Benzema +500
David Villa +550
Pedro Rodriguez +650
Alexis Sanchez +700
Ricardo Kaka +700
Isaac Cuenca +800
Jose Maria Callejon +800
Angel Di Maria +900
Andres Iniesta +1000
Cesc Fabregas +1000
Mesut Ozil +1200
Dani Alves +1500
Xavi Hernandez +1500

Quote

12-10-2011 , 11:42 AM

#2715

kolotoure

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Nov 2005 Posts: 15,858

I would wait to see the starting lineups

Quote

12-10-2011 , 02:00 PM

#2716

TheVig

adept

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 940

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheVig

ytd 51-45-7 +20.85u
bets on a 1-5u scale

Draw between Bolton and Villa 1u to win 2.3u L
Over 3 goals in Man United and Wolves 1.1u to win 1u W
Draw between Norwich and Newcastle 1u to 2.25u L
Swansea to win 1u to win 1.55u W
Over 2.5 goals in Gunners and Everton 2.5u to win 2u L

2-3 -1.95u

ytd 53-48-7 +18.9u

Quote

12-10-2011 , 02:04 PM

#2717

TheVig

adept

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 940

ytd 53-48-7 +18.9u

Over 2.5 goals in Blackburn and Sunderland 3.6u to win 3u
Spurs to win 2u to win 2u
Over 2.5 goals in Spurs and Stoke 1.15u to win 1u

Quote

12-10-2011 , 03:45 PM

#2718

Victor Kros

veteran

Join Date: Nov 2008 Posts: 3,258

Quote:

Originally Posted by nutshot2

im gonna go with cristiano ronaldo

Quote

12-10-2011 , 05:05 PM

#2719

Victor Kros

veteran

Join Date: Nov 2008 Posts: 3,258

and i was wrong

Quote

12-10-2011 , 05:08 PM

#2720

nutshot2

Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 48,742

lol valdes

Quote

12-11-2011 , 01:52 PM

#2721

TheVig

adept

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 940

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheVig

ytd 53-48-7 +18.9u

Over 2.5 goals in Blackburn and Sunderland 3.6u to win 3u W
Spurs to win 2u to win 2u L
Over 2.5 goals in Spurs and Stoke 1.15u to win 1u W

2-1 +2u

ytd 55-49-7 +20.9u

Quote

12-11-2011 , 05:12 PM

#2722

Phippsy1987

stranger

Join Date: Dec 2011 Posts: 1

Could someone just make sure i'm not missing something (have double checked but still wanna make sure lol)

http://www.bet365.com/extra/extra.as...rLeagueFreeBet

Bet365's free bet on Chelsea v Man City

Profit can be made yeah? If you backed 1X at 1.4 and then 2 right at the start of In Play (assuming it was 0-0 an nothing has happened yet) at 2.8 then you could have profit no matter what outcome?

I kinda like the over/under 4.5 goals in this using the free In Play if it loses. Would only be £7.50 profit for under 4.5 but over would be £155 if i'm right? Thoughts....?

Quote

12-12-2011 , 01:23 AM

#2723

MrBlueNose

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 1,307

Against their T&C.

Quote:

free bets or any other promotional offer results in guaranteed customer profits irrespective of the outcome, whether individually or as part of a group, bet365 reserves the right to reclaim the bonus element of such offers and in their absolute discretion either settle bets at the correct odds, void the free bets or void any bet funded by the deposit bonus.