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11-19-2011 , 07:02 AM
Obviously it is very likely that City will both score and win, but I do think Newcastle are decent value in this game.

They have only conceded 3 goals in their 5 prem league away games this season, admittedly they have come up against nothing like the attacking power of City, but I think they have looked defensively pretty well organised and solid.

I expect them to approach the game similarly to Everton did when they went to City earlier in the season, and Everton did a good job and were pretty unfortunate to fall behind after 65mins or whatever it was. I think Newcastle are better equipped then Everton were that day both as a defensive unit and to offer a threat on the break and at set pieces.

The problem is that City are playing with so much confidence at the moment and they may well have moved up a level themselves since the Everton game. City will probably run out comfortable winners, but I think if Newcastle can get a good first 20mins, there may be some value in them.
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11-19-2011 , 07:04 AM
I think it'll be close too but it's hard to see them winning.

I think they'll be able to stick with them for a while.

Plus, City score 76% of their goals in the 2nd half so I think Newcastle +1 1H is the best play for that match.
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11-19-2011 , 07:18 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by forthwrite
I think it'll be close too but it's hard to see them winning.

I think they'll be able to stick with them for a while.

Plus, City score 76% of their goals in the 2nd half so I think Newcastle +1 1H is the best play for that match.
I agree and I wish I had a better idea on how to price non 1X2 lines, because although I think they will do better than people think it is hard to see how they win the game.

But 11.02 on a team who are top 3, unbeaten this season in 11 games, winning 7 does seem pretty high, no matter what the strength of the team they are up against.
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11-19-2011 , 10:34 AM
Think AC Milan is a good bet tonight vs Fiorentina away, as Fiorentina has couple key players injured for this game.
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11-19-2011 , 10:58 AM
Speaking of injuries, does anyone have a reliable site that lists current injuries in the major leagues?
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11-19-2011 , 01:04 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by xXDeuce7Xx
Speaking of injuries, does anyone have a reliable site that lists current injuries in the major leagues?
donbest.com
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11-19-2011 , 01:43 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheVig
ytd 39-33-6 +19.15u
bets on 1-5u scale

Over 3 goals in Gunners and Norwich 1.1u to win 1u
Over 3 goals in Man City and Newcastle 1.05u to win 1u
Newcastle +1.5 goals 1.05u to win 1u
Draw between Fulham and Sunderland 1u to win 2.2u
Over 2.5 goals in West Brom and Bolton 1.2u to win 1u
Draw between Wigan and Blackburn 1u to win 2.25u
Draw between Swansea and Man United 1u to win 3u
Tailed everything here except Newcastle. Great work!!!!!
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11-19-2011 , 03:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheVig
ytd 39-33-6 +19.15u
bets on 1-5u scale

Over 3 goals in Gunners and Norwich 1.1u to win 1u P
Over 3 goals in Man City and Newcastle 1.05u to win 1u W
Newcastle +1.5 goals 1.05u to win 1u L
Draw between Fulham and Sunderland 1u to win 2.2u W
Over 2.5 goals in West Brom and Bolton 1.2u to win 1u W
Draw between Wigan and Blackburn 1u to win 2.25u W
Draw between Swansea and Man United 1u to win 3u L
4-2-1 +4.4u

ytd 43-35-7 +23.55u
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11-19-2011 , 03:29 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by pokeranibal
Think AC Milan is a good bet tonight vs Fiorentina away, as Fiorentina has couple key players injured for this game.
Good to know. Ty sir.
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11-19-2011 , 03:47 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by pokeranibal
Think AC Milan is a good bet tonight vs Fiorentina away, as Fiorentina has couple key players injured for this game.
Agreed. They have started to look a lot better recently after some unconvincing performances earlier in the year
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11-19-2011 , 04:02 PM
i'm in on milan as well, lets go
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11-19-2011 , 04:04 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by nutshot2
Tailed everything here except Newcastle. Great work!!!!!
good layoff and ty sir
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11-19-2011 , 04:08 PM
terrible offside call in that milan game
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11-19-2011 , 04:12 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheVig
good layoff and ty sir
ya im running good today. hit the 3-1 score as well.
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11-19-2011 , 04:21 PM
Well, this isn't going as I'd envisioned....
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11-19-2011 , 05:24 PM
Wow, great saves. WTF are they doing??!!!
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11-19-2011 , 07:37 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by xXDeuce7Xx
Speaking of injuries, does anyone have a reliable site that lists current injuries in the major leagues?
http://www.physioroom.com/news/engli...jury_table.php

just for epl though
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11-19-2011 , 09:01 PM
ytd 43-35-7 +23.55u
bets on a 1-5u scale

Chelsea to win 1.25u to win 1u
Over 2.5 goals 1.15u to win 1u
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11-20-2011 , 09:03 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mike ski
kev, how did those juplier league games go?
Ugh, 1 game let me down. Still had a profitable night tho so not all bad.

Quote:
Originally Posted by nutshot2
i bet my life on man city tomorrow

kevin's too
Im alive!
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11-20-2011 , 11:48 AM
Premier League Matches Chelsea v Liverpool
20-11-2011 16:00
To Be Booked
D Luiz @ 13/8
Your Bets
Win
Single: D Luiz @ 13/8
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11-20-2011 , 12:52 PM
Thank you sideshow bob
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11-20-2011 , 12:59 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by kevin21
Thank you sideshow bob
And you kev for the tip
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11-20-2011 , 02:29 PM
Gonna stick a few notes on the Over 6 cards in the Madrid/Levante game.

Over 6 Asian cards on bet365 @ 1.875.
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11-20-2011 , 07:05 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheVig
ytd 43-35-7 +23.55u
bets on a 1-5u scale

Chelsea to win 1.25u to win 1u L
Over 2.5 goals 1.15u to win 1u W
1-1 -.1u

ytd 44-36-7 +23.45u
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11-20-2011 , 07:09 PM
ytd 44-36-7 +23.45u
bets on a 1-5u scale

Over 3 goals in Villa and Spurs 1.05u to win 1u
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