Any picks for this weekend's action?

Are you asking me or Risto? Because we 2 are the only one's that have been posting picks the last few months.

I'm still betting both Belarus and Nicaragua, but I won't be posting any picks anymore.

Maybe Rickroll can post some.

My last pick before permanent retirement. One last hurahh for the road.
I promise.

Belshina vs Gorodeya

u2 or the best price you can find from your book

Results so far

Belshina
L 1-3
L0-1

Gorodeya
L0-2
L0-1

It's so early in the season and we don't have much to go on.
I think betting on a draw is also a good bet for this game although I might regret it that I haven't.

Wasnt it Belarus that had a lot of fake matches recently?

https://www.theguardian.com/football...betting-mayhem

Good story.

Belarus and Nicaragua are the only pro leagues going right now.
I would never have bet on them before the crisis for exactly those type of reasons.
We can only hope everything is on the up and up.
Or, maybe we should just stop betting(gambling is such an ugly word) altogether. Game starts soon. Fingers crossed!

Nice to see you back. I guess?

Wow, what a sweat. We dodged a bullet guy's, after all those shots on goal, we still managed to win the u2. Lol, just kidding.

One shot on goal! Stomach that for a minute. One shot during the whole match and Gorodeja manages to win the match 1 to nill.
At least they seem to have a solid defence. Either that or Belshina are that bad. How are we to know? I don't have a clue who's on the roster,lol.
Honest question, does anyone think the game was rigged?
This is why I honestly feel bad that I hinted that the game might be a draw and steered anyone in that direction. Sorry about that.

Well, it didn't take a genius to figure out this would be a low scoring game. Any idiot could've known that. And the bet wasn't the best value, but if I'm going to post a pick , it has to be a safe enough pick.
I've never posted anything here that wasn't well thought out and studied thoroughly.

That was it from me guys. Like I said before, I'm hanging up my golden boots.

Wish everyone good luck with their bets in the future.

It isnt time to bet or work.Its time to learn,evolve,and get ahead of the competition

That's so true. Very well put.

Quizas to optimistic to be honest as i dont see us having many sports,namely the markets i attack..before 2021

Mass events are off till a vaccine happens..dark times

Soccer is viable economically at closed doors though,but 1 player with corona and all canceled again so i dont know ,this looks very uncertain atm

FC Slutzk been a money tree in Belarus

we got some soccer starting up thi weekend

They were that yesteday aswell as long as you bet against them for a change ...

I believe they lost like 0:3 to BATE ...

If one sportsbook has a bet for a player "To get a card", while another has "To be booked", are these the same things? I tried looking it up and saw a few hints that maybe one was only referring to yellows, but it was vague.

yup, same thing

Next tuesday in Dfb Pokal semifinal

Saarbrücken vs Bayer Leverkusen

Leverkusen -2 AH @1.67- bet365

When these odds came out some days ago they were even greater so i'd imagine they will continue dropping even further in coming days ... Leverkusen should technically win this game by 2 or more goals even if they field reserve team against this 4th league side but since it's cup semifinal i hope they dont "rest" too much firstteamers ... Also Leverkusen will be in much better physical condition cause they can actually play competive games unlike their hosts i think ...

little late, forgot about this one

i think the crowd and books are still giving home field advantage whereas it's been pretty well argued that it's crowd influence over refrees that gives the advantage as the one thing that can be objectively measured (extra time added ie if ahead extra time is less than expected, if behind it's more than expected) would indicate it does exist for refs

teams that aren't circled by a track (ie closer crowd) get a much stronger bonus - thus indicating the crowd does influence decisions, even if it's subconcsious

so anyway, i've often been firing away at the away team where i felt they were better than the home team as it was often at plus odds

today i bet SOU over BOU, SOU is just a whole other tier above

bet
SOU .3u
SOU clean sheet .2u
SOU win either half 1u
SOU win both halves .1u
SOU DNB 1.5u

then after Ings goal i doubled down on
.5u 1-0 +496
.5u +617
.5u +1340

I like to bet high varience long shots/large odds between 60 and 100/1. I also bet single matches and smaller odds, but i guess right now these kind of bets is what i am looking at mostly.


Totenhem Leicester Away win and 4+ goals @ 9/1

Man United Chelsea Away win and 4+ goals @ 8/1

accumuatror 70/1


These types of bets are hgh risk , my moto here is that i win 1 in cca 30 bets.

these are all for <1u just based off gut feelings, if something is ever model driven will say so - will update later one total soccer results - right now database a mess

TOT -182
CHE -114 - considering going bigger on this
LEI/MUN Draw +246
LEI/MUN u2.5 -103
NEW/LIV o3, 3.5 +103
WHU +203 - love this a lot actually - going to dive deeper later and put down up to 3u on it if still like it then
ARS -111 - considering going bigger on this
EVE +122

Any of you lads full time sports bettors? I have a sports betting group with 55,000 people in it. Potential business opportunity. PM me

Champions League final today so ...

PSG over 4 corners @1.85

They are never going to park the bus here and even if they dont storm to attack like headless chicken from 1st min they should still collect couple corners during the match ...

Gearing up for the PL starting up in a few weeks and hoping to build a model for DFS purposes. I've found these two papers that I'm planning on reading through for ideas:

https://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdo...=rep1&type=pdf

https://link.springer.com/content/pd...018-5747-8.pdf

But I was wondering if anyone more experienced had other resources to suggest?

hells yeah, on my reading list

Quarter jukebox domination is on the horizon

I LOLed