Quote:
Originally Posted by FallawayJumper
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a bettor might have an edge betting dogs at the very beginning of the season
most of the teams have changed - some a great deal
there is less predictability
that unpredictability tends to favor the dog
even teams that haven't changed much - the 29 year olds are now 30
such players may have lost half a step
This isn't a theory. It's not even really a hypothesis. Do you just want someone to agree so that you can bet on it?
Like it's been said in here before, do a bit of work and backtest it.
FYI, if there's unpredictability, it can't favour one side or the other.