Esport Betting? - Page 59 - Sports Betting - SportsBetting Strategy and Forum

Platinum at the moment; I don't play much, I actually spend more time handicapping/betting on/watching SC2 than playing. I probably have the game understanding of low masters, but I have the APM of a gold league player if that

If you're somewhere from gold to diamond ranked it'd be somewhat competitive; if you're masters plus you'll crush me and if you're bronze or silver i'd crush you. Happy to 1v1 for fun if you're somewhere in that range; otherwise there's no point as one of us would win 95%+ of games

Let's go Parting and Rogue today, crush some terrans

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05-29-2015 , 05:34 AM

#1452

SwoopAE

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Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Adding a half unit on Parting ML -320 to go with the -1.5; anything's possible but I think Parting wins closer to 80% of the time than the 76%ish he has to for this bet to break even in a bo3; Gumiho's TvP is his worst MU atm and Parting's PvT is arguably his best

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05-29-2015 , 06:35 AM

#1453

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Never bet against Fantasy's ability to choke when it counts

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05-29-2015 , 07:05 AM

#1454

SwoopAE

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That went well, up 1.8u so far and will be up either 2u or 2.7u depending whether Parting beats Rogue

Leaning Gumiho over Fantasy if it opens at even money but will take either as a decent dog

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05-29-2015 , 07:10 AM

#1455

SwoopAE

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Firing 0.9u Gumiho +173; definitely too steep expected him to open +120 or so, yes he looked bad vs Parting but Parting makes every Terran look bad

Tempted to go bigger, but want to keep bet sizes consistent

Also effectively have a to win 0.7u freeroll on Parting here

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05-29-2015 , 07:20 AM

#1456

urasofty

journeyman

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 208

had rogue ML vs fantasy & parting -1.5

also like gumiho to win over fantasy

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05-29-2015 , 07:32 AM

#1457

SwoopAE

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Holy crap how did Parting win game 1 looked away assuming he was dead

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05-29-2015 , 07:34 AM

#1458

urasofty

journeyman

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 208

parting god level pvz lmao that was crazy

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05-29-2015 , 07:43 AM

#1459

SwoopAE

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Parting greatest of all time micro

Would be shocked if the final isnt some combination of CJ Hero/Parting/Maru.

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05-29-2015 , 07:58 AM

#1460

urasofty

journeyman

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 208

took gumiho @ +131

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05-29-2015 , 08:08 AM

#1461

SwoopAE

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My instinct was to smash Gumiho at +179 but only had 0.9u since didn't have time to do in depth analysis and was worried i'd missed something should be gg here 1-0 gogogo

Not sure who i've made the most money betting against in SC2 but Fantasy is a strong contender (along with Flash and Jaedong)

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05-29-2015 , 08:09 AM

#1462

urasofty

journeyman

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 208

time for fantasy to go to BW

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05-29-2015 , 08:25 AM

#1463

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Shame Gumiho botched his lead there hopefully he can get it done

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05-29-2015 , 08:44 AM

#1464

SwoopAE

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Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Ouch, close one, was on the right side at +179 though obviously

Hoping to get Rogue at evens again

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05-29-2015 , 08:53 AM

#1465

SwoopAE

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0.8u Rogue for this last one; think Rogue is -110 to -120 range here give or take, i'll pick him to take a 2-1

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05-29-2015 , 09:04 AM

#1466

SwoopAE

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Ouch, thought he might pull off the miracle for a second, just a build order loss, hopefully Rogue has the mental strength to just go for macro games and beat Fantasy

If Fantasy advances yet again i'll be piling hard against him in the r8, I don't think he beats any of herO, Byul or Dream, his 3 likely opponents

Ended up adding 0.4u on Rogue Map 2 at -116 last minute

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05-29-2015 , 09:09 AM

#1467

SwoopAE

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Rogue should win from here most of the time, crossmap + held harass + will be able to take infinite bases vs mech

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05-29-2015 , 09:13 AM

#1468

SwoopAE

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Just saw Map 3 is Merry Go round which has a small Z lean, plus Rogue will have momentum if it gets there so taking Rogue for 0.4u -117 on map 3 too

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05-29-2015 , 10:18 AM

#1469

SwoopAE

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Well that went well, won 3u and change for the day

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05-30-2015 , 02:27 PM

#1470

SwoopAE

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Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Binked iaguz +249 vs mana rare u get a guy who just beat his opponent 3-0 as a big dog was worried it was a trap line so only had 1u on but feels good

No other plays today have a plane to catch

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05-30-2015 , 03:15 PM

#1471

SwoopAE

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Half units on iaguz +188 vs firecake and the +1.5 at
-165 seems like closer to a flip although im not watching the games live

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05-30-2015 , 04:59 PM

#1472

SwoopAE

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Push that one w a 1-2 loss to break even, up a couple units again today

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05-31-2015 , 04:25 AM

#1473

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

I love has hes the exciting master of cheese but gungfubanda is on a 19-0 map run in pvp granted vs nobodies but he does have a 3-0 vs naniwa and a 2-0 vs hasuobs among it

0.7u gfb vs has -177