Two Plus Two Publishing LLC
Two Plus Two Publishing LLC
 

Go Back   Two Plus Two Poker Forums > >

Notices

Sports Betting Discussions related to wagering on sporting events.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 05-07-2015, 05:33 PM   #1326
ouroboros1
enthusiast
 
Join Date: Apr 2014
Posts: 90
Re: Esport Betting?

Ah I see. Thank you for that. Is there a way to follow results? Would you bet on them?
ouroboros1 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-07-2015, 05:39 PM   #1327
Nonfiction
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
Nonfiction's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Penis
Posts: 12,099
Re: Esport Betting?

Tourny is streaming here, the SKT v TSM game is the last one of the night though iirc so won't be for several hours:

http://www.twitch.tv/riotgames

SKT1 is about to play the weakest team in the tourny by far thats several tiers below the other teams, think the odds are something like SKT1 -5000 or so vs them.

Edit: Looks like line on SKT1 v TSM has already moved at my book to SKT -287 so I'd def bet if you still get -250 or w/e. I have a bet on SKT at -243.

Last edited by Nonfiction; 05-07-2015 at 05:45 PM.
Nonfiction is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-08-2015, 12:23 AM   #1328
Nonfiction
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
Nonfiction's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Penis
Posts: 12,099
Re: Esport Betting?

line ended up around SKT1 - 309

Game still going on but SKT are up 20-3 in kills and 20k gold at like 23m. They are just completely embarrassing TSM. The way this has looked SKT should have been more like -500. EDG is still -188 vs TSM tomorrow as of right now and AHQ is +188 vs them (just literally dropped from around +200) and I'll probably bet both of those too. TSM just looking awful.
Nonfiction is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-08-2015, 12:36 AM   #1329
ouroboros1
enthusiast
 
Join Date: Apr 2014
Posts: 90
Re: Esport Betting?

Apparently SKT crushed them. Guess it went well. I'm going to have to look into this esport betting more
ouroboros1 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-08-2015, 12:45 AM   #1330
ouroboros1
enthusiast
 
Join Date: Apr 2014
Posts: 90
Re: Esport Betting?

Are you using Bovada? What other bets should I place? I can't find anymore esport matches on it
ouroboros1 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-08-2015, 12:16 PM   #1331
Nonfiction
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
Nonfiction's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Penis
Posts: 12,099
Re: Esport Betting?

Quote:
Originally Posted by ouroboros1 View Post
Are you using Bovada? What other bets should I place? I can't find anymore esport matches on it
I use Nitrogen.eu, its a bitcoin sportsbook. Can't use bovada in lolMaryland and can't use Pinnacle in lolUSA. So lol me.

I have EDG -248 v FNC and a smaller bet on ahq eSports Club +199 v TSM.

FNC is the #1 EU team and AHQ is the #1 Taiwanese team. FNC unexpectedly beat TSM but were themselves upset by AHQ. EDG (#1 China team) in turn were beaten by SKT1 but then beat down AHQ in their 2nd game. I see EDG as a similar "free money" play as SKT1 yesterday. EDG is not considered as strong as SKT1, but FNC in turn are not considered as good as TSM (despite upsetting them). Line looks to now be around EDG -287 or so.

I put a bet on AHQ +199 v TSM while they were beating FNC, as I expected it would move, and it looks like its now +147 at my book. AHQ has exceeded expectations, they were expected to be the 2nd worst team here, but beating a team that embarrassed TSM in their first game makes me pretty happy to get them at +199. TSM looked terrible in their 2 losses, and their lone victory over an outclassed Turkish team that doesn't belong in this tourny was uninspiring to say the least. While I still think they win this game, its close to a coinflip maybe 55/45 so really happy to get +199.

Last edited by Nonfiction; 05-08-2015 at 12:31 PM.
Nonfiction is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-08-2015, 01:46 PM   #1332
ouroboros1
enthusiast
 
Join Date: Apr 2014
Posts: 90
Re: Esport Betting?

Thanks for the write up Nonfiction. I'm going to place a small bet on EDG winning vs FNC. I look forward to the match

EDIT: What do you think of SKT vs FNC? Should be easy win for SKT?
ouroboros1 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-08-2015, 05:31 PM   #1333
Nonfiction
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
Nonfiction's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Penis
Posts: 12,099
Re: Esport Betting?

EDG just demolished FNC badly enough to instantly move the lines on SKT v FNC and EDG v TSM

just went from SKT -353 and EDG -221 to -493/-287, lol western teams.

Not sure if SKT is worth it at -493, EDG could still be worth it at -287 v TSM tho, going to wait to see how AHQ does vs TSM right here.
Nonfiction is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-08-2015, 07:34 PM   #1334
ouroboros1
enthusiast
 
Join Date: Apr 2014
Posts: 90
Re: Esport Betting?

Those were some good picks Nonfiction, looks like you were right
ouroboros1 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-08-2015, 11:15 PM   #1335
SwoopAE
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
SwoopAE's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: I AM CAPITAO
Posts: 19,033
Re: Esport Betting?

Firing Gumiho -163 vs Marineking for Dreamhack, Marineking is not and has never been good at TvT and Gumiho's is competent for a Korean therefore Marineking should lose.
SwoopAE is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-09-2015, 10:09 AM   #1336
SwoopAE
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
SwoopAE's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: I AM CAPITAO
Posts: 19,033
Re: Esport Betting?

Gumiho at -215 just before game time which is closer to where I expected the line to be, gl us if anyone tailed
SwoopAE is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-09-2015, 11:20 AM   #1337
SwoopAE
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
SwoopAE's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: I AM CAPITAO
Posts: 19,033
Re: Esport Betting?

That went well, 3-0 win for Gumiho, game 1 was close, 2 semi close and 3 was easy

Taking Patience +146, I cap this one at closer to even money and i'm more of a True fan than a Patience fan
SwoopAE is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-09-2015, 12:30 PM   #1338
SwoopAE
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
SwoopAE's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: I AM CAPITAO
Posts: 19,033
Re: Esport Betting?

Oh god game 3... watch game 3. Loses by a drone one hit away from death due to not pulling back for a few extra seconds

Series did look like a flip despite losing, all came down to that game 3

Back to even for the day

Last edited by SwoopAE; 05-09-2015 at 12:42 PM.
SwoopAE is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-09-2015, 03:04 PM   #1339
SwoopAE
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
SwoopAE's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: I AM CAPITAO
Posts: 19,033
Re: Esport Betting?

Took Parting -420 but only to win a quarter unit vs Hyun, he got it done 3-1 and on Gumiho here at -120 vs True, going well so far

Don't see Parting losing in this tournament he'll be a huge fav vs Gumiho too or True if he can make a comeback
SwoopAE is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-09-2015, 03:44 PM   #1340
MantridNinja
grinder
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 512
Re: Esport Betting?

Had Gumiho > MatchFixKing, True > Patience, very small on Hyun +1,5 vs Parting because closing line went full retard (close to +200 for +1,5 on Hyun).

Also took True > Gumi, but after seeing that he is clueless vs mech negated it with a map3 bet on Gumi.

Think Parting wins this 3-1, his PvT is pretty godlike.
MantridNinja is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-09-2015, 06:03 PM   #1341
SwoopAE
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
SwoopAE's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: I AM CAPITAO
Posts: 19,033
Re: Esport Betting?

I took Parting -1.5 vs Gumiho in the final, nervous moments but he held. When he was up 2-1 I had a breakeven hedge available and didn't take it as I was confident he had momentum

Ended up going 4-1 with bets to win 1.8u for the day overall (Gumiho twice and Parting twice win; Patience lost vs True); I have a feeling if Patience had micro'd his zealots slightly better in game 3 we'd have ended up with a 5-0 day

Hopefully Proleague lines are out soon
SwoopAE is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-10-2015, 01:54 AM   #1342
RG311
stranger
 
Join Date: Dec 2013
Posts: 5
Re: Esport Betting?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Nonfiction View Post
I use Nitrogen.eu, its a bitcoin sportsbook. Can't use bovada in lolMaryland and can't use Pinnacle in lolUSA. So lol me.

I have EDG -248 v FNC and a smaller bet on ahq eSports Club +199 v TSM.

FNC is the #1 EU team and AHQ is the #1 Taiwanese team. FNC unexpectedly beat TSM but were themselves upset by AHQ. EDG (#1 China team) in turn were beaten by SKT1 but then beat down AHQ in their 2nd game. I see EDG as a similar "free money" play as SKT1 yesterday. EDG is not considered as strong as SKT1, but FNC in turn are not considered as good as TSM (despite upsetting them). Line looks to now be around EDG -287 or so.

I put a bet on AHQ +199 v TSM while they were beating FNC, as I expected it would move, and it looks like its now +147 at my book. AHQ has exceeded expectations, they were expected to be the 2nd worst team here, but beating a team that embarrassed TSM in their first game makes me pretty happy to get them at +199. TSM looked terrible in their 2 losses, and their lone victory over an outclassed Turkish team that doesn't belong in this tourny was uninspiring to say the least. While I still think they win this game, its close to a coinflip maybe 55/45 so really happy to get +199.
I live in Maryland also, do you know of a site that uses prepaid cards?
RG311 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-10-2015, 12:53 PM   #1343
SwoopAE
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
SwoopAE's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: I AM CAPITAO
Posts: 19,033
Re: Esport Betting?

Smashed the Sbenu line at -252 against Prime for the max of to win 315 (3u and change). I think Sbenu should finish an average of 5th this round and are a dark horse to make the playoffs if any of the four big teams falter (CJ, Jinair, KT, SKT). Prime should go 1-6 or 0-7 to finish 8th

It moved the line to -292, lol, got a feeling my account might be flagged as sharp for esports

Edit: a few mins later it's -300

Seriously though I think the true line is closer to the -350 range

All of the other match lines seem sharpish; may be marginal value on CJ but the lineups arent super favourable for them

Last edited by SwoopAE; 05-10-2015 at 01:03 PM.
SwoopAE is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-10-2015, 01:02 PM   #1344
SwoopAE
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
SwoopAE's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: I AM CAPITAO
Posts: 19,033
Re: Esport Betting?

Fired the CJ -213 line to win a half unit as well; the Sbenu one is clear bet of the week though

There are 3-4 individual league matches I like but i'm going to stick more to team betting as those are the most +EV spots

Don't like either side @ current lines of Jinair/KT and SKT/MVP
SwoopAE is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-10-2015, 01:30 PM   #1345
MantridNinja
grinder
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 512
Re: Esport Betting?

Think Sbenu will be starting 1-0 almost always, unless Bomber will be cheesed out with roach/bane or something like that.

Other matchups though, Prime should have a decent shot. Its hard to say because i am not sure whats the current DRG shape. He played was pretty damn bad before he joined the Kespa team.

Also cant recall last time i saw Myungsik play PvT.

Jim v Hack is hard to call, both are bad.
MantridNinja is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-10-2015, 05:30 PM   #1346
SwoopAE
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
SwoopAE's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: I AM CAPITAO
Posts: 19,033
Re: Esport Betting?

Hack's not amazing but did 2-0 Jim recently and beat Trap in PL a while back. Myungsik's in excellent form, Yoda not so much. DRG/Creator is a flip, maybe lean Creator but barely

Agree BB's only chance is probably an all-in, I doubt he can macro against Bomber's parade push
SwoopAE is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-10-2015, 09:56 PM   #1347
SwoopAE
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
SwoopAE's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: I AM CAPITAO
Posts: 19,033
Re: Esport Betting?

Sbenu -420 now. Lots of steam on Bomber too; I fully expect him to win, but worth keeping an eye on. If it gets towards -750 or higher territory that's a massive red flag, -323 is pretty reasonable given BB is awful and Bomber is in decent form. It opened at like -195 from memory. I did nearly take that price though only reason I didn't is because I have so much on Sbenu as is. The Myungsik line is tempting too. DRG/Creator i'd probably lean Creator at current prices but the match is pretty flippy, and Creator's best recent win was against Soulkey when he was probably match fixing map 1 at least so that probably threw him off mentally for the rest of the series anyway.

I wonder who Sbenu will use in ace if it gets there; and I wonder if jjakji/mma will be on the bench today...
SwoopAE is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-11-2015, 12:11 AM   #1348
SwoopAE
Carpal \'Tunnel
 
SwoopAE's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: I AM CAPITAO
Posts: 19,033
Re: Esport Betting?

Sbenu got out to -420, back to -341 now, line is all over the place but i mean its still a 500 max bet and they seem to be moving it a lot.

I figure the true line is something like -350 to -400 so as long as it doesn't go absurd in either direction I won't get too worried. All sever esports line movement has me worried these days though lol
SwoopAE is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-11-2015, 06:19 AM   #1349
MantridNinja
grinder
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 512
Re: Esport Betting?

Bomber-Bboong line taken offline?
MantridNinja is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-11-2015, 06:24 AM   #1350
RaiNKhAN
veteran
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 2,096
Re: Esport Betting?

Quote:
Originally Posted by MantridNinja View Post
Bomber-Bboong line taken offline?
its been offline for about an hour on my end. same with sbenu/prime series price, and also yoda/myungsik line shot up huge compared to every other line basically sitting still. hope the fix isnt in
RaiNKhAN is offline   Reply With Quote

Reply
      

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off


Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 09:36 AM.


Powered by vBulletin®
Copyright ©2000 - 2018, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright © 2008-2017, Two Plus Two Interactive
 
 
Poker Players - Streaming Live Online