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Esport Betting? Esport Betting?

04-20-2015 , 09:50 PM
Think ill put official record on hold for now

So fae today i have 2u jinair -103 avg and 0.3u trap -179. Id call this a flip even w jinair favoured in first map but i dont trust kt rolster to bench flash and if they play him jinair are moderate favourites. Honestly i wouldnt be shocked if they benched stats even after yesterday even tho logically you use life zest and stats. I like the trap lead for jinair leaves them maru as ace plus 2/3 of sos cure and rogue as needed by map and racial matchup. If i knew flash was being rested id cap this at evens if flash plays its at least -150 for jinair so happy w the -103 price esp since they take a 1-0 lead the majority of the time as traps in better form than ty
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04-20-2015 , 10:40 PM
https://www.facebook.com/MVPSC2/posts/316612535129091

This is just sad. Expected, but sad.
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04-21-2015 , 03:29 AM
Yeah pretty much at least they made a statemwnt even if its a load of rubbish. a tl rep is getting in touch w kespa though and i gave him a list of questions to ask which hopefully helps
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04-21-2015 , 08:07 AM
Added a little on trap but also hit maru maps 5 and 6 plus jinair got it done. Cj have gad a great run but they dont match up well w jinair so will hit them in final too probably assuming its jinair -135 or so which is what i expect. Maru is playing the best he ever has atm
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04-21-2015 , 08:31 AM
Pleasantly suprised with ppl like Hot_Bid and a couple of others TL admins being smart about it and realizing that the match was fix.

Unfortunately a huge % of TL community is still a bunch of naive and stupid sheeps.
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04-21-2015 , 09:26 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MantridNinja
Pleasantly suprised with ppl like Hot_Bid and a couple of others TL admins being smart about it and realizing that the match was fix.

Unfortunately a huge % of TL community is still a bunch of naive and stupid sheeps.
cliffs?
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04-21-2015 , 10:42 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by FakeVariance
cliffs?
-MKP said he didnt do it - he is innocent
-MKP is a nice guy, he wouldnt matchfix
-There is zero evidence, its a pure witchhunt
-Betting lines mean nothing, never trust gamblers
-Gambling is a sin and betting sites are a plague
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04-21-2015 , 12:14 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MantridNinja
-MKP said he didnt do it - he is innocent
-MKP is a nice guy, he wouldnt matchfix
-There is zero evidence, its a pure witchhunt
-Betting lines mean nothing, never trust gamblers
-Gambling is a sin and betting sites are a plague
-dont gamble if you cant take a loss
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04-22-2015 , 04:36 AM
Split seems more like 33 mkp is innocent 33 mkp is guilty 33 mkp is probably guilty but not enough evidence now which is an improvement from the 90/10 gamblers suck betting lines are irrelevant san had an off day when we first broke the matchfixing info. San soulkey inno and super not getting much attention though and if mkp is guilty its pretty likely they are as well plus decent chance alive and yoda may be too
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04-22-2015 , 04:41 AM
Hit jinair -151 for 1.3u for the final will go nuts on jinair if it gets down to -140 or arb to freeroll if cj get above +220

I think cj hero needs to beat both maru and sos for cj to win and i just dont see it often enough.
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04-22-2015 , 07:00 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SwoopAE
Yeah pretty much at least they made a statemwnt even if its a load of rubbish. a tl rep is getting in touch w kespa though and i gave him a list of questions to ask which hopefully helps
frankly nothing's going to happen unless one of the major sponsors (which is pretty much just skt/kt/samsung at this stage) decides to pull out and not associate themselves with an obviously fixed tournament
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04-22-2015 , 12:47 PM
thinking about getting into LoL betting, but don't know where to start (aside from smashing wagers on Pinny)
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04-23-2015 , 04:40 AM
Today's plays

Maru -1.5 -125 vs Hurricane
Leenock +1.5 -131 vs Zest
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04-23-2015 , 06:13 AM
Is there any esports betting books that accept US players?
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04-23-2015 , 06:38 AM
Some of the bitcoin ones not sure if any normal ones do

Fortunately I put a bit on Maru to win map 3 so ended up close to even for the match (down very slightly)

Let's go leenock. Both of todays plays are sub 1u anyway, not going huge on anything really while this matchfixing cloud is over the korean scene and putting my official plays on hold for the time being

It's going to be interesting to see how many players go down for match fixing and whether any teams, coaches or kespa officials are implicated or not
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04-23-2015 , 08:41 AM
Well played by zest in game2. That supply advantage is so misleading when its a zerg maxed out on roaches against stalker/immortal.

Edit: wow huge throw in g3 by Leenock, that was stupid as hell

Last edited by MantridNinja; 04-23-2015 at 08:55 AM.
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04-23-2015 , 03:36 PM
Hello,

I'm new to this forum, i'm new to sc2 betting (a month and half), i will try to share my adventures and seek advices.

I agree for leenock g3, such a trow...

What do you think about tomorow's GSL Solar/sorry , Rain/Gummi? i dont feel at ease betting on these guys, they seem to me 40/60 (in my head it's even with a fav lead).
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04-24-2015 , 03:52 AM
Small loss yesterday, lost a unit or so going 1-2 for bets (Maru game 3 hit, Maru -1.5 and Leenock +1.5 lost)

Today i'm a big fan of Gumiho +208, he's 6-1 vs rain including a recent 2-1, Rain's in a bit of a slump and I actually think Gumiho is more like +130 to +150 here. I don't think i'd bet Rain until -120 or so. Ended up hitting it for 1.5u. I do think rain is the small fav due to caliber of opposition etc but he has some bad recent losses and while Gumiho bricked the Kespa cup qualifiers vs two protoss he had a nice record prior to that over past 20 games or so granted vs weaker competition

I also put a smaller amount (0.5u) on Gumiho +1.5 at -167, but don't like it as much as the ML though

Lean Sorry over Solar at +170 but not enough to bet really. I put 0.5u on for the action anyway but will fire a bit more if it hits +200
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04-24-2015 , 06:09 AM
Gumiho in to +171 lots of late steam

This could be a great spot

Good start for me today, Sorry gets it done as a dog, shame it was only a half unit bet
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04-24-2015 , 06:27 AM
Well that went badly for Gumiho. Damn you bet sizing!

Thinking Gumiho and Rain but it depends where lines open.
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04-24-2015 , 06:30 AM
1u Rain -210. Don't think TvP is Sorry's best MU and can't see him beating Rain if he's in form as he seems to be today. Weird inconsistency from Rain lately but he played well vs Gumiho there
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04-24-2015 , 06:33 AM
1u Rain -210. Don't think TvP is Sorry's best MU and can't see him beating Rain if he's in form as he seems to be today. Weird inconsistency from Rain lately but he played well vs Gumiho there

1u Gumiho -130 too. Was hoping for -110 but solar's ZvT has been bad for a while other than the one series vs Dream where I was on Dream annoyingly and Gumiho has a great lifetime record vs him as well as a recent win. More a fade on Solar than anything not sure I love this one
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04-24-2015 , 06:39 AM
Some Sorry steam for map 1 but nothing major and line did open too far towards Rain given the overall odds + he still closed as a dog so nothing to worry about lets go Rain
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04-24-2015 , 06:53 AM
lol rain was down 50 supply when my hotel net had lag issues, come back and suddenly rain's pushing sorry's base for the win

protossed

added a little on rain map 2 at -162 after that comeback has to be demoralising for sorry
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04-24-2015 , 08:19 AM
Was about to fire on Solar and Gumiho yesterday, but decided not to. Woke up to see them both losing, feeling like i made some imaginary money by not doing anything.
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