Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 22,249
I think Dream is too big a fav over Supernova given it's his worst MU and Supernova's best, so i've taken Supernova and Supernova +1.5 and +2.5 for small sweats today. The odds say Dream 3-1 is the median outcome, I think it's more like Dream 3-2 on average.
Also taken Creator small over Classic as it's by far Creator's best MU atm and he's a dog. None of them are post-worthy like Losira +126 vs Hyun though, but just posting my plays incase anyone wants to degen and likes my plays
No plays on Maru/Billowy, Cure/Rain or Zest/Bbyong, i'd lean Billowy +1.5 if I had to pick something there, +3xx isn't bad for a +1.5 and I could see him going down 2-3 sometimes, but only if Maru has an off day, and obviously an outright win is super unlikely. Not going to fire as i'm a big Maru fan and it's marginal. Other two matches lines are sharp imo. Feels gross that 2 of the 4 of them won't advance.
Losira +126 is a 2.5u play, nothing else is over a 0.25u play today. For what it's worth I still like him at the -101 available now, I think he's something like a -120 to -125 fav if I had to guess. I probably wouldn't take Hyun until +140ish.