Shame I didn't post WCS bets as most of them won incl Kane as a +3xx dog and Polt as a +2xx dog

69-43 +16.31u overall
4-6 -3.49u since last update

73-49 +12.82u overall

Posting a few plays for this week

Losira +126 vs Hyun, Starleague
Sacsri -161 vs San, Code A
Zest -330 vs Daisy, Proleague

I think Losira is a small favourite and Sacsri should be closer to -200 in the current shape San is in, plus the potential for San to throw matches given his history. Zest should rarely lose to Daisy, Daisy is in horrible form and his best ever win in PvP that I could see is a 2-1 vs Patience and Zest is playing good PvP recently, crushing Trap in IEM finals etc. It's gross to bet on a -330 fav in a bo1 PvP but this is a mismatch, I mean Daisy recently lost 2-4 to Has in a PvP series. Has. Daisy is on an 8 series losing streak and the only two Proleague caliber players on that list are Trap and Bbyona and arguably Super and Taeja and he won no maps off any of them

Couple other spots i'm considering but haven't decided on yet

Zest could've lost that, luckily for him, Daisy forgot that tempests exist in the game.

Yeah it was closer than I expected, but he won anyway. I really can't see Dasy beating Zest the 24% or so he needs to in order for that bet to be losing


73-49 +12.82u overall
1-0 +1u for the day
74-49 +13.82u overall

Losira and Sacsri pending

Doubled my Sacsri bet when he moved to -136

Limits arent high enough for line movement to be a concern my bet alone moved it back to -143

San used to be a PvZ boss, some combination of injuries, being on a ****ty team and potentially match fixing have ruined him. Sacsri actually has some really good wins vs protoss recently including Parting and Rain in bo3s. He's had some poor performances too (3-2 win vs Arthur and a 1-2 to MC) but overall his recent ZvP form is great.

Got 2.5u each on Losira +126 and Sacsri -148 average now

San hasn't won a broadcast ZvP since the potentially fixed match vs Dark, granted vs good opposition

That based Bomber comeback from 0-2 to 3-2 with game 5 looking like auto-win for Shine.


Even though Bomber is pretty meh by today's standards, i just love watching his macro style of 200 rax producing bio to overwhelm zerg.

74-49 +13.82u overall

Sacsri wins 1-0 +1u

75-49 +14.82u overall

Losira pending

I think Dream is too big a fav over Supernova given it's his worst MU and Supernova's best, so i've taken Supernova and Supernova +1.5 and +2.5 for small sweats today. The odds say Dream 3-1 is the median outcome, I think it's more like Dream 3-2 on average.

Also taken Creator small over Classic as it's by far Creator's best MU atm and he's a dog. None of them are post-worthy like Losira +126 vs Hyun though, but just posting my plays incase anyone wants to degen and likes my plays

No plays on Maru/Billowy, Cure/Rain or Zest/Bbyong, i'd lean Billowy +1.5 if I had to pick something there, +3xx isn't bad for a +1.5 and I could see him going down 2-3 sometimes, but only if Maru has an off day, and obviously an outright win is super unlikely. Not going to fire as i'm a big Maru fan and it's marginal. Other two matches lines are sharp imo. Feels gross that 2 of the 4 of them won't advance.

Losira +126 is a 2.5u play, nothing else is over a 0.25u play today. For what it's worth I still like him at the -101 available now, I think he's something like a -120 to -125 fav if I had to guess. I probably wouldn't take Hyun until +140ish.

So Maru is -2000 vs Billowy... but it's a bo5 and mismatch, map 1 is -360 which is more reasonable I think this line is actually ok for a bo5, if this was a bo3 or 1 i'd be a bit suspicious for Korean vs Korean, but it's a top 3 player vs barely top 100 player in a bo5 so the line is probably legit. That said I don't think Maru is 95% to win, but he is probably over 90% in a bo5

Losira with a huge throw in a game1

Losira 0-3, taking coaching from his teammate MarineKing?

Was no line movement to justify any suspicion, the steam was actually overall on Losira

He just played bad, Hyun played great and wrecked him

I ended up adding Maru -2.5 last minute but only for 0.25u so bad day so far

Trying to talk myself into betting Cure over Rain but can't do it

I've talked myself into a full unit Creator bet at +155, won't make it official though as who knows what shape hes in and the bet is 99% aligulac, in theory the game w Classic should be a flip

0-1 -1u today officially

Sigh at me betting Creator due to all of his PvP crushing in PL vs elite guys when my gut told me not to

75-49 +14.82u overall

0-1 -1u today

75-50 +13.82u overall

Lets see if Rain can actually close out a bo5 this time.

Choking 2-0 to 3-2 in PvT is his speciality.

Decided to put a bit on Cure +108 for Map 5 since he'll have momentum if he wins this one and if not bet is a push anyway cos series is over and map is T favoured

Gonna make it official actually I like the spot and think he's a small fav if he wins map 4

edit: doesnt matter rain is going to win map 4

Cure trying to play like Maru but ends up just feeding tons of units with his drops.

I was forced to take Rain because of the numbers, didnt like it that much since he is known to choke (that game3 throw was a horrible anti-timing like wtf).

But all in all, his defensive play is pretty solid and was enough vs Cure's tvp

Took Byul +205, Byul +1.5 -114, sOs -157 and Parting -2.5 -112 today, none of the spots are amazing but I prefer the Starleague to GSL matches today so made a play on each one.

No official value plays today

3-1 today, all unofficial, annoyingly sOs was largest bet and Dear turned up today but won very slightly overall

Looks like MarineKing is back and going to play tomorrow in the Proleague and then later in the GSL like nothing even happed.

Awesome.

Hey guys,

I just wanted to stop by and say that i have not placed a bet in weeks and i have no intention to change that in the near future.

I am too frustrated with all the matchfixing going on. It got too risky for me.
There is no indication that anything will change. No official statments even threads on TL got locked.

I wish you all the best.

Pretty disgraceful that MVP would field Marineking.

They said again yesterday they'd make a statement after the PL match but the statement was nowhere to be found

Its really a huge joke, starting with Wolf (the caster) saying "there was no evidence, lets just all forget about it" and finishing with mvp lying about releasing the statement yet again.

Did wolf really say that on the air? I was having stream lag issues and watched it with Korean commentary

Took Soulkey -1.5 -125 and Pigbaby +300ish average today, Fantasys a fav but think its a decent odds play and Soulkey should roll Creator 3-0 or 3-1 although he has to hit timings as no swarmhosts anymore Z endgame blows

Neither good enough to post as an official play.

May also take HerO if his line hits +200 as Term historically sucks at PvP although his form is better