Quote:
Originally Posted by Futile
Which lines do you guys think are the least efficient: match, map or spread?
I'm interested in which ones are better to bet on
I am not sure i understand the question correctly.
Do you want to know which bettling line is most efficient for a specific match?
That depends on the odds for the specific match. You can calculate that.
For example: If you have a Bo3, possible lines in decimal odds:
Bo3 win: 1,35;
-1,5: 2,25
first map: 1,5.
The player would need at least a 66,67% per map in all cases for you to make a profit. All lines have the same efficiency. If the odds deviate from that you know which line is less efficient.
However I think Pinnacle as an algorithm in place that makes sure that the different lines are not too far from each other. The difference is (if at all) only a few per cent.
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If you asking in general, I would say that from my own experience the -1,5 bets in sc2 are usually the ones that require the player to have a bid higher chance. (least efficient) I haven't however made a study how frequent -1,5 or +1,5 happens. I just look at each single map as an independent event.
Last edited by StarG; 03-06-2015 at 09:17 PM.