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03-04-2015 , 06:16 AM

#851

allaboutstrategy

stranger

Join Date: Jan 2015 Posts: 6

yeah. I bet 10 Euro on TY win and 20Euro on Map3 for MMA^^.

If Ty fire now I win good money or MMA end now^^

Quote

03-04-2015 , 06:22 AM

#852

Futile

enthusiast

Join Date: Oct 2012 Posts: 57

Quote:

Originally Posted by SwoopAE

TY is +766 in livebetting now, MMA -1200 with MMA up 2-0

What? Pinny shows TY at 2.05 for me

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03-04-2015 , 06:24 AM

#853

Futile

enthusiast

Join Date: Oct 2012 Posts: 57

Oh wait got confused with match/map

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03-04-2015 , 06:31 AM

#854

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

I added some on MMA to win game 3 at -130 last minute so that was an extra bonus. Also got an 81-1 sweat in the ro4 who seems to be in form

Got Solar here at -108, think he's -115ish. I love Parting and Solar, i'm a bigger fan of parting's but objectively I think Solar is the play

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03-04-2015 , 06:33 AM

#855

Futile

enthusiast

Join Date: Oct 2012 Posts: 57

I've got Parting -1.5 vs Solar @ 2.84 too, better line than it currently is so looking ok

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03-04-2015 , 06:34 AM

#856

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Doubling my bet on Solar now that i'm effectively freerolling for the day at -103

Average Solar price now -106, got 2u total (1u -103 1u -108)

Ended up having 0.8u on MMA there g3 + my 0.15u to win 13u on him to win it all equity

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03-04-2015 , 06:36 AM

#857

MantridNinja

grinder

Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 512

Just woke up and saw MMA 3-0, what the hell? Took him +150 when he opened but did not expect much tbh

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03-04-2015 , 06:37 AM

#858

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Sad to hear MMA has military service soon and will be out for 2 years, would be awesome to see him go out on top

Interesting to hear MMA says he loses a lot in practice but always plays better in the booth. Some guys rise under pressure (MMA, Maru, etc) and others crumble under pressure (Parting, Fantasy, soO)

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03-04-2015 , 06:38 AM

#859

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Quote:

Originally Posted by MantridNinja

Just woke up and saw MMA 3-0, what the hell? Took him +150 when he opened but did not expect much tbh

He played the way he did against Innovation AND TY played terrible. Combined that added up to 3-0.

Pretty annoyed at myself for not posting my MMA g3 bet in thread, I even commented in a skype group chat that TY was mentally done after g2

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03-04-2015 , 06:47 AM

#860

MantridNinja

grinder

Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 512

Overall i never expected MMA to do well after he decided to retire after Dreamhack.

Thought that his "will try for 1 more year" will just result in some mediocre finishes in foreign tourneys.

But beating Inno and Dark 2-0 in the group and now sitting in gsl ro4 is pretty damn impressive.

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03-04-2015 , 07:12 AM

#861

MantridNinja

grinder

Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 512

Why the **** Parting did not split his dts to all 3 bases?

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03-04-2015 , 07:22 AM

#862

StarG

centurion

Join Date: Feb 2015 Posts: 116

Looked like solar knew exactly what parting was doing. He only got one overseer at the exactly perfect position.
Even after killing so many drones parting was behind because solar didn't even had to invest in spores. The follow up pressure from parting was also not succesful.

game 2:
I am a bid surprised parting is playing so many macro games. But he is looking good so far.

Last edited by StarG; 03-04-2015 at 07:31 AM.

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03-04-2015 , 07:29 AM

#863

MantridNinja

grinder

Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 512

Pretty cool play from parting map2

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03-04-2015 , 07:33 AM

#864

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Cool but not that good. I think Parting's going to have to play better than that to take the series.

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03-04-2015 , 07:39 AM

#865

MantridNinja

grinder

Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 512

Probably, but it was refreshing to see a PvZ without colo/swarmhost.

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03-04-2015 , 07:51 AM

#866

StarG

centurion

Join Date: Feb 2015 Posts: 116

i think if parting would have attacked there with msc and 4 stalkers he would have won or done a lot of damage. Solar gambled so hard there, no speed no spine. Lings without speed against stalkers would have been really tough.
But Parting didn't know there was no speed on the way. Very unlucky game for parting.

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03-04-2015 , 08:18 AM

#867

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Oh ffs Solar you absolute tard you do not counterattack with hydralisks wtf

Oh well 0-1 -1.05u for the day officially, unofficially im down a unit or so but my MMA equity lives

Pretty sick we either see Parting or MMA in the Code S final this season

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03-04-2015 , 08:28 AM

#868

MantridNinja

grinder

Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 512

2-0 for Today

I think MMA might have a decent shot against Parting, his TvP was pretty decent in the past.

However i still remember his bo7 with 1map advantage against gungfupanda and barely winning 4-3, losing to a ton of weird cheesy builds.

If he will play in that annoying style like he did vs Maru, Parting should have the edge.

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03-04-2015 , 08:33 AM

#869

StarG

centurion

Join Date: Feb 2015 Posts: 116

Even if MMA is in his best form this will be a uphill battle for him. Parting is 29:2 this year in PvT (7:2 against Maru who is arguably the best tvp player after innovation)
I have never seen such a domination in a match up from any player, 93,5% is ridiculous.

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03-04-2015 , 08:38 AM

#870

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

Yeah I will be hedging some on Parting if the odds are at all reasonable.

I didn't only want Solar to win because I bet on him, I wanted him to win to clear MMA's path of Parting

Given decent chance of two PvTs for parting now, wish I got his +7xx that was available today, would have taken it if not for the tough Solar MU pending

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03-04-2015 , 10:06 AM

#871

MantridNinja

grinder

Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 512

Sweating Complexity vs EG today in dota2 for 0.5 units total. They are more like +330 per map here at worst, probably closer to +300.

Could be just a 2-0 beatdown by EG, but EG are prone to dicking around online, even losing a map to a team worse than Complexity a couple of days ago.

Feel free to tail for a tiny amount.

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03-04-2015 , 11:00 AM

#872

allaboutstrategy

stranger

Join Date: Jan 2015 Posts: 6

yeah i think its kinda doable. They only played 1-1 vs C9 and 1-1 vs Void Boys. Atm the do not convince me

Quote

03-04-2015 , 08:05 PM

#873

StarG

centurion

Join Date: Feb 2015 Posts: 116

I took Trap to win IEM @15,28
He is experienced at playing foreigner tournaments like MLG or Battleground.
I think he has a got shot to make it to the finals with potential opponents as flash,rain,maru/dark. The bottom bracket seems a lot more doable.
Besides that Trap seems to be on drugs or smth: 25:2 in the last 2 weeks:
http://aligulac.com/players/177/resu...h&game=all&op=
I also like Darks position in the bracket but he might choke at his first LAN outside of korea.
-------------------
No bets on Maru - Stats so far. Thoughts?
If stats hadn't failed really hard in the qualifiers yesterday I would have taken him.
--------------------
No lines for life - dream yet. =/

Last edited by StarG; 03-04-2015 at 08:25 PM.

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03-04-2015 , 09:04 PM

#874

Futile

enthusiast

Join Date: Oct 2012 Posts: 57

I feel like there's a small edge on Stats there. I'm still super new to this though so don't listen to me

Quote

03-04-2015 , 10:33 PM

#875

SwoopAE

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 22,249

The numbers say Stats, but he missed Code A yesterday and Maru often over performs in major tournaments

Probably not gonna play anything there but who knows

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