Ok Pig, win please. Would be a sick finish to the group. Can't really bet either side of this though too many unknowns, how will Pig adjust, is Happy on ragetilt etc
Ended up putting a 0.1u sweat on Pig at the last second, looking promising but certainly not confident it was the right play lol, g1 looking promising though
Ended up putting a 0.1u sweat on Pig at the last second, looking promising but certainly not confident it was the right play lol, g1 looking promising though
If PiG wins 2-0 i will be somewhat pissed he couldnt show up earlier today.
Edit: How the hell Pig is still in this game, everyone including casters though its over, and now pig is near max after having his eco crippled from the start.
Last edited by MantridNinja; 02-20-2015 at 07:42 PM.
Yeah it's weird the -1.5 for Forgg is -113 but the ML is -420, theoretically a -1.5 at +100 should be -300 at ML right? Or is my math wrong
I dont like either side of the two opening games at current lines, upon further analysis I kinda liked Puck -136 but he's -154 now so the value seems gone
I sorta want to play ForGG -1.5 -113 as a fade on Sen but I can't justify it at that price
Will def bet the winners/losers/final match though or might fade steam on the first 2 games
Cool - could be value in the winners/losers fading him then depending how he looks, i'm not willing to do it blind since the last time I saw him play he was playing well, and Sen is NOT a good player at the moment either (at least he sucked the last few times I saw him play)
I kinda wish I was on Puck early now would have taken the opener if i'd done the research in more detail. I may still take the current line by game time but might not haven't decided yet. It seems about where the true line is at the moment.
Last time ForGG lost to a foreigner was 5 months ago (1-2 to VortiX) and he plays them a lot. I don't think there are reasons to believe that he is underperforming. Yes, he barely won 3-2 to MarineLord in Challenger League but MarineLord is currently the second foreigner terran and I actually expect a lot from him this year.
On the other hand I have no idea of Sen's current shape since it's hard to tell by just looking at aligulac when he mostly plays against taiwanese players.
I'm staying out of this one since I dont really know where the lines should be.
After a bit more analysis i'm tempted on ForGG -1.5 again. His only losses to Z have been to good koreans recently (mostly to Life) and he hasn't lost to a foreigner Z since last May. Sen has 0-2'd vs Polt and Yoda recently and only beaten nonkoreans. I think at -116 it's not really a great spot but I put a partial unit sweat on. Same for Puck -154, neither are spots i'll officially post in the thread due to both prob being about breakeven but i've picked my sides for the first two sweats today
Hopefully we get some value to make real bets on the winners/losers/final matches once we have more info
Lol, i expected anything, but not Sen not building any ****ing units against a build that forGG goes for for 70% of his TvZ games. Absolutely awful, not even PiG vs Happy games level of bad.
