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Esport Betting? Esport Betting?

02-02-2015 , 10:01 AM
Well we held, but it was closer than it should have been. That said the two losses were a zvz cheese and trap throwing a lead.

2-1 +0.7u for the day.
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02-02-2015 , 10:02 AM
37-20 +8.37u
2-1 +0.7u today (Startale +1.5 W Jinair W Trap L)

39-21 +9.07u overall

Yoda -120 and Dark -155 pending for tomorrow; will do additional analysis later and make some more plays

Last edited by SwoopAE; 02-02-2015 at 10:14 AM.
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02-02-2015 , 10:09 AM
Nice hold from Rogue, even though he lost me a unit by losing to Shine.

Zest is underperforming lately, even in his best matchup, that phoenix/zealot all-in was weird as ****, not sure what he had in mind.

Had a unit on Bomber, and he delivered. Flash is slumping really really hard.
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02-02-2015 , 10:19 AM
Yeah we should be blanket fading flash every time he's a favourite against anyone competent, the steam comes on him every time pretty much regardless of form, flash and jaedong are probably the two players im up the most lifetime fading
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02-03-2015 , 07:22 AM
Semi-upset from Byul. Had him at +150. Dark is the better player, but Byul's zvz is solid.
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02-03-2015 , 08:41 AM
1-1 -0.55u so far today although in reality my Yoda bet was far bigger than my Dark bet
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02-03-2015 , 08:48 AM
Adding Losira -103 vs Creator, not a super amazing spot but I think hes a small fav
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02-03-2015 , 08:54 AM
Moved out to -123 in the last 5 mins so we beat the close, gl me

Thinking about Salvation over Terror too but -165 is a bit much hoping for -150 or better to fire. Pretty sure I take Prime in Ace match too with Yoda if either Losira or Salvation loses and it goes to ace.
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02-03-2015 , 08:59 AM
Man creator sucks at PvZ considering his other MUs

2-1 +0.45u for the day so far.
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02-03-2015 , 09:01 AM
Salvation to -156 hope he gets below -150 so I can fire
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02-03-2015 , 09:02 AM
-144 and sinking gonna wait for the steam to end then fire
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02-03-2015 , 09:04 AM
Salvation -136 decided to fire. Fading steam hard. Let's do it. Salvation -136 is the pick.

Will hit Prime Ace probably if Salvation loses if they pick Yoda and MVP don't pick Yonghwa
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02-03-2015 , 09:09 AM
Firing Prime Ace -130 as well. I'm confident they pick Yoda and I think hes -130 or better vs everyone on MVP. If Salvation wins its a push since no ace match though.
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02-03-2015 , 09:17 AM
lol wtf how is terror 50 supply behind and how does he have a win in proleague and why did i only go 1.5u at -136 fading him
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02-03-2015 , 09:21 AM
3-1 +1.45u for the day (Yoda, Losira, Salvation W, Dark L)

Prime Ace is a push/cancel since match didnt go to ace.

39-21 +9.07u overall
3-1 +1.45u today

42-22 +10.52u overall
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02-03-2015 , 10:13 AM
Terror is by far the worst player in Proleague. He got that 1 win by cheesing in ZvZ.

Today there was live betting on Pinnacle, it was pretty fun with some hits and misses. Byul got me some money (odds were even at one point when he slightly won a fight but started transitioning into hydras which is really important), but Myung**** screw me with his brainfart - odds were even after that terrible blink from Yonghwa but then Myung**** decided to do only thing that could lead him to loss and move out on map with only 3 immortals instead of just waiting his colossus that already started.

Tomorrow it's starleague. Opening matches are
Maru - Dream
not gonna take this. Dream already lost to Maru and TY this month and is pretty bad in TvT but it's still only 1.3 odds which is too low at this level of play.
Dark - TY
Dark has better TvZ than TY even though TY started to play pretty good in last couple of weeks. +1 bet on TY might be nice.

bad thing in this group is that it's dark+3 terrans and all 4 players play TvZ pretty well. Out of possible combinations, I might take maru > dark if odds are 1.8 or more, and +1 on Dream vs Dark if that's gonna be possible for 1.6-1.7. I don't expect nice odds in other combinations
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02-03-2015 , 10:26 AM
Yeah nothing on Starleague looks appealing to me at current prices, hoping to get Maru in something if not will just cheer for him as a fan.

Dream may be worth a longshot play vs Dark if they meet as Dream's TvZ is really underrated and he'll be a dog

Re: GSL futures, I have partial units on Yoda and Rain at +121xx and +10xx respectively and a tiny partial on MMA +88xx which im not as much of a fan of. I really, really think Yoda is very +EV at 121-1. Sure he's unlikely to win but he is not 121-1 to win and is certainly not the least likely player to win Code S of the players left which odds think he is.

Of the three race props I like Terran +186 the most, id say T>P>Z in probability for race to win but no huge value
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02-03-2015 , 10:46 AM
Up about 3 units today.

Hero and Innovation won as they should (although hero was in a shacky position, gladly Sorry threw away his army for no reason).

Byul delivered some solid zvz for being +150 against Rogue.

MKP is still terribad. Or maybe he just does not care anymore, playing that gimmicky tank-less mech with thor drops.

Losira at -100 was a steal against Creator. His PvZ is horrific.

Had Myungsik at +130 and it was painful to watch him throw a decent position by feeding 3 immortals.
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02-03-2015 , 12:52 PM
What do you think about Maru -1.5 at +115? Dream's TvT has always been very weak and I don't feel like Maru is the kind of terran that struggles against weird allins/random stuff (like flash did against bomber)
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02-03-2015 , 12:59 PM
Line seems about right. Maru's TvT is very good but he can be inconsistent and run out of steam if his harass doesnt work. I expect Maru to beat Dream, but I think he drops a game nearly half the time when he wins.
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02-05-2015 , 05:46 AM
Going to be livebetting tonight's Starleague games, will post picks if theres any value just before each game starts. I have my eye on two potential winners/losers/final matchups, don't super love anything yet on the opening two matches but that may change as lines are jumping around
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02-05-2015 , 05:58 AM
Dark looking great vs TY. Putting a small sweat on Dark map 2 but odds arent good enough to make it an official play despite good map, and a small sweat on Maru -1.5 that im not even sure is +EV

No official plays yet today but the winners/losers match could easily have amazing lines
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02-05-2015 , 06:11 AM
Great game here TY vs Dark game 1

edit: looked like Dark would win, then TY, then Dark got it at the end. Great entertaining game.
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02-05-2015 , 06:39 AM
Sick performance by Dark. TY actually played well too for the most part. I think he's closing in towards Life for the best zerg in the world title. Life at his best is better, but Dark is slightly more consistent. Good start for me today even if it's just a sweat bet.
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02-05-2015 , 06:57 AM
Live betting all over the place, Maru as high as -300 and as low as -140 in last minute alone
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