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Old 06-26-2018, 11:50 AM   #1676
LogistX
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Re: Esport Betting?

Quote:
Originally Posted by lvr View Post
I don't think you guys understand what that word means
For the purpose of a machine learning algorithm, the term "variable" would be correct. Are you using it in a different way?
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Old 06-26-2018, 04:47 PM   #1677
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Re: Esport Betting?

by machine learning, you mean linear regression right?
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Old 06-27-2018, 12:01 AM   #1678
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Re: Esport Betting?

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by machine learning, you mean linear regression right?
He doesn't know what he means.
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Old 06-29-2018, 06:25 PM   #1679
Zeido
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Re: Esport Betting?

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Originally Posted by LogistX View Post
To be fair, I also use hundreds of variables per match when live betting Dota but almost all of them are a variation on "is $HERO on $SIDE". Other than those, I use ~10.

Yeh the exact number depends on what you define as a variable. However, in my database I can see what happens to every player every minute of the match for every player. This allows me to more accurately quantify the value each player bring to the team.

Based on that, I can more accurately set up a predictive model.

Thus, the majority of the variables do not directly impact the final probability prediction, however the vast majority have a minor impact on some of the prior calculations.

Last edited by Zeido; 06-29-2018 at 06:53 PM.
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Old 06-29-2018, 06:29 PM   #1680
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Re: Esport Betting?

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Originally Posted by lvr View Post
He doesn't know what he means.
Dissapointed with your lack of conspiracy theory. Give me your best shot. When I am reading your comments, I think of a flat-earther so I had hoped you would give me something comparable insane.

Last edited by Zeido; 06-29-2018 at 06:54 PM.
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Old 06-30-2018, 08:38 AM   #1681
lvr
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Re: Esport Betting?

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Originally Posted by Zeido View Post
Yeh the exact number depends on what you define as a variable. However, in my database I can see what happens to every player every minute of the match for every player. This allows me to more accurately quantify the value each player bring to the team.

Based on that, I can more accurately set up a predictive model.

Thus, the majority of the variables do not directly impact the final probability prediction, however the vast majority have a minor impact on some of the prior calculations.
Why waste your talents on sportsbetting when you are doing something that even the game developers can't do?

Did you get denied for spelling errors?
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Old 06-30-2018, 02:46 PM   #1682
Zeido
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Re: Esport Betting?

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Why waste your talents on sportsbetting when you are doing something that even the game developers can't do?

Did you get denied for spelling errors?
Game-developers are not spending a lot of ressources on the analytics-side of esports. They definitely could do the same/better if they hired proper statisticans, however it would require a lot of ressources for not that much gain. Thus, they rather spend more ressources on optimizing the playing experience for the playerbase.

That's not to say that we won't see more analytics in esports-broadcasts in the future (we definitely will), but it will most likely be outsourced by tournament organizers or game-developers (whoever has the rights).
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Old 06-30-2018, 02:48 PM   #1683
Zeido
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Re: Esport Betting?

Further, Riot's stats team definitely has a much larger database than I do since they have access to server logs. However, unfortunately they are not very good at using the data in a productive way. The player ratings model they created is heavily flawed.
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Old 06-30-2018, 03:24 PM   #1684
WateryBoil
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Re: Esport Betting?

some ppl so toxic in sports betting section on here
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Old 07-01-2018, 05:09 AM   #1685
lvr
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Re: Esport Betting?

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some ppl so toxic in sports betting section on here
Are you talking about me? lol at least be a man about it

I'm just having fun with a 5 post troll
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Old 07-02-2018, 02:07 PM   #1686
WateryBoil
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Re: Esport Betting?

pretty sure that some ppl came with a direct stare followed by an eye roll.

who else would i be referring to?
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Old 07-03-2018, 12:51 AM   #1687
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Re: Esport Betting?

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pretty sure that some ppl came with a direct stare followed by an eye roll.

who else would i be referring to?
get your test levels checked son

stop this passive aggressive ****
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