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Esport Betting? Esport Betting?

03-03-2015 , 08:56 AM
Hmm ok Zest vs herO

gl herO!
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03-03-2015 , 08:56 AM
this kt coach is garbage.
I remember back at the time when zest was winning this GSL he always put out Flash instead of Zest. Now Zest over Stats ? Really?
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03-03-2015 , 08:57 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by StarG
expecting hero stats
You've obviously never seen KT never play stats ever in an ace match no matter what

They always played Flash, then alternated between Flash/Zest, then always played Zest once Flash got terrible. Now i'd imagine the'll alternate between Zest and Life with their current roster.

I think they might have played TY once and pretty sure they've literally never played Stats

JinAir's coach is solid and plays Ace on merit. It was sOs/Maru when they were the best, now it's any combo of their core five depending on who the expected opponent is.

MVP play Marineking too much when their opponents ace isn't consistently Protoss, but they picked Losira this week. It should be Losira or Yonghwa atm.

Prime, does it matter? Creator or Yoda depending whether you think opponent is a protoss

Samsung send Dear mostly which is generally good and occasionally Solar.

SKT send Innovation which is obvious

KT coach is a basket case sometimes who survives on strength of his roster

CJ coach is incredibly lucky imo, often makes mistakes with ace player but they won a fairly high % of the time in r1, so maybe not, but I think he just ran over EV

Startale coach we haven't seen post-life, so will be interesting but was generally not a fan eg. when they played San over Life against Prime even though he won

Kinda think herO will get the job done here. Zest hasn't been at his best in a while and while it's still fairly close to a flip i'd have sent Stats as the KT coach. with likely aces of Zest/Life though herO was the right play for CJ

Last edited by SwoopAE; 03-03-2015 at 09:03 AM.
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03-03-2015 , 08:59 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SwoopAE
You've obviously never seen KT never play stats ever in an ace match no matter what

They always played Flash, then alternated between Flash/Zest, then always played Zest once Flash got terrible. Now i'd imagine the'll alternate between Zest and Life with their current roster.

I think they might have played TY once and pretty sure they've literally never played Stats
that's true
actually good for us i guess with cj bet pending
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03-03-2015 , 09:05 AM
wow 5k maxbet. in livebetting. must be insane action

Currently Zest -101 herO -116. I'd probably fire herO but effectively on him already with my CJ bet so whatever. Not a high value spot either way though

I mean byul lost to flash and we're still in a flip spot here with the CJ bet, i'd happily take that given it would be a win already if byul had won there and he was prob a small fav to
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03-03-2015 , 09:09 AM
Kinda like Zest here, but I have CJ ACE at +108 so whatever
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03-03-2015 , 09:20 AM
wp herO.

Managed to get even for the second match in reality, lost under a unit today so whatever it'll do considering Prime got stomped as expected and my largest bet of the day on byul lost
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03-03-2015 , 09:21 AM
lol KT, getting Life, still losing, despite Flash finally deciding to win a game.

Sucks for Zest, he is probably getting lectured by the coach right now.
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03-03-2015 , 09:33 AM
Coach's own fault for not picking Stats vs the assumed herO pick
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03-03-2015 , 09:42 AM
Also cant really wrap my mind how badly Life prepared for his match, again. It looked like he was playing a ladder match and got caugh off guard.
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03-03-2015 , 09:49 AM
Well i think the gasless style life played was very smart. He played to the map or the player there and was in a good position. Did he actually scout the armory? I only remember that he saw the banshee tech.

Probably the best day for me this year.
I lost:
Soo (half)
Byul

won:
SKT
SKT -1,5
CJ
Byong (double)
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03-03-2015 , 09:38 PM
I took Parting to win the GSL @ 8.780
I think he has ~50% solar but whoever wins between MMA and TY shouldn't be a threat. Also to consider that he isn't going to IEM or has pro league matches. No jet lag for the finals etc, full focus on GSL.
----------------------------
I didn't take any bets on the matches: Parting, Sola and TY, MMA so far.
Any thoughts?
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03-03-2015 , 09:51 PM
Solar is a ZvP crusher who seems to be returning to form. I agree parting is a favourite over TY or MMA (although as I have MMA at 81-1 to win Code S i'm hoping he brings it)

Don't mind the Parting to win Code S bet as his PvT is solid, Innovation is probably his most likely grand final opponent and he should have a softer than average semi final matchup

The only problem is... I kinda think Solar's going to beat Parting because he chokes a lot in Code S and Solar's form in the MU is better

If you think Parting is +100 or better against Solar though it's a good bet

At it stands I have three small dead bets to win Code S (Dream, Rain and Yoda) and three alive from the r16 (MMA 81-1, Innovation 6-1, Rogue 20-1 or thereabouts)

So far tonight I effectively have a bet on MMA due to my future to win Code S on him. Lean TY @ current lines, but the MMA who beat Innovation will win if he shows up.

As much as i'd like to see Parting do well i'm leaning Solar in the other match although Parting has a much better chance of winning Code S if he wins.

Last edited by SwoopAE; 03-03-2015 at 10:06 PM.
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03-03-2015 , 10:18 PM
i won't take a 50:50 on either parting or solar. Solar seems to be back in shape but he hasn't played any really good toss recently except SoS who did a very strange all in.
Parting has 56% pvz this year
Solar a bid higher but with wins against players like Arthur and Billowy which i wouldn't count.
I think i won't bet on those 2 gsl matches with those odds.
------
your rogue bet is still alive which is nice. I think he is very good but after I saw his bracket i abandoned the idea on betting on him winning the GSL. 20:1 still very nice, it's 12.7 or smth now.
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On Ty, i think he always has been some kind of a TvT specialist. But I don't like his overall form. MMA form is hard for me to evaluate. He has shown some very good games but also lost to fantasy 0:2.

Last edited by StarG; 03-03-2015 at 10:29 PM.
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03-03-2015 , 10:54 PM
MMA vs TY is impossible to cap because both guys are so inconsistent - at their best they're both on par with Maru and Innovation. TY plays his best more often, but MMA showed it most recently in the r16 crushing Dark and Innovation to advance

In theory TY is probably the play but I would never touch this one @ current prices with TY being a small fav because who knows what version of both guys you get. TY lost to Guilty and MMA beat Innovation not long ago. MMA also lost to Fantasy and TY beat a pile of good Terrans recently too. Anything is possible in this one.

In Solar vs Parting; both have had inconsistent form, Parting's considered the better overall player but Solar specialises a bit more in the matchup.
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03-04-2015 , 02:26 AM
http://wiki.teamliquid.net/starcraft...on_2/Qualifier

Zest lost to TangTang in Code A qualifiers LOL

Stats also managed to lose and not make it to Code A, pretty much everything else wasn't too unexpected. Hyun missing Code A I guess kinda.
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03-04-2015 , 04:44 AM
Oh, we maybe see Skyhigh vs Flash. If there were only a stream
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03-04-2015 , 04:54 AM
I hope Liquid Hero makes it. Flash too, as much as i'm not a huge fan having him in Code S is good for the game and good for us as bettors

Good to see sOs make it

Crazy that Stats and Zest didn't

Hopefully both soO and Cure make it from that group

Would be nice to see Ryung back in the first time for ages if he beats Pet

Glad Symbol made it too this morning

Sad to see Losira fall short with his solid Proleague form but hopefully DRG makes it just has to beat Journey now

2/3 of Creator/jjakji/True would be cool too
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03-04-2015 , 04:56 AM
Not making any offical plays today but I put a small sweat on Solar and I effectively have one on MMA because of my future bet so that's a big sweat given I pick up like 13u if he wins Code S for next to nothing
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03-04-2015 , 05:42 AM
Nice, DRG and Ryung made it. Good to see some of the oldschool guys make it back to Code A

I've decided i'm going to go with Solar -108 today and make it official. I think he's about -115 to -120, not an amazing spot but worth firing.

I expect him to lose in the semi final but he matches up well with Parting. Gonna bet that Solar can counter the soultrain. Parting isn't the machine he used to be in PvZ really

MMA vs TY up first, no bet straight up but cheering for MMA for my 81-1 future

I think Parting has a better chance to beat MMA or TY than Solar probably, but it's the soft half of the bracket any of them could do it. I just think Solar's ZvP > Parting's PvZ atm
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03-04-2015 , 05:56 AM
Good start

TY may be the better player right now but MMA has the big game pressure experience and that does matter

Come on MMA win it all and make me infinite money
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03-04-2015 , 06:12 AM
MMA partying like it's 2011 and he's the best player in the world

My 81-1 before the r16 looking pretty damn good spot

Massive steam on MMA in g3 now
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03-04-2015 , 06:12 AM
Well you're MMA sweat is looking pretty good Swoop.

Just made my MMA +1.5 too which is nice
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03-04-2015 , 06:14 AM
Nice - and yeah, i'm going to love my spot if Solar beats Parting, I think MMA can beat Solar playing the way he's playing atm, Parting's PvT would be a worry but the stars seem to be aligning for him, then if Innovation can deal with life and hero on the other side of the bracket... he just proved he can beat innovation in a tvt in the r16... so live
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03-04-2015 , 06:14 AM
TY is +766 in livebetting now, MMA -1200 with MMA up 2-0
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