Denver Broncos vs Seattle Seahawks in Super Bowl XLVIII on Feb 2, 2014 *Official Betting Thread - Page 4 - Sports Betting

Explain that? Why is it piss-poor reasoning? Has Denver even played against a decent, much less "good" defense all year? Look at their schedule. Balt, NYG, Oakland, Eagles, Dallas, Jax, Colts (and they lost), wash, SD, KC, NE (loss), KC, Tenn, SD (loss lol), Houston, Oakland.

They literally didn't play against a decent defense all year. They beat SD in the playoffs and just rolled NE (and they aren't all that good). (KC was pretty good this year actually)

Seattle played a harder schedule and has the same record at 13-3.

Defense wins championships. Good defenses make good offenses look bad. Seattle started the game down 10 points to a very good SF team and still won by a TD. Seattle should be favored in this game, that's simply the truth. If Kapernick didn't have a few decent runs and the Seahawks didn't fumble early the niners game would have been ugly.

I'll give it to Manning and his offense, they are really good, but if you think they are going to go out and score all over Seattle, well... lol.

I'm taking Seattle and it's not even close.

disagree with bolded, but I'm taking hawks and the points where I can get them. Will double down if the weather is nasty

Quote

01-20-2014 , 11:16 PM

#78

overcast

journeyman

Join Date: Nov 2013 Posts: 230

Quote:

Originally Posted by wil318466

They literally didn't play against a decent defense all year.

Correct. As long as you don't count the 49 points against the 7th overall DVOA defense (Bal), 41 against the 6th (NYG), and 27 & 35 against the 9th (KC). Lol

http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/teamdef

Maybe the other games were against bad defenses, but they had only had 2 in the 20s (20, 28), then had 6 in the 30s, a 45, and 3 in the 50s. Can't help who you play, but it's not easy to put up those numbers.

Quote

01-20-2014 , 11:29 PM

#79

DeezNuts

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 3,016

Quote:

Originally Posted by wil318466

This is some solid first-level analysis right here.

Quote

01-20-2014 , 11:51 PM

#80

LanceFedora

journeyman

Join Date: Jan 2014 Posts: 203

You guys are going overboard with how great Seattle's defense is this year. The NFL is an offensive league and most teams are built for offense. Just because Seattle has been the best defense this year doesn't mean they will be great in the commercialbowl. A defensive player is apt to psychological mistakes in a huge game. I don't think there's one player on Seattle that has attended this media circus before. Football is 90% mental when two teams are closely matched. Peyton Manning is a master of making a defense make mistakes.

Quote

01-20-2014 , 11:51 PM

#81

K.O.S.

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 20,798

Quote:

Originally Posted by wil318466

Defense wins championships.

Stop watching ESPN and listening to talk radio.

Last edited by K.O.S.; 01-20-2014 at 11:53 PM. Reason: and I lean Seattle, too, but not for your poor reasoning

Quote

01-21-2014 , 12:02 AM

#82

gostatego

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Nov 2006 Posts: 5,752

damn bovada has seattle +3 -115… thats a sick line. not sure if its worth the hassle of depositing and withdrawing though

Quote

01-21-2014 , 12:11 AM

#83

LiveActionPro

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2008 Posts: 6,738

Quote:

Originally Posted by LiveActionPro

Seattle has played 4 AFC teams, all 4 teams were in the AFC South, which consist of Jacksonville, Houston, Indianapolis, and Tennessee. Came out 3-1, with 116 PF and 84 PA Denver played 4 teams from the NFC, all from the NFC East, Giants, Philly, Dallas and Washington. They ended up 4-0, with a total of 189 PF and 85 PA.

I know cool beans right?

Does anyone put any stock into the fact that Seattle struggled against the AFC, they crushed Jacksonville, but lost to Indy, won in overtime with Houston, and barely beat the titans.

This will be a tough match up as Seattle hasn't once gone up against a high powered offense, and Denver hasn't come close to playing anyone with a defense.

The only bet I like right now is the Under it seems. If it's really windy and cold I think ill really fall in love with the under but who wouldn't ?

Quote

01-21-2014 , 12:43 AM

#84

GreenSmoke85

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Aug 2007 Posts: 4,427

I'd say based on Shermans interview Sea definitely has the edge in motivation. That motivation +d-fense = easy game. Willi33756654 dropping knowledge as usual.

Quote

01-21-2014 , 01:41 AM

#85

NYC_Jon

adept

Join Date: Mar 2012 Posts: 772

Quote:

Originally Posted by gostatego

damn bovada has seattle +3 -115… thats a sick line. not sure if its worth the hassle of depositing and withdrawing though

Definitely not worth it unless you've never deposited before so you don't have to pay the 4.9% deposit fee.

Quote

01-21-2014 , 02:17 AM

#86

wil318466

banned

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 19,154

Quote:

Originally Posted by DeezNuts

This is some solid first-level analysis right here.

Show me the way, brother. If you have some really deep analysis, please, share it with me. I'm more than willing to learn things and even change my bet when need be.

That being said, we can bet 1000 on the game. We can both escrow before the game and agree whoever wins the bet will tip get 5-10% to whoever holds it?

I'm more than willing to put my money where my mouth is. Are you?

Quote

01-21-2014 , 02:19 AM

#87

wil318466

banned

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 19,154

Quote:

Originally Posted by K.O.S.

Stop watching ESPN and listening to talk radio.

Haven't listened to one word of ESPN or talk radio in months. The public is on Denver 3 to 1. How could you possibly think I'm taking some sort of public opinion side?

lol

Quote

01-21-2014 , 02:43 AM

#88

LiveActionPro

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2008 Posts: 6,738

Quote:

Originally Posted by wil318466

Are you sure the NFC was tougher than the AFC ?

Quote

01-21-2014 , 02:46 AM

#89

DeezNuts

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 3,016

Quote:

Originally Posted by wil318466

You seem to have no problem adding to your douche rep that you've built on over many threads.

Quote

01-21-2014 , 05:52 AM

#90

wil318466

banned

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 19,154

Quote:

Originally Posted by DeezNuts

You seem to have no problem adding to your douche rep that you've built on over many threads.

The bet is out there for you. If you want it, then bet it. Not a big deal either way.

Disclaimer : I've never once said I'm a pro or a sharp bettor/poker player. Never. I've always said I'm a noob. And if you think I give a flying **** what people think about me, then lol at you.

The bet is there for ya though. We can do it for 1000, 100, for 10 bucks. I'm simply saying I'm on Seattle. If that's "douche', then whatever. You called me out, so put the money up. If not, then like I said, give me your analysis and we can discuss it since it's "first level analysis".

Quote

01-21-2014 , 05:59 AM

#91

wil318466

banned

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 19,154

Quote:

Originally Posted by LiveActionPro

Are you sure the NFC was tougher than the AFC ?

No, and I never said that. I simply said that the Seahawks had a tougher schedule than the Broncos had.

Quote

01-21-2014 , 08:02 AM

#92

Poogs

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 4,501

Quote:

Originally Posted by wil318466

I've never once said I'm a pro or a sharp bettor/poker player. Never.

Dont worry man nobody was confused

Quote

01-21-2014 , 11:30 AM

#93

overcast

journeyman

Join Date: Nov 2013 Posts: 230

Quote:

Originally Posted by wil318466

Haven't listened to one word of ESPN or talk radio in months. The public is on Denver 3 to 1. How could you possibly think I'm taking some sort of public opinion side?

lol

So it's your position that "the public" moved the line from pk/+1 to -2/2.5 in the first 12 hours or so?

Quote

01-21-2014 , 11:50 AM

#94

DeezNuts

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 3,016

Quote:

Originally Posted by wil318466

"Defense wins championships" lol.

Flexing with $1k = huge douche lol

Quote

01-21-2014 , 12:09 PM

#95

wil318466

banned

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 19,154

Quote:

Originally Posted by overcast

So it's your position that "the public" moved the line from pk/+1 to -2/2.5 in the first 12 hours or so?

Isn't that exactly what happened? It seemed so from what I read.

Quote

01-21-2014 , 12:12 PM

#96

wil318466

banned

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 19,154

Quote:

Originally Posted by DeezNuts

"Defense wins championships" lol.

Flexing with $1k = huge douche lol

I'm not flexing with anything. I said I'd do it for 10 bucks. What's so douche?

Quote

01-21-2014 , 12:17 PM

#97

dshen13

adept

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 894

Wil, if you want 1k on Seattle to win, I'll take Denver. I know a few HSNL regs that would escrow. Let me know.

Quote

01-21-2014 , 12:35 PM

#98

River Monster

centurion

Join Date: Oct 2006 Posts: 158

Waiting for wil318466 to utter the words:-

"Don't you open your mouth about the best"

Quote

01-21-2014 , 12:49 PM

#99

NYC_Jon

adept

Join Date: Mar 2012 Posts: 772

I'd be willing to take the Broncos for 1k as well.

Quote

01-21-2014 , 02:00 PM

#100

wil318466

banned

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 19,154

Quote:

Originally Posted by NYC_Jon

I'd be willing to take the Broncos for 1k as well.

I'm not putting the bet out there for everyone, it's for Deez only. I can get as much action as I need to on the game.

Quote

Page 4 of 20

First

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 14

Last

Post Reply Subscribe

...

Page 4 of 20

First

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 14

Last