btw how do you people deal with these local books

i'm already on my 7th and it's only two months into the nba season

what's the best out for nba props

forgive my ignorance, but i was always under the assumption this is where proxies came in

Afaik Sigs only runs a one man shop.

He told a story earlier ITT about why he rolls solo.

yeah but sponsoring junkies and sharing stories ITT about it is doing god's work

nice 4-1 but -0.02% ROI for the week, so close

if you got irv smith u3 winner

or if rudolph doesn't magically catch 3 passes in the 4th we all win

Daily: 2-2-0, +0.13u
YTD: 140-135-0, -6.82u, 330.46u risked, -2.1% ROI

ARI Oliver Ekman-Larsson u1.5 +130
ARI Clayton Keller u2.5 -143
VGK Alex Tuch u2.5 -152
PHI Kevin Hayes o2.5 +146
TOR William Nylander u2.5 +104
TBL Victor Hedman u2.5 -177
TBL Nikita Kucherov u2.5 +103
TBL Brayden Point u2.5 -145
WAS Evgeny Kuznetsov u2.5 -143

Any thoughts on what to work on next? We've been grinding SOGs for over a month now. RickJ has been killing NBA 1H after adding it to his arsenal. I was thinking NHL Goals, Assists, Points, but then we'd basically be solving NHL DFS and don't want to compete against rickroll.

What about lotto? I have a database of all the line moves since 2010 on 5D for megamillions / powerball. Lets crack this

What about NHL First Periods? I never really looked into that, but might be interesting. There was some guy here who had a long thread where he basically said take any + odds because it's a coin flip 50/50. It went on for a long time before I think he realized that was a bad idea.

found the thread

http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/show...=1#Post8627485

let's data mine it and reverse engineer.

What about NHL Go To OT? I've never been big into hockey but maybe we can figure that out. The best time was when the NHL changed the rules after the strike and several sites didn't adjust their derivative pricing to account for the higher scoring. Betting o5/o5.5 every night at huge plus odds for max for months and cashing like crazy.

That was also the year of the great fade the Lakers in the 2Q system. Lakers sucked that year, but Kobe would play the entire 1Q, sit the second, then play entire 3rd/4th every game. Except the lines weren't changed the reflect that. Think it went something crazy like 60-18-4

oh wait the next year TomG of TomG Total Bases was working on a system. Maybe we can resurrect it?

https://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/4...l+first+period

I was also blindly all in on this system like TX Rangers -2.5

All the NHL talk makes me wonder why did everyone turn on that guy shipitkthx? Wasn't he using derivatives to bet regulation and puck lines, posted some spreadsheet, everyone loved him, and then one day no one liked him and he disappeared

let's do khl.

doesn't pay as much but there are cheerleaders and they're hot cause not a feminist country and i got drunk with some players and they even brought a dancer/escort to the party with them who i had once gone on a "date" with some years back, not knowing she was a sex worker. we had been flirting and it seemed clear what we would do, but she showed up with her son and made me take photos of them in the park. they looked miserable and i told her i had to go after 30 minutes. now she ****s hockey players for money.

actually she had sex for money back then too, it just got lost in translation and i only now put it all together. "a man's support."

it was an awkward hello, seeing her again after all this time. she got too drunk and blew one of the hockey players in the toilet for $80 and got in a fight with another girl at the bar (not a sex worker, but same game, really) and the other girl pulled her hair and she started crying and a table got knocked over, a wine glass was broken, and she got thrown out.

anyway, there are about 25 teams and i've already got some #angles in mind due to some unique features of the khl vs nhl. our competition is pretty weak because 1. russian men are mostly deadbeats and 2. actually that's the main reason and should be sufficient.

i'd do it myself but i am not the math whizz that DeeplyMiserable has recently become. i bet he regretted chasing steam all those years when he discovered that he is in fact a math savant who became one of the world's premiere sports originators nearly overnight.

how about it.

Added Plays

WPG Blake Wheeler o2.5 +116
SJS Timo Meier o2.5 -115

lol HITS stories crack me up.

KHL sounds legit. Seems like there is a decent amount of liquidity too.

Ever poke around in NCAAB first halves?

I got a new book that offers Goalie Saves and Shots on Goal (!!).

So introducing TimmyG Total Goalie Saves. Just noticed, so there's only 2 games going.

Martin Jones (SJ) u28 -115
Braden Holtby (WSH) o27.5 -115
YTD: 0-0 +0u (ERROR: DIV BY 0% ROI)

this model is the same one tried to develop for playoffs last year. very minimal changes. so expect huge losses.

oh man, your stories about the KHL reflect everything I've heard about the KHL

Hits,

Yet you continually come to the chatroom that I founded with my "boss" where you managed to harass one of the actual worthwhile people we recruited into quitting.

So thanks?

PS: Never originated anything. However I did continue gods plan started by TomG and clam to end the TT hustle. So I basically bet a ton of away teams o2.5 against elite pitchers and then chased steam. Kinda like literally every derv.

think you're talking about a different chat. the one that i was initially invited to was created specifically because everyone was sick and tired of your antics. everyone was given instructions to not tell you about it and to not invite you. no recollection now for how long it was going on without you in it. but did you not find it odd that one day you got invited to a chat and everyone else was already there?

as i understand, there had indeed been a previous chat, which you were in. maybe you and arby even founded it. but i was never in that one. i only got invited to the one that was specially created to have a chatroom without you.

so thanks.

That is some pretty impressive fantasy writing. Actually Boot founded it as well. It was the three of us and it is the same chat.

You're welcome.

Daily: 5-6-0, -1.28u
YTD: 145-141-0, -8.1u, 344.21u risked, -2.4% ROI

PIT Patric Hornqvist u2.5 +115
WAS Evgeny Kuznetsov u2.5 -151
WAS John Carlson u2.5 -135

You know, I had not even considered international sports before. I thought college sports were obscure and now we have people here betting Liga ACB and KHL. Through social media, I even found this guy on gambling twitter wrecking Euro Pucks. Isn't it great to be a part of an industry that offers near-infinite ways to specialize?

LOL

When I was in the original one like 10 years ago now for a week or 2 or however long it was, I remember at least 2 people messaging me privately telling me that they couldnt stand him either and to just not respond to him about anything

i never got invited to any chat rooms

sad face

I could actually teach you and anyone else some tips on how to deal with these guys/kinds of accounts which are very much their own special 'thing'.

Must not have had the same impact on you as the rest of us but you were in there for a time. I remember because one day someone posted an arb with Pinny and then you bet the other side at Pinny so it wasn't an arb anymore, and I laughed.

are you sure it was me and not someone impersonating me? I swear i never chat room'd or did i suppress the memories because something bad happened

lets get a miller lite at VDARA