Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting - Page 74 - Sports Betting

game of inches

bloop single that was in the air for 45 seconds they can't get to in time and run scores and somehow 3 run HR.

then kenley jansen is trying to give the game away, get a miracle double play, get two men on again and he gets the K

crazy game. poor Canning too.

Quote

06-28-2019 , 12:17 AM

#1829

Schlitz mmmm

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 27,843

we'll get 'em tomorrow, boss!

gnite, crew

Quote

06-28-2019 , 01:27 AM

#1830

hedgie43

old hand

Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 1,308

Quote:

Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley

For parlays makes no sense to do things that are unrelated.

Not true. Mostly good for getting more money down, depending on the book. One of the legs doesn't even need to have +EV/0EV in many cases.

Also, uncorrelated parlays are part of a Kelly staking strategy. I know you say TomG debunked Kelly but I haven't seen the rationale.

Quote

06-28-2019 , 03:33 AM

#1831

Snipes

grinder

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 657

Quote:

Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley

Very difficult to overcome 6 homers but it could’ve been if Nolan didn’t miss 2-3 almost homers. Not sure how some of his hits stayed in the park with way the ball was flying. Walker got shelled so you got a pk +181. Job well done.

Quote

06-28-2019 , 09:56 AM

#1832

NajdorfDefense

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2003 Posts: 17,563

Quote:

Originally Posted by hedgie43

I know you say TomG debunked Kelly but I haven't seen the rationale.

That's because it was a joke.

Quote

06-28-2019 , 11:07 AM

#1833

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 11,270

can you parlay stocks or investing in companies, i don't know anything about finance

we avoided a K-tastrophe yesterday with a small win thanks to strasburg, beede, and alcantara coming up huge.

lets get back to 60% today

https://pastebin.com/2wAzzqRt

i dunno how long Sean Reid-Foley is going. My thing said 1 inning, but I bumped it up to 4.

Quote

06-28-2019 , 11:47 AM

#1834

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 11,270

I always wonder why sometimes they don't respect us.

Hit Soroka o4 +100
moves to -107
then back to 100
repeat x4

then goes OTB and now it's o4.5 -126

only $250 limits this morning. are K's dead

Quote

06-28-2019 , 12:02 PM

#1835

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 11,270

Anibal Sanchez u5.5 -125
Chirinos o5 -129
Lynn u6 127
Means u3.5 105
Clevinger o7 110
Kelly u4.5 -110
Lauer o4.5 125
Archer u5.5 143
Hernandez u5 110
Soroka o4 100

here's worst #'s i got. big on hernandez, soroka, lauer, and sanchez

medium on clevinger, means, archer

small on others

much better distribution than yesterdays 12 unders and 2 overs

Quote

06-28-2019 , 12:13 PM

#1836

zplusz

banned

Join Date: Jan 2014 Posts: 656

Limits were weird for me today, too, they were over 50% lower on only a select few of the games, but the rest were normal limits.

Same thing happened a few days ago and ROI was 60%ish.

History repeats one time?

Quote

06-28-2019 , 12:18 PM

#1837

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 11,270

You know you're in a good spot when you can arb out of almost every bet for profit

0-X incoming

Quote

06-28-2019 , 12:20 PM

#1838

zplusz

banned

Join Date: Jan 2014 Posts: 656

I'd feel better if I knew we were opposite the Action Network on a few key plays.

Quote

06-28-2019 , 12:24 PM

#1839

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 11,270

Action Network is broken right now.

They imported all zeros for last nights K's and marked all their overs as losses and they have no data for today. Must have messed up their data source.

Quote

06-28-2019 , 12:46 PM

#1840

Johnny_B

grinder

Join Date: Feb 2009 Posts: 607

Quote:

Originally Posted by zplusz

I'd feel better if I knew we were opposite the Action Network on a few key plays.

I'm going to go out on a limb and say they're with us on all the overs and against us on all the unders.

Quote

06-28-2019 , 01:07 PM

#1841

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 11,270

close. One under, Kelly which I also have.

It's crazy how HRE went away so quickly. Went from ~8 bets/day to maybe 1 or 2. Every season this happens around this time. By July everyone has MLB figured out and edges are so small. Even look at opening/closing lines. Lot of games barely moved yesterday.

Lean times incoming.

Quote

06-28-2019 , 02:18 PM

#1842

zplusz

banned

Join Date: Jan 2014 Posts: 656

HRE went away, you say?

Spoiler:

What're you on in WNBA and MLB for straight wagers tonight? So I can tail and curse us like I did with rockies last night

Quote

06-28-2019 , 02:41 PM

#1843

NajdorfDefense

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2003 Posts: 17,563

Wow, glad I got +260 on France earlier, came home to this +210 pricing or worse.

Quote

06-28-2019 , 05:13 PM

#1844

TheNonPareil

veteran

Join Date: Oct 2012 Posts: 2,035

Jon Means really moving hard against the syndicate

Quote

06-28-2019 , 05:29 PM

#1845

NajdorfDefense

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2003 Posts: 17,563

'The Orioles will carefully monitor John Means’ pitch count tonight, Brandon Hyde said.'

Also I have 7 Overs tonight. Feels dirty. Only 5 unders, but they are at least the bigger bets.

Quote

06-28-2019 , 05:57 PM

#1846

TheNonPareil

veteran

Join Date: Oct 2012 Posts: 2,035

Cool I just maxed it twice at 146 and 130... had to make the syndicate proud

Hopefully that means mega short hook

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Quote

06-28-2019 , 06:16 PM

#1847

Schlitz mmmm

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 27,843

40 minutes ago, Archer was available at my book for like +130 at under 5.5. Should I mash it?

ok all aboard the Means train

Quote

06-28-2019 , 06:21 PM

#1848

NajdorfDefense

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2003 Posts: 17,563

What does Kelly say?

Quote

06-28-2019 , 06:26 PM

#1849

Schlitz mmmm

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 27,843

4.5

-115 each way

Quote

06-28-2019 , 07:15 PM

#1850

zplusz

banned

Join Date: Jan 2014 Posts: 656

"Take under 4.5, for kelly"

"Ok, but what's the players name I'm taking under 4.5?"

"You're taking under 4.5 FOR KELLY DUDE. PUT THE BET IN"

"WHATS THE MANS NAME WHO IM BETTING?! I KNOW IM BETTING ACCORDING TO KELLY CRITERION! BUT WHAT IS THE PERSONS NAME TO BET!?"

cue the bad whos-on-first routine abbot and costello style.

i give this joke a C+

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