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Old 04-08-2019, 12:22 PM   #151
DefNotRsigley
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

The Marte should be good at -130 IMO

Also typoe the Choi was u2 not 1.5 and u2 -114 is still good
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Old 04-08-2019, 12:25 PM   #152
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

betbuilder may be scraping this thread and auto adjusting
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Old 04-08-2019, 01:01 PM   #153
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

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Greeks early TB lines look sharp to me. We stay disciplined and wait for the hit/no hit markets to open.
here's what i have for the early games:


J HEYWARD (CUB) YES HIT -200
J HEYWARD (CUB) NO HIT +160

C DICKERSON (PIT) YES HIT -200
C DICKERSON (PIT) NO HIT +160

T ANDERSON (CWS) YES HIT -175
T ANDERSON (CWS) NO HIT +140

Y DIAZ (TAM) YES HIT -200
Y DIAZ (TAM) NO HIT +160
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Old 04-08-2019, 01:03 PM   #154
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

Snell u7.5 +130
Rodon o6 +100
Estrada o3.5 -114 (2712 STAR play, this line is ridiculous)
Tanaka u5.5 -114 (999 star PLAY, this line is ridiculous)
Miles Mikolas o4 -114
Felix Hernandez o4 -108
Freeland u5 -108
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Old 04-08-2019, 01:15 PM   #155
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

I'm really big on under for a lot of Dodgers. What do other syndicate subsets think? Overreaction by the books after a weekend in COL? Is Miles Mikolas not as good as TGTB v3.2 (BETA) thinks? I think an issue with taking a lot of unders in same game is if one person gets on and then Turner rocks a home run all of a sudden we are losing 9 bets. It seems there's a better chance to lose them all than win them all but I don't know math too well

Bryce Harper (PHI) o2 -114
Matt David Chapman (OAK) o2 -114
Stephen Piscotty (OAK) o2 -114
Luke Voit (NYA) u1.5 -114
Matt Carpenter (SLN) o2 +127
Justin Turner (LAN) u2 -108
Corey Seager (LAN) u2 -114
AJ Pollock (LAN) u2 -114
Max Muncy (LAN) u2 -108
Edwin Encarnacion (SEA) u2.5 -120
Ozzie Albies (ATL) u2.5 -120
Eric Hosmer (SDN) u1.5 -114

E. Lauer K o4 -114
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Old 04-08-2019, 01:44 PM   #156
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

All in on estrada over 3.5 ks too ...I like losing his overs too because his fastball tops at about 72 mph and it makes me feel smart for betting the over
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Old 04-08-2019, 01:55 PM   #157
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

We moved the line to o4 -143 so extremely likely to lose.

Same with Mikolas to o4.5 -140 (which I wouldn't bet) and Tanaka u5.5 to -167

See you guys at the Las Vegas homeless shelter tonight
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Old 04-08-2019, 02:08 PM   #158
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

Y DIAZ (TAM) YES HIT -200

Risking 2.0u
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Old 04-08-2019, 02:14 PM   #159
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

Cervelli HRR +130 over Contreras 5dimes

Risking 1u
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Old 04-08-2019, 02:38 PM   #160
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

Marte > Baez -120 in the early games, more to come
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Old 04-08-2019, 03:16 PM   #161
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

Looks like we are on the other side of a couple plays, DNRS not a good look for the syndicate.

Rendon > Hoskins -105
Yuli Gurriel > G. Sanchez +105
Cain > K. Calhoun -127
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Old 04-08-2019, 03:19 PM   #162
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

I'd fade me forever. Have a big bet on the under in Cubs and then they score 6 runs off a 2 out error

And then Rendon walks the first 17 batters to start the game

but we did luckbox a Jon Lester injury with him at 4ks, so the $200 will soften the blow of the incoming 10k loss on the under
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Old 04-08-2019, 04:38 PM   #163
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

PHI R.Hoskins hits a HR YES +384 5dimes

+ev hedge for fubster
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Old 04-08-2019, 04:39 PM   #164
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

Risk 1u
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Old 04-08-2019, 05:30 PM   #165
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

https://pastebin.com/jfE6caXU
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Old 04-08-2019, 05:56 PM   #166
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

A MONDESI (KAN) YES HIT -180

Risk 1.8u
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Old 04-08-2019, 06:04 PM   #167
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

We eeked out a small profit in the morning. Let's keep it going.

I found a ABC Islands clone. I'd like to thank the syndicate for having me pursue other outs. I gave up after most of the sportsbook pulled out and the hassle of getting banned and moving money, etc. but I forgot bitcoin existed and it makes it easier. Plus now I'm investing an hour or so a day into small props that I'm making slight profit on. Great investment

These are also on 5dimes because I think ABC Islands is a 5dimes clone

Blackmon HRR -120 over Markakis
CHapman HRR -125 over Mancini
Soto +120 over O. Herrera (even TomG would recommend this one I bet)

Ks:
Chacin o4 +110
Bumgarner u5.5 +110

Also we got this Tanaka K down to u5 -165 from u5.5 -114. Should we hedge and get that $17.87 guaranteed profit with a freeroll on a 5 push?

Last edited by DefNotRsigley; 04-08-2019 at 06:13 PM.
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Old 04-08-2019, 06:06 PM   #168
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

KAN A.Gordon HRR o2.0 +125 5d
SEA M.Haniger HRR o2.5 +135 5d
COL C.Blackmon HRR o2.5 +125 5d
ATL R.Acuna Jr HRR o2.5 +125 5d

Risking 4.0u
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Old 04-08-2019, 06:09 PM   #169
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

ABCislands is a jazz clone, they do their own numbers
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Old 04-08-2019, 06:09 PM   #170
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

Adding

Soto HRR +110 over O.Herrera 5D
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Old 04-08-2019, 06:11 PM   #171
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

COL C.Blackmon HRR -130 over ATL N.Markakis 5D
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Old 04-08-2019, 06:14 PM   #172
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

That's all I feel like looking at for now. Grand total risking 12.1u on the day. Good luck team.
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Old 04-08-2019, 06:16 PM   #173
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

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Originally Posted by Fubster View Post
ABCislands is a jazz clone, they do their own numbers
Nice, maybe 5D copies them.

BTW I don't know how we can benefit from this, but I have every HRR H2H and o/u line move from 5D since 2014

How can we leverage this to syndicate better

Thank you TomG for co-signing on Blackmon and Soto. Gonna go spend the winnings now because of your majik touch.

The blackmon is ridiculous for two reasons (1) better player than markakis, (2) he's batting 1 vs. 5th for markakis so should get an extra AB. Pitchers are a wash there. Both are scrubs.
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Old 04-08-2019, 06:53 PM   #174
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

Last one probably

Verlander K u8 +120

Godspeed
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Old 04-08-2019, 07:03 PM   #175
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

Adding on

Bour (LAA) HRR o2.0 +105
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