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Sports Betting Discussions related to wagering on sporting events. |
04-08-2019, 12:22 PM
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#151
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Sep 2013
Posts: 11,270
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting
The Marte should be good at -130 IMO
Also typoe the Choi was u2 not 1.5 and u2 -114 is still good
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04-08-2019, 12:25 PM
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#152
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Pooh-Bah
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: prop manager, crowdsource syndicate
Posts: 4,099
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting
betbuilder may be scraping this thread and auto adjusting
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04-08-2019, 01:01 PM
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#153
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newbie
Join Date: Apr 2019
Posts: 44
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting
Quote:
Originally Posted by TomG
Greeks early TB lines look sharp to me. We stay disciplined and wait for the hit/no hit markets to open.
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here's what i have for the early games:
J HEYWARD (CUB) YES HIT -200
J HEYWARD (CUB) NO HIT +160
C DICKERSON (PIT) YES HIT -200
C DICKERSON (PIT) NO HIT +160
T ANDERSON (CWS) YES HIT -175
T ANDERSON (CWS) NO HIT +140
Y DIAZ (TAM) YES HIT -200
Y DIAZ (TAM) NO HIT +160
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04-08-2019, 01:03 PM
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#154
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Sep 2013
Posts: 11,270
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting
Snell u7.5 +130
Rodon o6 +100
Estrada o3.5 -114 (2712 STAR play, this line is ridiculous)
Tanaka u5.5 -114 (999 star PLAY, this line is ridiculous)
Miles Mikolas o4 -114
Felix Hernandez o4 -108
Freeland u5 -108
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04-08-2019, 01:15 PM
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#155
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Sep 2013
Posts: 11,270
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting
I'm really big on under for a lot of Dodgers. What do other syndicate subsets think? Overreaction by the books after a weekend in COL? Is Miles Mikolas not as good as TGTB v3.2 (BETA) thinks? I think an issue with taking a lot of unders in same game is if one person gets on and then Turner rocks a home run all of a sudden we are losing 9 bets. It seems there's a better chance to lose them all than win them all but I don't know math too well
Bryce Harper (PHI) o2 -114
Matt David Chapman (OAK) o2 -114
Stephen Piscotty (OAK) o2 -114
Luke Voit (NYA) u1.5 -114
Matt Carpenter (SLN) o2 +127
Justin Turner (LAN) u2 -108
Corey Seager (LAN) u2 -114
AJ Pollock (LAN) u2 -114
Max Muncy (LAN) u2 -108
Edwin Encarnacion (SEA) u2.5 -120
Ozzie Albies (ATL) u2.5 -120
Eric Hosmer (SDN) u1.5 -114
E. Lauer K o4 -114
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04-08-2019, 01:44 PM
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#156
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veteran
Join Date: Oct 2012
Posts: 2,024
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting
All in on estrada over 3.5 ks too ...I like losing his overs too because his fastball tops at about 72 mph and it makes me feel smart for betting the over
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04-08-2019, 01:55 PM
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#157
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Sep 2013
Posts: 11,270
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting
We moved the line to o4 -143 so extremely likely to lose.
Same with Mikolas to o4.5 -140 (which I wouldn't bet) and Tanaka u5.5 to -167
See you guys at the Las Vegas homeless shelter tonight
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04-08-2019, 02:08 PM
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#158
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Pooh-Bah
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: prop manager, crowdsource syndicate
Posts: 4,099
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting
Y DIAZ (TAM) YES HIT -200
Risking 2.0u
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04-08-2019, 02:14 PM
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#159
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Pooh-Bah
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: prop manager, crowdsource syndicate
Posts: 4,099
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting
Cervelli HRR +130 over Contreras 5dimes
Risking 1u
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04-08-2019, 02:38 PM
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#160
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 8,945
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting
Marte > Baez -120 in the early games, more to come
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04-08-2019, 03:16 PM
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#161
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 8,945
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting
Looks like we are on the other side of a couple plays, DNRS not a good look for the syndicate.
Rendon > Hoskins -105
Yuli Gurriel > G. Sanchez +105
Cain > K. Calhoun -127
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04-08-2019, 03:19 PM
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#162
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Sep 2013
Posts: 11,270
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting
I'd fade me forever. Have a big bet on the under in Cubs and then they score 6 runs off a 2 out error
And then Rendon walks the first 17 batters to start the game
but we did luckbox a Jon Lester injury with him at 4ks, so the $200 will soften the blow of the incoming 10k loss on the under
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04-08-2019, 04:38 PM
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#163
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Pooh-Bah
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: prop manager, crowdsource syndicate
Posts: 4,099
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting
PHI R.Hoskins hits a HR YES +384 5dimes
+ev hedge for fubster
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04-08-2019, 04:39 PM
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#164
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Pooh-Bah
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: prop manager, crowdsource syndicate
Posts: 4,099
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting
Risk 1u
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04-08-2019, 05:30 PM
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#165
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newbie
Join Date: Apr 2019
Posts: 44
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting
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04-08-2019, 05:56 PM
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#166
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Pooh-Bah
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: prop manager, crowdsource syndicate
Posts: 4,099
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting
A MONDESI (KAN) YES HIT -180
Risk 1.8u
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04-08-2019, 06:04 PM
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#167
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Sep 2013
Posts: 11,270
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting
We eeked out a small profit in the morning. Let's keep it going.
I found a ABC Islands clone. I'd like to thank the syndicate for having me pursue other outs. I gave up after most of the sportsbook pulled out and the hassle of getting banned and moving money, etc. but I forgot bitcoin existed and it makes it easier. Plus now I'm investing an hour or so a day into small props that I'm making slight profit on. Great investment
These are also on 5dimes because I think ABC Islands is a 5dimes clone
Blackmon HRR -120 over Markakis
CHapman HRR -125 over Mancini
Soto +120 over O. Herrera (even TomG would recommend this one I bet)
Ks:
Chacin o4 +110
Bumgarner u5.5 +110
Also we got this Tanaka K down to u5 -165 from u5.5 -114. Should we hedge and get that $17.87 guaranteed profit with a freeroll on a 5 push?
Last edited by DefNotRsigley; 04-08-2019 at 06:13 PM.
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04-08-2019, 06:06 PM
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#168
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Pooh-Bah
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: prop manager, crowdsource syndicate
Posts: 4,099
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting
KAN A.Gordon HRR o2.0 +125 5d
SEA M.Haniger HRR o2.5 +135 5d
COL C.Blackmon HRR o2.5 +125 5d
ATL R.Acuna Jr HRR o2.5 +125 5d
Risking 4.0u
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04-08-2019, 06:09 PM
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#169
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 8,945
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting
ABCislands is a jazz clone, they do their own numbers
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04-08-2019, 06:09 PM
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#170
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Pooh-Bah
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: prop manager, crowdsource syndicate
Posts: 4,099
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting
Adding
Soto HRR +110 over O.Herrera 5D
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04-08-2019, 06:11 PM
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#171
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Pooh-Bah
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: prop manager, crowdsource syndicate
Posts: 4,099
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting
COL C.Blackmon HRR -130 over ATL N.Markakis 5D
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04-08-2019, 06:14 PM
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#172
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Pooh-Bah
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: prop manager, crowdsource syndicate
Posts: 4,099
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting
That's all I feel like looking at for now. Grand total risking 12.1u on the day. Good luck team.
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04-08-2019, 06:16 PM
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#173
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Sep 2013
Posts: 11,270
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fubster
ABCislands is a jazz clone, they do their own numbers
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Nice, maybe 5D copies them.
BTW I don't know how we can benefit from this, but I have every HRR H2H and o/u line move from 5D since 2014
How can we leverage this to syndicate better
Thank you TomG for co-signing on Blackmon and Soto. Gonna go spend the winnings now because of your majik touch.
The blackmon is ridiculous for two reasons (1) better player than markakis, (2) he's batting 1 vs. 5th for markakis so should get an extra AB. Pitchers are a wash there. Both are scrubs.
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04-08-2019, 06:53 PM
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#174
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Sep 2013
Posts: 11,270
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting
Last one probably
Verlander K u8 +120
Godspeed
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04-08-2019, 07:03 PM
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#175
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Pooh-Bah
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: prop manager, crowdsource syndicate
Posts: 4,099
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting
Adding on
Bour (LAA) HRR o2.0 +105
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