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Old 06-08-2019, 12:22 AM   #1326
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

Quote:
Originally Posted by NicholasJ View Post
Marlins +180
Nats -102
Mariners +177
I've been tailing and wanted to let you know that your posts are much appreciated.

Also thanks to DefNotRsigley on the o/u's.

Anyone interested in Hearthstone?
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Old 06-08-2019, 01:13 AM   #1327
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

I took Purple -118 over ETC GrandMasters 2019 Americas 6/8/19 2pmCST.
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Old 06-08-2019, 09:25 AM   #1328
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

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Originally Posted by atrainpsu View Post
Another good win today. Hoping for a miracle stat correction on draymond o9.5 rebounds.

Anyone remember that shot clock violation near end of 3rd q? They initially gave him a rebound but took it away. When I slow-Moed it, it looked like the ball was in his hands when the clock expired.

Cmon NBA do your fans right! All those poor people who bet draymond to get a triple double
Didn't watch the game but now im pretty tilted, would of been an extra 5k.
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Old 06-08-2019, 09:52 AM   #1329
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

Idk how people watch the games they bet on

Best decision i ever made in my life was to stop that ****
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Old 06-08-2019, 10:12 AM   #1330
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

I bet horses in the casino and the games are just on the TV. They didn't even have a TV for us horse races last night, wall to wall of the NBA game.

Can't remember the last time I saw a projection as high as Scherzer's today. Wonder what TomG (have to expand that table past o7) and bettertimes have or what line is posted. I'm guessing this might come down when the first morning update comes through, but who knows. I only have him projected currently for 19.7 outs which seems crazy that about 11 of them will be K's.

https://pastebin.com/wpLSKVz6

The table only goes to 10, so 10.5 for him would be

over: 51.6
under: 48.36
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Old 06-08-2019, 10:25 AM   #1331
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

Trevor Cahill got pushed back, so here is projection with Dillon Peters

https://pastebin.com/YBz2hFuq
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Old 06-08-2019, 10:34 AM   #1332
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

Two even bets today

TBA/BOS Game 1 E +130 2u
OAK/TEX Game 2 E +130 2u
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Old 06-08-2019, 11:28 AM   #1333
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

Orioles/Astros 1st 5 o5 -105
Pirates +161

Tennis:
Lisicki +135
Zhang +145
Gerasimov +200

UFC:
Ferguson -135

Graded (forgot to post)
Menendez-Maceiras +175 (L)
Viola +255 (W)

#alldogsgo2heaven
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Old 06-08-2019, 11:29 AM   #1334
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

Not DNRS or TomG's Total K's 6/8/19

https://pastebin.com/BYg0kFpe
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Old 06-08-2019, 11:40 AM   #1335
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

Quote:
Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley View Post
I bet horses in the casino and the games are just on the TV. They didn't even have a TV for us horse races last night, wall to wall of the NBA game.

Can't remember the last time I saw a projection as high as Scherzer's today. Wonder what TomG (have to expand that table past o7) and bettertimes have or what line is posted. I'm guessing this might come down when the first morning update comes through, but who knows. I only have him projected currently for 19.7 outs which seems crazy that about 11 of them will be K's.

https://pastebin.com/wpLSKVz6

The table only goes to 10, so 10.5 for him would be

over: 51.6
under: 48.36
Congrats to everyone who got Giolito at +120 and +115

Have Scherzer 10.5 at u50.17/o49.83
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Old 06-08-2019, 11:45 AM   #1336
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

I have 2 on Giolito under at -115 and -120. Am I going broke
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Old 06-08-2019, 11:52 AM   #1337
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

Quote:
Originally Posted by NicholasJ View Post
Orioles/Astros 1st 5 o5 -105
Pirates +161

Tennis:
Lisicki +135
Zhang +145
Gerasimov +200

UFC:
Ferguson -135

Graded (forgot to post)
Menendez-Maceiras +175 (L)
Viola +255 (W)

#alldogsgo2heaven
+1 same pick
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Old 06-08-2019, 02:08 PM   #1338
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

Twins -220
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Old 06-08-2019, 04:13 PM   #1339
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

Giolito is too good, I don't know why my model has been hating on his the last couple of starts after riding him to success early on. Helped that the ump called about 5 looking third strikes way out of the box

Luckbox of the day with Keller though to cancel out the Giolito loss. 4 K's in 3 innings then somehow cash u4.5 even though he throws a complete game
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Old 06-08-2019, 04:19 PM   #1340
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

It may be low limit, but betting Even Odd has to be the most exciting bet out there. every run matters

4-2 bottom 8th
homerun oh no now odd
bunt single to pitcher top 9th to score a run and now it's 6-2 and back to even

so many emotional swings. can it hold at 6-2????
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Old 06-08-2019, 05:03 PM   #1341
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

I don't want to clutter this thread with eSports posts and I'm not sure if they're even welcome. Please let me know.

Muzzy (-102) over StrifeCro (-135) Game 1
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Old 06-08-2019, 05:07 PM   #1342
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

Quote:
Originally Posted by BOLplayer View Post
I don't want to clutter this thread with eSports posts and I'm not sure if they're even welcome. Please let me know.

Muzzy (-102) over StrifeCro (-135) Game 1
Its crowdsourced everyone welcome to contribute. Also nice call on Purple followed that one.
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Old 06-08-2019, 05:35 PM   #1343
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

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Its crowdsourced everyone welcome to contribute. Also nice call on Purple followed that one.
Thanks!

I am not sure why Muzzy is the dog here. Maybe because StrifeCro is such a fan favorite? Or perhaps because StrifeCro is 4-2 and Muzzy is 3-3. Muzzy is #3 in the World, StrifeCro is #40 per GosuGamers.

Muzzy is on Cyclone Mage
StrifeCro is on Mech Paladin

I'm generally going to be betting on decks that play SN1P-SN4P most of the time, but this is a 36% match-up for Mech Paladin according to HSReplay. On top of that, Muzzy is playing 2 main deck Frost Novas which is just a nightmare for Paladin (most have 1 in the sideboard at most.)

That said, StrifeCro has a good board plan for Muzzy here with +2 Equality/+2 Consecration, while Muzzy won't be siding at all.

I took Muzzy for both Game 1 and the match.
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Old 06-08-2019, 06:10 PM   #1344
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

2 lucky pushes with lyles and teheran o5 both striking out 2 in their last inning

plus on greinke/valdez/keller minus on giolitto/roark/sabathia for a small winning morning

lets get these afternoon games

J Gray o6 -115
Matz u5.5 110
Flaherty o6.5 118
Samardzija u3.5 146
Hill o6.5 -119
Matz u5.5 135
Kikuchi o3.5 110
Lauer o4.5 127
Scherzer o9.5 -130
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Old 06-08-2019, 07:52 PM   #1345
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

Hearthstone Grandmasters Asia-Pacific - 2019 Season 1 (June 9, 4:00 AM CST)

If you're going to be up at 4 in the morning and want either a sweat or a match-up so long and boring you'll be lulled to sleep, I present

Tyler (-110) vs. Bloodtrail (-127)

Tyler (3-2, Rank #76) on Bomb Warrior
Bloodtrail (1-3, Rank #73) on Bomb Warrior

Mirror match-up with only 3 cards difference in the main decks. Tyler has 1 Acolyte of Pain, 1 Omega Devastator, 1 Jepetto Joybuzz where Bloodtrail has 1 Weapons Project, 1 SN1P-SN4P, 1 Harrison Jones.

Game 1 is a flip. Weapons Project is a horrendous card in the mirror but nothing really matters because whoever draws Dr. Boom, Mad Genius first is going to win.

They both also have similar sideboarding plans with again only 3 cards difference. Tyler has 1 Omega Devastator, 1 Cairne Bloodhoof, 1 Grommash Hellscream where Bloodtrail has 1 SN1P-SN4P, 1 Barista Lynchen, 1 Seaforium Bomber. Here I give a definite edge to Tyler; his legendaries are bigger and more impactful.

Tyler is on a very good team, compLexity, while Bloodtrail is a free agent. Tyler is currently Rank #1 on the Asia ladder and streams; I know nothing of Bloodtrail other than he won the Invitational last year.

I don't think there's a ton of value here but I am surprised Tyler is the dog. I bet on Tyler to win the match only.

Prediction: Tyler 2-1
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Old 06-08-2019, 11:35 PM   #1346
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

Ryvius -118 over che0ngsu Match

Could only find one picture of Ryvius in GIS and it was him playing Warrior and falling asleep. He is clearly prepped for this Warrior mirror. Also Lieutenant che0nsu, you ain't got no sideboard! These are the two worst players in the group with Ryvius at 2-4 and che0nsu 1-5.

FroStee +106 over Flurry Game 1

I always preferred Frostys to McFlurrys. The worst matchup for Tempo Rogue (Flurry 4-1) is Bomb Warrior (FroStee 2-3). This is a rematch from last month which went 2-1 Flurry and they've both brought very similar decks again. FroStee's Bomb Warrior list was kinda junky and unrefined before though and now it's a well-polished meta monster, whereas the Rogue class has taken a ton of nerfs. Unfortunately FroStee has no SB for this matchup while Flurry basically transforms his deck into a Toggwaggle Scheme combo deck.

Staz -110 over Surrender Match

Both players are on sponsored teams, Surrender (2-3) on SKT South Korea Telecom, one of the biggest esports teams in Korea and Staz (1-4) Bren eSports, which I've never heard of. This is a rematch with Surrender beating Staz previously 2-1. Surrender is bringing Bomb Warrior again, with Staz switching from Mage to Spell Hunter, which is the highest winrate deck on the ladder at 56.1%; its Bomb Warrior matchup is only 50.7%, though. The problem for Surrender here is that he has no good SB plans for Spell Hunter - Weapons Project is usually great against Hunter but not the card you want here. Meanwhile Staz has late-game nasties 2x Savannah Highmane, 1x Nine Lives, 1x Unleash the Beast.
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Old 06-08-2019, 11:43 PM   #1347
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

looks like getting destroyed in the afternoon

thumbs up
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Old 06-09-2019, 12:08 AM   #1348
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

Quote:
Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley View Post
Two even bets today

TBA/BOS Game 1 E +130 2u LOSS -2u
OAK/TEX Game 2 E +130 2u WIN +2.6u
Yesterday: 1-1 +0.6u
Total: 7-9 +3u

That TBA/BOS Game was a roller coaster.
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Old 06-09-2019, 09:20 AM   #1349
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

Quote:
Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley View Post
looks like getting destroyed in the afternoon

thumbs up
Matz striking out 5 in the first 2 innings was clearly a sign the rest of the night was going to be a disaster and after Sampson got 2 in the T1 I turned off the MLB app for the rest of the night.

Following the Giolito start was comical. T1 no k's, proceeds to get 11 k's on his next 12 outs. MLB.com had an article the other day about how he spent his offseason working on improving his spin rates and his mental approach through some program that reads brainwaves or something. As someone who lives in Chicago and kind of casually follows the White Sox there's probably no way they initiated that and guessing he took that up on his own accord.

Not DNRS or TomG's Total K's 6/9/19

https://pastebin.com/NuymqQ8Z

I'll try and post an update once lineups are set.
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Old 06-09-2019, 09:33 AM   #1350
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

good thing a mlb game can't end in zero or double zero or we'd be screwed!!
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