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04-28-2019 , 01:18 PM
What else is there to do with life? I tried to "Retire" a couple years ago. I watched about 37 seasons of various TV Shows, 200 or so movies, and was in the best shape of my life because I worked out 2x/day and cooked healthy stuff everyday instead of eating out for every meal.

but I was empty inside. Life had no purpose. Lasted about 4 months from December-March.

10 years of gambling will bring you fulfillment

Last edited by fkjlhfdkjhkj.; 04-28-2019 at 01:30 PM.
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04-28-2019 , 01:33 PM
Two days in a row we have u2 on someone and they get hit by a pitch while swinging and have to leave the game

Mancini yesterday, Cano today

Is this a new angle to exploit?

Mondesi HRR -115 over Lucroy (another? So many lines off today I feel like we are gonna get crushed)
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04-28-2019 , 01:42 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley
What else is there to do with life? I tried to "Retire" a couple years ago. ...
but I was empty inside. Life had no purpose. Lasted about 4 months from December-March.

10 years of gambling will bring you fulfillment

That's how I feel about my job investing, what am I gonna do, retire and give my money to someone else to invest?

How many yachts can you water-ski behind?
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04-28-2019 , 03:31 PM
Can we get a yacht into Lake Mead?

Rizzo o2 -114
Belt o1.5 -114
Bellinger o2
Pederson o2
Gallo u2
J. Bell o1.5
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04-28-2019 , 04:48 PM
HRR H2H:
Kipnis +105 Gurriel
J. Ramirez +105 Bregman
Lindor -110 Altuve
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04-28-2019 , 07:44 PM
Spoiler:
RedSox 2h ML -110 WIN +1.0
Dodger 2H ML -119 WIN +1.0
Twins 2H ML -119 LOSS -1.19
Mariners 2H ML +105 LOSS -1.0
Giants 2H ML +105 PUSH 0
MIL/NYM 2H o3.0 -119 WIN +1.0
2H Daily: 3-2-1, +0.81u
2H YTD: 3-2-1, +0.81u, 6.67u risked, +12.1% ROI
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04-28-2019 , 07:53 PM
i guess i should just backtest this model. i usually just build these and bet it. anyone have historical lines and results from bookmaker or wherever for this props

run in first, rhe, team to score first, 2h ml, 2h total, runlines, alt rls, 2.5 rls

post 'em here and i'll run some backtests and share the results
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04-28-2019 , 09:57 PM
Somehow only lost 1.48u today, lot in HRR. All those "how are these lines real" lost or pushed, so owned. I don't understand how when I win at TB I lose at HRR and vice versa. Shouldn't there be some correlation?

TB:
McCutchen -115 over S. Castro (BM) PUSH
Bryant -115 over Peralta WIN +1
Bellinger -135 over Bell WIN +1
K. Davis -105 over Vlad Guerrero Jr WIN +1
G. Sanchez -110 over B. Belt WIN +1
Castellanos +105 over Abreu PUSH
Machado -115 over Soto LOSS -1.15
Yesterday: 4-1-2 +2.85
Total: 57-55-25 -1.92u

K:
Pablo Lopez o5 -114 LOSS -1.14
Z. Eflin o5 -114 LOSS -1.14 (CG 3K)
Sale o8.5 -112 (BM) LOSS -1.12 (should have taken the o8 with more juice)
Glasnow o5 -114 WIN +1
Lucchesi o5.5 +128 (BM) LOSS -1
Hellickson o4 +168 (BM) LOSS -1
Gaussman u5.5 +110 WIN +1
Tyler Anderson o4.5 +114 WIN +1.14
R. Lopez o6 -103 WIN +1
Sonny Gray o5 +113 (BM) PUSH
Flaherty o6.5 +103 (BM) LOSS -1
Bassit o4.5 +106 (BM) WIN +1.06
Bundy o5 -114 WIN +1
Kyle Gibson u5 +142 (BM) LOSS -1
D. Rodriguez o4 -125 LOSS -1.25
D. German o5.5 -104 LOSS -1.04
Lance Lynn o5 -114 WIN +1
L. Weaver u6 -115 (BM) WIN +1
T. Williams o4 +101 (BM) WIN +1.01
Carrasco o6.5 +131 (BM) WIN +1.31
Yesterday: 10-9-1 +0.83
Total: 167-148-33 +10.83u

HRR:
Simmons u2 LOSS -1.14
E. Suarez o1.5 LOSS -1.14
F. Tatis o2 WIN +1
Votto o1.5 LOSS -1.14
Villar o1.5 LOSS -1.14
Donaldson o2 WIN +1
Machado o2 WIN +1
Carpenter o1.5 CANCELLED (DNS)
Chapman o2 PUSH
Kepler o2 WIN +1
N. Walker o1.5 CANCELLED (DNS)
DeJong u2 PUSH
Mondesi o2 LOSS -1.14
Cano u2 WIN +1
Acuna o2 LOSS -1.14
Myers o2 -103 LOSS -1.03
Y. Alonso o1.5 CANCELLED (DNS)
Y. Moncada u2 PUSH
S. Castro HRR +115 over M. Franco PUSH
L. Cain HRR -115 over W. Ramos LOSS -1.15
Arenado HRR -105 over Markakis LOSS -1.05
Nunez HRR +115 over Schoop LOSS -1
Villar HRR +115 over M. Gonzalez LOSS -1
Mondesi HRR -115 over Lucroy PUSH
Belt o1.5 -114 WIN +1
Bellinger o2 WIN +1
Pederson o2 PUSH
Gallo u2 CANCELLED (DNS)
J. Bell o1.5 WIN +1
Rizzo o2 -114 LOSS -1.14 (bases loaded twice and nothing, not even a sac fly)
Kipnis +105 Gurriel LOSS -1
J. Ramirez +105 Bregman WIN +1.05
Lindor -110 Altuve PUSH
Yesterday: 9-12-7 -5.16u
Total: 1784-151-53 +17.87u
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04-28-2019 , 10:32 PM
I don't think there's as much correlation as you think, lots of the RR cannibalizes TB.
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04-28-2019 , 10:35 PM
siggy do you sell any of your data? i'll pay you a wendys spicy chicken sandwich for some baseball stuff that i am too stupid/lazy to figure out where to scrape it from. i'll share my findings with the syndicate of course, perhaps with a shared private github repo to prevent rival groups from frontrunning us before PPH goes up and CRIS switches to full limits.
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04-29-2019 , 06:06 AM
Lol
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04-29-2019 , 12:36 PM


HRR limits raised to $2500, K still at $200

Lets get this 401k and 529 for our kids TomG
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04-29-2019 , 01:27 PM
Anyone checking out some of these BM Total bases today? I never seen a +180 before in my life let alone 4 of them.
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04-29-2019 , 02:02 PM
Spain - La Liga Corners

Real Betis (Corners) AH -0,5 @ 1,62
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04-29-2019 , 02:44 PM
What type of data

K:
Means o5 -110 (BM)
E. Rodriguez u5.5 +125 (BM)
Freeland o5 -115 (BM)
Margevicius o4 -115 (BM)
Wacha Flocka Flame o4.5 -115 (BM)
Montas o4 +110
Odorizzi o3.5 -114
Verlander o7.5 -114
Maeda o5 -114
Corbin o7 -114

TB (BM):
Moncada -115 over R. Nunez
Piscotty +158 over Mookie Betts
Hosmer +150 over Freeman
Soto +135 over Ozuna

HRR:
Bregman o2
Gordon u2
Benintendi o2
Belt o2
Blackmon o2
Bellinger o2 -125
Rosario o1.5
Suarez o1.5
Springer o2
Longoria u1.5
Votto o1.5
Villar o1.5
Donaldson o2
Pillar u1.5 -103
Carpenter o1.5
Kepler o1.5
Cruz o1.5
Goldschmidt o2
Acuna o2
Myers o1.5
Puig o1.5

HRR H2H:
Benintendi -115 over PIscotty
Semien -105 over Bogaerts
Donaldson -115 over Myers
Hosmer -105 over Markakis
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04-29-2019 , 02:58 PM
I dunno I had an idea last night but forgot it
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04-29-2019 , 05:59 PM
have you guys checked out HRE in the first inning?
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04-29-2019 , 06:53 PM
big movements on bookmaker's total bases today. i think private syndicates are starting to compete betting those markets up extremely high.

let me tell you something, some people are experts on total bases. others are experts on hits+runs+rbis. there is one group at the center of both hrr and tb and that are the dfs guys. they study this stuff more than anyone and are begging to give away their information to you. subscribe to the bat today.
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04-29-2019 , 07:03 PM
Is that why their site is down right now? Too much sharp action
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04-29-2019 , 07:11 PM
HOU/Min Yes Run 1st Inning (+110), 5D

Chart approved.
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04-29-2019 , 07:12 PM
Can't log into BM for some reason but if I did I'd bet these

SD/ATL 2H o3.5 -115
BAL/CWS 2H u3.5 -115
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04-29-2019 , 07:16 PM
I have a fair line of +113 for that RIF but I haven't backtested it and may be wrong whereas TheChart has a documented record of success
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04-29-2019 , 08:09 PM
great listen and insight into a true professional bettor and how the closed source syndicates are doing things these days. covers how to keep your limits betting mlb k props so directly applicable here.

Deep Dive Ep 151 - NHL Sharp Rob Pizzola
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04-29-2019 , 11:57 PM
Spoiler:
SD/ATL 2H o3.5 -115 LOSS -1.15
BAL/CWS 2H u3.5 -115 WIN +1.0
2H Daily: 1-1-0, -0.15u
2H YTD: 4-3-1, +0.66u, 8.97u risked, +7.4% ROI

Splitsville for me. HRR over subset system working to perfection by risgley to preserve and even raise his betting limits (see podcast linked above).
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04-30-2019 , 10:01 AM
Erikson o2.5 shots -114 (98777 star)
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