-bucs to call tails is -132/-111 at nitro (so w/e euro trash odds provider they use); have been unable to find any intel on this unfortunately

-bucs are down to -152/+118 to defer if they win the toss at the same shop (we're loaded up on bucs first 1st down/score/1q bets this will end poorly)

jake paul looks like free money

Nfl MVP award is announced tonight. I told you all to bet Godgers and I think some of you did. Let’s go!

FYI, turns out that Lightning goals vs Bucs TD prop was for the Lightning game on Monday night.

Prop says Feb 5 in listing, but Feb 8 in details.

Realized this after my disappointment in Lightning's three goal performance last night just for a glimmer of hope since they have played he Preds well.


Also, I had hedged my Mahomes MVP bets since I had them preseason for +1000 with Rodgers so even in the end. Lucky that I didn't listen to myself of "Mahomes being such a lock, just lay the juice and pile on more."

If you figure KC is auto defer, and TB is 44% to receive if they win toss, prob of TB receiving is 72%. That might be enough to make those derivs +EV.

They chose to receive the last two. Also started with ball in every playoff win. Why change what’s been working when you are hot?

This may be square but i like gronk o 30.5 receiving yds. KC gives up TE production and Brate totals have been coming down, so I think it goes to Gronk. Brady and Gronk obviously have great rapport and Brady will trust Gronk on deep 20-30 yd shots. It's the last game so no reason to limit Gronk's snaps. I bet on gronk longest reception over in all his playoff games before this season and it seemed to always cash so maybe a sentimental pick but I cant see gronk getting less than 3 catches and 40 yds in this game.

Leaning Mahomes to throw INT at +125 due to TB limiting the run and forcing more passing attempts. Mahomes threw two ints vs. SF in superbowl last year. With a weaker o line, could see some rushed pass attempts and maybe a int, but i'll let Sigs comment on INT, i am no expert there.

Got the Gronk overs too. Brate might not even play since he's hurt, and although he probably does, I'd expect his usage to be smaller than normal. My biggest Gronk bet is actually first half yards o15.5. As discussed above, TB will likely get the ball first, I think it's safe to assume that Gronk will start over Brate, and likely Brady wants to get things going by throwing to a guy he trusts.

Seems like a no-brainer bet, but then again everyone I know is balls deep in Gronk overs, and betting on a man so beaten up he can barely move to catch throws from a 83-year old QB in the Super Bowl in the year 2021 seems like something we should expect to get heavily punished for. I'm about to go purchase some alcoholic beverages to soothe the inevitable max pain when Gronk gets a 15-yard first reception early on and then limps off the field

Btw if anyone finds the anthem bet open anywhere please lmk what the line is today. Couldn't find it on any euro bookies and Coolbet closed it again, but feels like they may reopen it at some point for the late punters at some random line that's wayyyy over

All I could find about the puppy bowl was Gayle King on Friday CBS this morning said the puppy bowl predicted the chiefs would win. Not really sure how the puppy bowl works, does team ruff represent the chiefs and team fluff represent the bucs or something? I didn't find anything that says this but wondering what Gayle king meant by puppy bowl predicted chiefs

I guess it did leak because Ruff won. I wish I could've figured out the free money

No liquid been hammered down on Pinny from a longshot to the favorite so I guess Red Gatorade God is now No Liquid God. This makes sense; if the Chefs win maybe noone dares to pour anything on Reid given his son is probably going to jail.

Little do the markets know that the Chefs aren't winning tho

If Bucs win I hope they pour the Gatorade on Brady and ignore Arians lmfao.

Lots of people lost on the Mahomes red headband bet too.

around 2:16 for the anthem. we did it guys

lets get this kickoff now

how do we do it guys.

I appriciate the KC to kick first bet Sigs even though Arians wasn’t tested on it lol

in the past arians was always receive but i think TB brought in an analytics guy so they defered in the first 6 times. then arians was like f this and went back to receiving

Yeah Arians comes off like an old school dumb set the tone coach.

imagine not believing me when i said pound gronk overs like all the squares

bellichick avg coach?

GRONK!

Can't believe everyone had all the Gronk bets and they all binked before halftime

Lol gronkaments

hey we did it. now i can quit. and then come back in a week because i'm bored with life

Maybe you should start your own sportsbook. You've beaten the bookies, now it's time to become one.

Not quite all. Got 175-1 on o 75yds and 2+TDs.

One time, dealer.

Didn't he prove that in Cleveland?

I guess he took them to the playoffs, so above-average.