Yuck.

Choo HRR +120 over Chirinos Jazz

You have some sort of automatic bet detector setup? That sounds like something I need, I have something similar for certain props that are time sensitive but a wager ticker and autoconfirm type thing is a good idea.

Just for sites I have access to their lines (which turns out outside of BM I can't bet on any of them). And BM doesn't have props in their XML feed.

Got a lil screwed with the Embiid last couple of minutes going from doubtful to questionable to healthy. Hopefully we can get the Simmons wins

Jokic o20.5 +110
DeMar DeRozan o21.5 -114

Kikuchi o3.5 K +120 (BM)
Dee Gordon HRR +110 over A. Simmons
Puig HRR -115 over Myers

Everything is in the open here right?

Have you guys heard of fairlay? They offer these NBA props. At bigger limits. Most people just don't bother with them because BTC people are considered weird and no one wants to deal with the fees.

For example:

https://fairlay.com/market/san-anton...r-nuggets-446/

Player Props / Nikola Jokic (Points)(must start)Over/Under Points
o20,5 1.854

Can get up to .16 btc down on that right now which is about a smooth $800

Of course its moved now that you released Jokic at +110 but you could bet there before posting publicly

is fairlay one of those things where everyone just tries to refer everyone else for the affiliate commission but no one actually plays there?

We are finding creative ways to lose K today

Injured in a run down
Rain delay

What's next?

Altuve HRR o2.5 -105 Jazz
J. Aguilar HRR u2.0 -120 Jazz

Peraza HRR -110 over Kinsler jazz

I actually took the trouble to chop off my affiliate link because that sometimes makes mods delete posts.

But no, its an exchange with at least one big seeder. No guarantee it'll be up forever, but it does have alot of selections incl. those NBA props.

Giannis o27.5 pts +102
Giannis o5.5 Assists +120
Drummond rebounds o15.5 +110 (BM)
epic meltdown from derozan at the end with 19 points

missing 5 shots, gets 3 fouls, a technical, and ejected for throwing the ball at someone in about 4 minutes

They seed the exchange themselves and lay off everything automatically at pinny.

There needs to be a formal inquiry into the Rangers / Astros game by MLB.

Chirinios is listed as starting and I fire the first shot at Choo +140. Post +130 for the #squad to take. TomG wakes up and hits it at +120. It's eventually down to -150 and then all of a sudden Chinirious is not in the lineup anymore.

Of course Choo doubles and scores in the 1st.

How much do you think the offshore paid him to sit?

The only way we could have lost is if Dustin Johnson lost 2 strokes in the last 3 holes. So he bogeyed 16 and 17. Classic.

Golf:
Dustin Johnson -0.5 +106 over Kuchar Risk: 1.36u LOSS -1.36u
Ian Poulter -0.5 +122 over Spieth Risk: 1u WIN +1.22u
Leishman -0.5 +122 over Kisner Risk: 0.48u LOSS -0.48u
Patton Kizzire -0.5 +116 over Luke Donald Risk: 0.9u LOSS -0.9
Yesterday: 1-3 -1.52u 3.74u wagered (-40.64%% ROI)
12-13 +1.0058u on 23.16u wagered (4.34% ROI)

Round 4 @ Bookmaker

Dustin Johnson -0.5 +107 over Poulter Risk: 1.65u
Cabrera Belly -0.5 +119 over Hoffman Risk: 0.64u
Berger -0.5 +120 over Reavie Risk: 0.32u
Horschel -0.5 +100 over Luke Donald Risk: 1.31u

more losers

Capela o14.5 pts +100
Harden u7 rebounds -114
Rubio o13.5 pts +110

basketball is unbeatable

Unlikely Gordon comes back, but if he does I will update it.

I don't like how bet builder grades rain shortened games as complete. We've lost 3 bets now as a result (2Ks and one HRR). Some frustrating losses like Urena, Fiers, Kikuchi, and the Mikolas push. So many 0-2 counts wasted. Still a nice 9 unit day to get everything positive. Which means tomorrow we are going to get destroyed.

TB:
Goldschmidt -115 over P. Alonso (BABIP Gods be on our side today) WIN +1 (clutch last AB HR)
Whit Merrifield +104 over DJ LaMahieu PUSH (Couldn't beat a HR with a HR)
Marcus Semien -115 over Freddy Galvis LOSS -1.15
Javier Baez -115 over A Jones PUSH
Freeman -125 over Bauers (Game 1) PUSH
Harper -130 over Arenado (bats have been activated) CANCELLED (Arenado un-activated his bat)
Hoskins -115 over Story WIN +1
Cain -115 over Seager WIN +1
Yesterday: 3-1-3 +1.85u
Total: 43-40-17 +0.23u

K:
Tanaka o6 -120 WIN +1
Mikolas o4 -114 PUSH (3K in first 2IP, then nothing for 5 2/3rd until K against last batter. Not sure if lucky or bad beat)
Darvish o6 -114 WIN +1
Greinke o6 -114 LOSS -1.14
Fillmyer o3.5 +118 (BM) LOSS -1 (thought we were betting o3.5 homeruns allowed)
Shoemaker o4.5 LOSS -1.14 (injury during a rundown, ok)
Holland o5 WIN +1
Fiers o4.5 LOSS -1.14
Teheran o5 WIN +1
Kluber o6.5 +135 WIN +1.35
Charlie Morton o6 -114 WIN +1
Berrios o6 LOSS -1.14
Rick Porcello o5 -125 PUSH
Maximum Scherzer o8.5 -114 WIN +1
Jose Urena o4.5 +146 (BM) LOSS -1
Taillon o5 -103 LOSS -1.03
Gerrit Cole o7.5 -120 WIN +1 (50 pitch first inning and somehow won)
Nola o6.5 WIN +1
Trevor Cahill o4.5 -114 WIN +1
Castillo o6.5 WIN +1
Kikuchi o3.5 K +120 (BM) LOSS -1
Yesterday: 11-7-2 +2.76u
Total: 117-107-22 +2.57u

HRR:
Aaron Judge o2 WIN +1
D. Peralta o1.5 WIN +1
J. Baez u2 WIN +1
K. Bryant u2 WIN +1
Pete Alonso u2 WIN +1
W. Ramos u2 WIN +1
T. Hernandez o1.5 -114 WIN +1
Villar o1.5 -114 LOSS -1.14
Freeman o2 -114 LOSS -1.14
Cano -115 over Ozuna LOSS -1.15 (downside of HRR, can lose when your opponent doesn't even get a hit)
Pham +100 over Moreland WIN +1
A. Cabrera o1.5 -114 WIN +1
Choo HRR +130 over Chirinos CANCELLED (Scammed)
Meadows +110 over Bogaerts WIN +1.1
Belt o1.5 -114 LOSS -1.14
E. Suarez o1.5 -114 WIN +1
Bregman o2 -114 LOSS -1.14 (every DFS tout was preaching to build your team around Bregman today, should have known)
Machado u2 -114 WIN +1
Dee Gordon HRR +110 over A. Simmons LOSS -1
Puig HRR -115 over Myers PUSH
Yesterday: 12-6-1 +4.39u
Total: 116-91-29 +15.34u

Daily: 5-1-0, +3.95u
YTD: 106-72-22, +32.89u, 231.81u risked, +14.2% ROI

Now that we've solved HRR it's time to move onto our next market. Let's do some work on run in first so we can compete with The Chart RSIF Projection System.

I always wanted to figure out "team to score first" since it's also offered here in Vegas. It has been on my to-do list for about 11 years

Couple more golf. These are at vegas places but also appear to be at 5d and Pinnacle

Dahmen -0.5 +116 over Donald Risk: 1.44u
Kokrak -0.5 +116 over Horschel Risk: 0.9u
Luke List -0.5 +110 over Graeme McDowell Risk: 0.45u

do the team to score first lines ever move? i get the impression books just put that line up every day but no one ever bets it.

Since 2010 52.67% of them didn't move once from opening to close

K:
Paxton o7 -120
Bundy o5 -114
Gibson o5 -114
T. Richards o5 -114
Dereck Rodriguez o4 -114
J. Lopez o4.5 +124 (BM)
R. Lopez o5 +105 (BM)

Here's todays K predictions

https://pastebin.com/kw5VL1wX

HRR:
Polanco o2 -114
Miguel Cabrera u2 -114
Jose Abreu o2 -114
Tim Andrson o2 -114
Starlin Castro u1.5 -114
Niko Goodrum u2 -114
Josh Bell u2 -114

Lot of over's in K's again but I think they're opening low. Like they opened Trevor Richards at 5 and Strasburg at 7, then bookmaker opens at 5.5/7.5. They're pretty much opening at half a K below everyone else.

Not many TB posted today for some reason

TB:
Conforto -110 over Goldschmidt
Harper -120 over Arenado (can that bats be on point for 3 days in a row?)

J. Villar HRR -105 over CJ Cron
Merrifield HRR +130 over Voit
Soler HRR +120 over Gardner
Abreu HRR -115 over Castellanos