Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting - Page 250 - Sports Betting

I'm rolling with these

Clayton Keller o2.5 SOG +140 WIN +1.4
Nugent-Hopkins u2.5 +130 LOSS -1
Brock Belson o2.5 +125 LOSS -1
Buchnevich u2.5 -145 LOSS -1.45
Trochek o2.5 +130 WIN +1.3

Necas scores a goal +350 LOSS -1

WHAT CAN GO WRONG

is this profit? 4-5 +2.4u

face off prediction went good too 4-1 on bets and only didn't predict one starter correctly

is our nhl luck turning around. just need to nail two long odds

Quote

01-17-2021 , 12:02 PM

#6228

TomG

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 4,295

Spoiler:

Daily: 7-3-0, +3.32u
YTD: 19-17-0, +0.81u, 47.04u risked, +1.7% ROI

Quote

01-17-2021 , 12:25 PM

#6229

TomG

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 4,295

Early game

WAS T.J. Oshie u1.5 +139
PIT Jason Zucker u1.5 +138

Quote

01-17-2021 , 12:51 PM

#6230

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 11,270

I only saw one prop for the early game

Oshie u1.5 +145

then I'm so glad I saw TomG and I are united on this

Quote

01-17-2021 , 12:55 PM

#6231

BadBeatBodog

grinder

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 410

TomG can you say approx how much one SOG is worth? Sometimes I get alternate lines and don't know which is better, e.g. u2 +110 vs u1.5 +145

Quote

01-17-2021 , 12:59 PM

#6232

TomG

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 4,295

I lose by a half-point a lot so they're pretty valuable. Probably around 50c for the guys lined around 2.5, less for higher, and more for the guys lined around 1.5. Poisson is a pretty good estimate and a great exercise to work out the probabilities.

Quote

01-17-2021 , 01:01 PM

#6233

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 11,270

i'm also fading the steam taking WAs +100 for faceoff

i don't see it and about to lose 3rd straight bet against crosby

historical h2h

i must have the wrong guys

Quote

01-17-2021 , 01:08 PM

#6234

BadBeatBodog

grinder

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 410

Thank you very much

Quote

01-17-2021 , 01:11 PM

#6235

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 11,270

ez game boys

Quote

01-17-2021 , 03:02 PM

#6236

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 11,270

SORRY i mushed you tom

Quote

01-17-2021 , 03:20 PM

#6237

NajdorfDefense

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2003 Posts: 17,575

how do you feel about Chubb o15.5 rush att?

Quote

01-17-2021 , 03:23 PM

#6238

NajdorfDefense

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2003 Posts: 17,575

Also Simmons up to 4 3s attempted on the year, massive volume there.

Quote

01-17-2021 , 03:41 PM

#6239

BadBeatBodog

grinder

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 410

Here's what I bet prop-wise, went 2-1 yest morning game

Mahomes rush yds u24.5 +100 (bet builder)
Mayfield no interception +145 (bovada)
Kelce rec u7.5 +120 (bovada)
Hunt rush att o7.5 -115 (BAS)
Chubb rush att u17.5 -120 (BAS)

Last edited by BadBeatBodog; 01-17-2021 at 03:48 PM. Reason: add books

Quote

01-17-2021 , 05:47 PM

#6240

TomG

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 4,295

Spoiler:

Daily: 0-2-0, -2.0u
YTD: 19-19-0, -1.19u, 49.04u risked, -2.4% ROI

No plays on the late game.

Every day in pucks is a battle. A SOG can be fired off at any moment. Constant danger. Can we fade another period? Half point losses are the norm. Yet we've come too far to ever give up.

Quote

01-17-2021 , 07:34 PM

#6241

BadBeatBodog

grinder

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 410

Kinda last minute to post but ended up with

Brady no interception +120
Kamara rush+rec yards o110.5 -130
Brees TD pass o1.5 -200
Brady TD pass o2 -130
Cook rec u2.5 +139
Evans rec u4.5 +125
S. Miller pass yds o7.5 -115

Quote

01-17-2021 , 08:25 PM

#6242

br3nt00

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jan 2009 Posts: 3,664

Boy the kamara prop I'd bet a house on that over

Quote

01-17-2021 , 09:12 PM

#6243

BadBeatBodog

grinder

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 410

Me, a pleb bettor: taysom hill is out I think I'll bet Brees over pass TDs

Jameis Winston: surprise motha****a

Quote

01-17-2021 , 11:19 PM

#6244

BadBeatBodog

grinder

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 410

TB +4 anyone? Are GB that much better than NO?

Edit: NO out of the playoffs and u2.5 players to throw a pass went from -130 to -120 so I guess Im way off on my assessment

Last edited by BadBeatBodog; 01-17-2021 at 11:45 PM.

Quote

01-18-2021 , 01:52 AM

#6245

BadBeatBodog

grinder

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 410

Quote:

Originally Posted by BadBeatBodog

These are the LA/GB props I'm on

Akers rec yds u19.5 +110 WIN
Brown rec yds o5.5 -115 LOSS
Williams rush yds o18.5 -130 WIN

Quote:

Originally Posted by BadBeatBodog

Here's what I bet prop-wise, went 2-1 yest morning game

Mahomes rush yds u24.5 +100 (bet builder) WIN
Mayfield no interception +145 (bovada) LOSS
Kelce rec u7.5 +120 (bovada) LOSS
Hunt rush att o7.5 -115 (BAS) LOSS
Chubb rush att u17.5 -120 (BAS) WIN

Quote:

Originally Posted by BadBeatBodog

Kinda last minute to post but ended up with

Brady no interception +120 WIN
Kamara rush+rec yards o110.5 -130 LOSS
Brees TD pass o1.5 -200 LOSS
Brady TD pass o2 -130 TIE
Cook rec u2.5 +139 LOSS
Evans rec u4.5 +125 WIN
S. Miller pass yds o7.5 -115 WIN

7-7-1 -1.05u

Not providing value

Quote

01-18-2021 , 09:51 AM

#6246

TomG

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 4,295

Losing is a great reminder of how hard this racket can be. That's value right there. Everyone talks about low limit player props being the easiest market on the board and brag and write books about their success. Let me put it this way: There are many bets on the board that lead to ruin and many make them. Rare are the bets that lead to success, and only a few find them.

Quote

01-18-2021 , 12:27 PM

#6247

NajdorfDefense

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2003 Posts: 17,575

Show me a good loser, and I'll show you a loser.

Quote

01-18-2021 , 12:37 PM

#6248

TomG

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 4,295

Early game

CBJ Oliver Bjorkstrand o2.5 -151
CBJ Boone Jenner o2.5 +144

Quote

01-18-2021 , 01:13 PM

#6249

TomG

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 4,295

Later games

SJS Erik Karlsson u2.5 -164
STL Colton Parayko u2.5 -118
STL Torey Krug u2.5 -116
STL Ryan O'Reilly u2.5 -193
MTL Nick Suzuki u2.5 -145
MTL Jeff Petry o1.5 -155
CGY Matthew Tkachuk o2.5 -119

May be more added later.

Quote

01-18-2021 , 05:10 PM

#6250

TomG

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 4,295

Added plays

BOS Brad Marchand u2.5 -106
BOS David Krejci u1.5 +107
NYI Anthony Beauvillier u2.5 -179
BUF Jeff Skinner o2.5 +107
PHI Oskar Lindblom o1.5 -168
SJS Brent Burns u3.5 -150

Poogs how is your season coming along so far?

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