What do you guys think about solving Euroleague/Eurocup/Champions league again.

We did good in the past, but then all the outs dried up when Pinnacle left. And NBA bubble was disappointing [in terms of gameplay not betting] so we need some basketball in our lives.

BM started offering it this year with 1k limits (only $500 last year) and I have another out with 1k limits, so lets fire up the old model and dust it off. I spent a whole 8 hours analyzing and updating it. I'm sure nothing has changed in ~8 years since we used it last.

It's actually easier now since there's DFS Euroleague who can do all the hard work of finding out how many minutes people are playing.

Here's what we are rolling with.

Euroleague:

Panathinkaikos +5 -110 over Valencia
Saski Baskonia -3 -110 over Fenerbahce Ulker
CSKA Moscow/Zalgiris Kaunas o161 -110

Eurocup:

Monaco/Antwerp u156.5 -110
Unics Kazan +3 -110 over Partizan
Unics/Partizan o161.5 -110

Champions League:

Minsk/Hapoel u166.5 -110
AEK Athens -11 -110 over Cholet
AEK/Cholet u157.5 -110
Teneride -12 -110 over Galatasaray

See everyone at the window.

Please don't.

I don't think the market respects us as much as they used to.

Minsk game only closed at 162 compared to the 166.5 we got.

Antwerp went down to 154.5 but now is back up to 156!

and CSKA moscow is down to 160 which is bad for our over.

We don't got it anymore boys. We should be relegated to Russia MHL and VHL hockey bets.

Baskonia started the game 0-12 as a favorite. How do we do it. Always select the worst sides

ty for the free monies rsig! Ending up either +3k or +1k depending on this Panathinaikos game.

Panathinaikos is blowing it in the 4th unfortunately. The Unics game was interesting.

They were down 3 got fouled, missed a FT, so only down 2. Then they fouled and luckily the other team missed a FT so it ended up pushing.

Started off bad with Chalots dominating as a huge dog which in turn led to a really close game and AEK spread and under missing. but then came back strong.

I unfortunately could only find Unics+2.5 so that was a big fat loss for me but I was able to get more down on the Baskonia/CSKA games so it evened itself out. Hoping to see some more random day sports I can sweat at work soon from you! Nice to see some mma plays from you again on the weekend which I also blindly followed! Thanks again!

6-3-1 +2.7u

Looking at these for tomorrow. What do European "punters" (European name for a sharp bettor) think? All -110

Euroleague:

Real Madrid -6.5

Eurocup:

Brescia -4.5 over Mornar Bar
Trento -2 over Nanterre [little fade the steam action]
Lokomotov Kubar/Lietkabelis o164.5

Champions League:
Keravnos +11.5 over Nymburk

How about not posting when limits are at 20%?

Sorry I don't have access to the exclusive Euro books with high limits. BM is already capped at 1k so I thought the market was matured. Lets get 20% of these

Wow Pinnacle has 48 cent lines for Eurocup totals? lol what happened to them

If we got any South American bettors. My model also likes this Argentina game Mercedes/Libertad o156.5. Good to 158.5 or so. Minutes are hard to predict there but I think we got it. Fading the steam which is risky. Argentinean soccer steam is so sharp.

They go to -125/-125 when they think one team has a COVID outbreak. I'd expect that game to get cancelled if not I'd like Lickballs at +19.5.

Limits will be 4x higher and vig -106/-106 tmr morning.

Lol at needing player level minutes **** to beat Argentina or any of these leagues.

We should have projected scoring ability better than minutes! 0 points in the first 3 minutes!!



Does a documentary like this exist for sports betting? Were there sports betting pits based on info like how many minutes Alejandro Alloatti is playing for Libertad and people yelling once they found out?

The guy at 35 minutes really drives home what we as sports bettors need to do.

Argentina over locked up with 4 minutes to go

not sure what that under steam was thinking. must have mis-projected minutes for Miguel Gerlero and then the steam chasers jumped on it

not as big as the NFL draft but here's what I have for the NBA draft tomorrow

LaMelo Ball draft position (DP) o2.5 +185
Wiseman DP u2.5 -145
Haliburto DP u7.5 -145
Saddiq Bey DP u14.5 -170
SEC Players drafted in the 1st round o5.5 +120
Anthony Edwards drafted #1 -125
Anthony Edwards drafted over LaMelo Ball -130
Okongwu drafted #3 +325
Ball drafted 4th +515
Wiseman drafted over Ball +155

I have 1,2,3 going

Edwards, Wiseman, Okongwu

with Ball going next to the Bulls

What are others on?

btw that ball line is +1400 on al ot of PPH sites and DK. I got it on PPH but no DK access. The offshore line is pretty horrible (i just posted current lines at an offshore that i thought had value) but def get that 14/1

also i have no idea about the draft. just found out it was yesterday and didn't read any articles before i made my picks. i just saw a lot of steam coming to edwards as #1 and reverse engineered the rest from it. so should be good or lose everything. probably lose everything when ball goes #1

A couple "fade the steam" bets

Euroleague:
Zvezda/Milano o151.5

Cup/Champions:
Mornar Bar/Brescie o160.5
Dijon/Tofan u158.5

and lets not forgot about Italian Basketball. Italy, German, and Spain were also staples back in the day. And they have 1k limits too!

Cantu +6.5 over Treviso

edwards #1 now -650

how do we do it guys lol

So if I can still get this at -190, treat it as a Joe Biden-esque lock?

I don't see why not. You can arb -190 vs. bookmaker right now and lock in that free lunch profit

Edwards is also -500 over Ball

also FWIW it could be an overreaction to this

https://www.espn.com/nba/insider/sto...y-picks-trades

BM is the only one who moved a lot. Most of the other books stayed the same.

Okongwu has a foot injury, may miss the start of the season, probably exclude him from props of him going top 3.

DK took their lines down at least for now.