Quote:
Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley
I usually don't bet the last two regular season MLB days due to motivation. Here's how The Chart (TM) went this year.
RSIF: 128-103 +6.899% ROI. 174 No's, 57 Yes. Ran ahead of expectations. Expected ROI was 5.668%
HRE: 154-123-6 +9.24% ROI. 50 over, 233 under. Way above expectations. Expected ROI: 6.408%
Highest ROI ever but of course less volume due to a third of the games.
MLB ML went well too (3.19% ROI on much higher amount bet than those props).
Other props:
Total Bases: 198-174 +2.32% ROI
Pitcher K: 214-149 +17.64% ROI (7 of those losses were against Aaron Nola, 8 against Bieber)
Year in, year out the chart stands tall. I think we benefited from a lot of unders and nos. For the HRE under I wonder how much was due to the new extra innings rules. Need to look into that. Going forward I think I'm excluding this years data from the chart. The middle of the season was regular MLB IMO but the first couple of weeks and last couple were weird.
I’m curious why you bet so few yeses in RSIF. I saw way more good prices on Yes than No this year, as usual.
I bet mostly yes this season and got absolutely crushed, -11.7% ROI.