Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting - Page 192 - Sports Betting

Not sports, but this has been an amazing investment hack

Just listen to any of Trump speeches and buy the companies he talks about, then dump them about 10 minutes later

Usually it's just a quick 1-2% profit, but today I bought SRNE and in 10 minutes it was up 171.95% lol. Is this steam chasing? Are we bottom feeders?

Quote

05-15-2020 , 02:59 PM

#4777

rickroll

oddly catty

Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 22,619

Quote:

Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley

haha yeah there's actually a number of algos designed specifically to trade off potus tweets/announcements

Quote

05-15-2020 , 05:58 PM

#4778

NajdorfDefense

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2003 Posts: 17,563

I would imagine it was the interview the CEO gave on Fox shortly before that time.

“We want to emphasize there is a cure. There is a solution that works 100 percent," CEO Henry Ji told Fox News. The stock had more than doubled by midday as daytraders cheered the apparent end to society’s troubles...

There is not yet any evidence that the treatment candidate is safe or effective in human beings.

As for the full results themselves, Sorrento said in a news release that the full details “will be submitted to a peer-reviewed publication shortly.” ~wsj.com

Quote

05-15-2020 , 06:06 PM

#4779

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 11,270

I go the same thing about two weeks ago with APDN

Doubled in price, dumped it, and then it went back over a week

Then Thursday did it again, APDN, doubles, dump, down.

It can't be this easy or is that all day traders do. Wait for Trump or someone to say something or they say something vague like we may have a cure, jump on, and get off before it crashes

Quote

05-15-2020 , 11:48 PM

#4780

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 11,270

Quote:

Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley

I saw yesterday "last megaball digit is odd" at +100. 52% chance of that happening. Today it's back up at -105 on both sides, so slight value on odd (-108 is fair)

getting that powerball 6 money back. how do we do it

Quote

05-17-2020 , 12:06 PM

#4781

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 11,270

RIP Fonbet

No video game streams in over 24 hours.

The backbone of the Crowdsource Syndicate economy has failed

Quote

05-18-2020 , 10:52 AM

#4782

NajdorfDefense

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2003 Posts: 17,563

SRNE up another 30% today, hope you held it and didn't day-trade Sigs.

Quote

05-18-2020 , 10:56 AM

#4783

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 11,270

Got rid of SRNE but MRNA was up 33% at opening. Bought that Friday at noon and want to hold for a while because the guy who is overseeing Operation Warp Drive is on their board.

Easy corruption angle. Give contracts to people he's friends with. And Moderna set the stage this morning for those contracts by reporting "positive data" on an early vaccine to justify why they're getting the contract.

Got some of GSK too (his old company) also but that hasn't done much.Up ~1.5%

Quote

05-18-2020 , 03:19 PM

#4784

NajdorfDefense

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2003 Posts: 17,563

Yeah, Moderna's been in the lead in the vaccine race since they started in January. Doesn't mean they'll win of course. I've been on some conf calls with their CEO.

Quote

05-19-2020 , 10:15 AM

#4785

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 11,270

Golden Mega Ball last digit is odd -105 is back. Powerball 6 seems to be dead.

Quote

05-19-2020 , 02:46 PM

#4786

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 11,270

Najdorf what do you think about MYL. Picked up some this morning at $15.97

lets keep YOLO'ing these pharma companies

Quote

05-19-2020 , 03:22 PM

#4787

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 11,270

Interesting conversation with bookmakers heads linesmaker

https://www.vsin.com/videos/a-numbers-game/

they're doing the volume in table tennis similar to a MLB day (700 games of TT/day tho)

a sim game generates around 150k in action and their daily sims get more volume than nhl

all the sim games are run by a third party and not them

1-2% of their clients are winners, 85% losers, rest break even or win/lose a little.

BM is covering their costs but not making profit the last couple of months

no questions about why they cut their payouts so much.

Quote

05-19-2020 , 05:58 PM

#4788

hedgie43

old hand

Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 1,308

Thanks for sharing. Always interesting to hear the perspective of the other side.

Hopefully the payout cuts are temporary. Not sweating yet but I guess I also don’t understand why they aren’t just copying the Betonline family and a few others with the bonuses for people who don’t do withdrawals until 1 of the big 4 leagues starts up.

Quote

05-19-2020 , 08:04 PM

#4789

DicedPineapples

centurion

Join Date: Jan 2020 Posts: 152

That was a good listen. Can't trust Russians with anything. Table tennis, esims, elections...

Quote

05-19-2020 , 08:09 PM

#4790

NajdorfDefense

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2003 Posts: 17,563

Quote:

Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley

Najdorf what do you think about MYL. Picked up some this morning at $15.97

lets keep YOLO'ing these pharma companies

Long RCKT, PTCT, ABBV, IMVT. Doing pretty well, doubled my money in that last one. Rocket more than doubled.

If you're interested in the 'arms providers' behind patient testing/R&D for pharms, check out IQV.

Quote

05-19-2020 , 08:44 PM

#4791

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 11,270

lol MRNA being investigated by the louisiana attorney general for lying about coronavirus results. Insiders dumping stock all week.

Quote

05-19-2020 , 09:40 PM

#4792

DicedPineapples

centurion

Join Date: Jan 2020 Posts: 152

Ha, I’m sure they were just “diversifying their portfolio.”

Quote

05-19-2020 , 11:45 PM

#4793

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 11,270

Megaball 9

9 is odd (Proof: https://www.quora.com/Is-9-an-even-or-an-odd-number)

how do we do it

Quote

05-20-2020 , 01:06 PM

#4794

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 11,270

Heads up, fonbet simulations are dead.

Friday night they ran a basketball game, PHI vs. LAL. LAL was up 70-0 because someone was manually controlling the PHI team and every possession the shot clock would expire. Guess they fell asleep. My theory is they would hop in occasionally and manually play the game but messed up and did it for a game, walked away, and ruined their entire scam.

After that happened they took all their twitch channels offline and deleted the video archive for every sim channel they had. Haven't had a game since.

I guess that confirms our rigged suspicions. Gonna miss the free $$

Quote

05-20-2020 , 01:45 PM

#4795

rickroll

oddly catty

Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 22,619

so you going to contact 60 Minutes or TMZ with the evidence and get a ton of free publicity wearing your WaxTout.com visor during the interview

Quote

05-20-2020 , 03:42 PM

#4796

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 11,270

crowdsource syndicate ride or die, never tout life

i thought the 700 table tennis matches a day was an exaggeration so I added the sport to my database. In the first 24 hours, 536 unique matches involving 258 different players across 9 leagues/tournaments. We need to get involved.

Quote

05-20-2020 , 06:17 PM

#4797

NajdorfDefense

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2003 Posts: 17,563

Quote:

Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley

Insiders dumping stock all week.

Looking at the Nasdaq insider page shows those as automatic 10[b]5-1 sales. If price hits $x then sell Y shares. Could have been set up last year.

the only thing that matters for that stock is if they get a workable vaccine quickly. They certainly might fail.

Quote

05-20-2020 , 06:28 PM

#4798

fkjlhfdkjhkj.

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 11,270

MYL up 2% today lets get the slow grind

Quote

05-21-2020 , 12:14 AM

#4799

JSkelts

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2017 Posts: 623

Quote:

Originally Posted by JSkelts

Looking for advice/resources/papers on projecting players and teams competing in international tournaments. That is to say, if two teams from separate leagues are competing against eachother - how would you go about adjusting for league strength?

Is it just looking at historical performance and going off of that? I need the syndicates help to become a grocery money savant.

Here's my plan right now - I've looked at the last 2 years of international events and calculated the % difference in the numbers between teams' performance at these events and their domestic leagues. For this upcoming tournament I'll just adjust each teams current domestic #s by that % difference and model/project off those numbers.

There's obviously some problems with this, sample size is small and generally you'd think each leagues best team will do better than their adjustment and their worse teams will underperform it - but the sample size is small already and I can't really get any meaningful data by making it more granular.

R8/h8/deb8 this approach

Quote

05-21-2020 , 02:22 AM

#4800

DicedPineapples

centurion

Join Date: Jan 2020 Posts: 152

An idea. Maybe for each league, look at how much money the average team spends on its players. Compute that number for every league. Then for all interleague games, compute the difference in money spent on the average team. Use that difference in $ to train a logistic regression and now you can compute the win rate between teams in two different leagues.

Last edited by DicedPineapples; 05-21-2020 at 02:27 AM.

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