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Old 04-16-2019, 03:40 PM   #451
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

Cain now -120!
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Old 04-16-2019, 03:47 PM   #452
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Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

I’m buying back ozuna

Edit nevermind someone already did


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Last edited by TheNonPareil; 04-16-2019 at 03:52 PM. Reason: Nm
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Old 04-16-2019, 04:03 PM   #453
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

Tried Live MLB occasionally, low limits aren't worth it IMO

You can probably arb all the different live services and make like a hundred a day tho

HRR:
Villar +120 over Kiermaier
Votto +110 over J. Turner
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Old 04-16-2019, 04:13 PM   #454
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

HRR:
N. Ahmed -110 over D. Swanson
M. Brantley -125 over S. Piscotty
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Old 04-16-2019, 04:49 PM   #455
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

See one more HRR

Grandal -115 over Molina

Looks like we big today boys.

God bless the syndicate and God bless the USA
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Old 04-16-2019, 05:02 PM   #456
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

Okie dokie let's see what scraps are left this afternoon

P. Alonso +100 over R. Hoskins hoskins not in lineup
Gallo -115 over Pujols fading your steam here taking Pujols +110
Acuna Jr -135 over D. Peralta i wouldn't lay -135 but i see it
Springer -115 over K. Davis agree
JD Martinez -115 over Aaron Judge agree
Betts -140 over Carpenter agree
Arenado -120 over Machado i don't see value
Conforto -115 over Harper agree

Since the lines are blown out like a cheap sneaker I'm only officially taking
Pujols +110 over Gallo
Merrifield -115 over Abreu

but unofficially would be
Conforto -115 over Harper
Betts -140 over Carpenter
JD Martinez -115 over Aaron Judge
Springer -115 over K. Davis
Merrifield -115 over Abreu

Not including Pujols over Gallo in the unofficial list since I wouldn't play it at -115. Merrifield over Abreu would be a miserable sweat which is how I know it's a good bet.

Last edited by Fubster; 04-16-2019 at 05:08 PM.
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Old 04-16-2019, 05:40 PM   #457
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

Total bases
Pujols +110 over Gallo
Betts -145 over Gardner
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Old 04-16-2019, 06:19 PM   #458
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

where'd you find -145?
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Old 04-16-2019, 06:38 PM   #459
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

It was available at 5Dimes at time of post
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Old 04-16-2019, 06:41 PM   #460
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

-175 now. I never check there since i'm pretty sure my limits are 100 still and they'd move the line like crazy then everyone would copy.
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Old 04-16-2019, 06:45 PM   #461
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Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

Yep I could bet that for max $20 and it would move minimum 20c on 5dimes. Never understood how anyone in here has worthwhile limits to be looking at those.

I have $50 (yay :-|) limits on the “marquee” total base offerings that come out early but $20 max for every other prop.


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Old 04-16-2019, 06:57 PM   #462
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

should have ogtten it at 8:49 am from TheGreek at -140

also 5D had it at -140 almost all day

TheGreek takes $200 for me on TB and Bookmaker $250 (and $500 for K's but there's not much after BetBuilder sets the market). Plus I need to call on the phone to use Bookmaker as I've been phone only forever now. And talking to people on the phone is hard

I was banned from 5D like 10 years ago

Last edited by fkjlhfdkjhkj.; 04-16-2019 at 07:03 PM.
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Old 04-16-2019, 07:10 PM   #463
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

speaking of Bookmaker big ups to Guadalupe who helped me place this bet

Votto +105 TB over Corey Seager

She also got me Posey + 150 over Rendon but game started now

Oh no double from brett gardner, we gonna go down with the ship
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Old 04-16-2019, 07:24 PM   #464
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting



OK, let's get this money rsigley!

Look forward to this getting canceled.
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Old 04-16-2019, 07:27 PM   #465
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

I wonder what they line was supposed to be

Most places have u4.5 at -140
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Old 04-16-2019, 07:30 PM   #466
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

Quote:
Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley View Post
I wonder what they line was supposed to be

Most places have u4.5 at -140
I just saw that they have:

Bieber o4.5 +100 / u4.5 -130

Leake o5.5 -200 / u5.5 +155

They switched the lines for each pitcher.
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Old 04-16-2019, 09:31 PM   #467
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

the guy who created and runs BetBuilder was working at Lehman brothers from 2006-08 before the market crash

Is he running his business the same way?
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Old 04-17-2019, 01:18 AM   #468
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

Thank you Ari Lewski, CEO of Digital Sports Tech, who created BetBuilder for bringing such an innovative product to the market!

TB:
Cain +115 TB over Ozuna (Bookmaker) WIN +1.15
Acuna Jr -135 over D. Peralta WIN +1
P. Alonso +100 over R. Hoskins CANCELLED (Hoskins DNS)
JD Martinez -115 over Aaron Judge LOSS -1.15
Mookie Betts -140 TB over Brett Gardner LOSS -1.4
Arenado -120 over Machado WIN +1
Springer -115 over K. Davis WIN +1
Gallo -115 over Pujols WIN +1
Conforto -115 over Harper WIN +1
Haniger +115 TB over J. Ramirez (Bookmaker) LOSS -1
Votto +105 TB over Corey Seager LOSS -1
Yesterday: 6-4 +1.6u
Total: 36-33-13 +0.9u

K:
Sale u8 -114 WIN +1
Musgrove u5.5 -114 LOSS -1.14
Strasburg u7 -114 LOSS -1.14
Dereck Rodriguez o4 -114 WIN +1
Glasnow u7 -114 WIN +1
Quintana o5 -114 WIN +1
Bundy u6 -114 WIN +1
Flaherty u6.5 -114 WIN +1
Gibson u5.5 -114 WIN +1
Barria u4.5 -114 WIN +1
J. Lopez u4.5 -114 LOSS -1.14 (I didn't consider the significance of the first Lopez vs Lopez pitching matchup in MLB history)
R. Lopez u5 -114 PUSH (see above)
Woodruff u6 -114 PUSH
Leake u4.5 -114 WIN +1
McHugh u6 -114 WIN +1
Yesterday: 10-3-2 +6.58u
Total: 95-86-19 +3.36u

HRR:
Votto +110 over J. Turner CANCELLED (Turner DNS)
Nelson Cruz o2 CANCELLED (DNS)
N. Ahmed -110 over D. Swanson WIN +1
Villar +120 over Kiermaier LOSS -1
JD Martinez o2 LOSS -1.14
Mookie Betts o2 LOSS -1.14
M. Cabrera o1.5 WIN +1
Conforto o2 WIN +1
Rendon u2.5 WIN +1
McCutchen o2 WIN +1
Mancini o1.5 WIN +1
Villar o1.5 LOSS -1.14
Dwight Smith Jr o1.5 WIN +1
Arenado o2 WIN +1
Grandal -115 over Molina WIN +1
Peralta u2 WIN +1
Adam Jones o1.5 WIN +1
Alex Gordon u2 WIN +1
Wil Myers o1.5 WIN +1
Tim Anderson u2 WIN +1
Jorge SOler u2 WIN +1
Mike Trout o2 LOSS -1.14
Votto o1.5 WIN +1
Bregman o2 WIN +1
Santana u2 LOSS -1.14
Piscotty u2 WIN +1
Chapman u2 WIN +1
Altuve o2 LOSS -1.14
Kipnis u2 LOSS -1.14
Puig o1.5 LOSS -1.14
M. Brantley -125 over S. Piscotty PUSH
Yesterday: 19-9-1 +8.89u
Total: 86-63-21 +17.93u
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Old 04-17-2019, 01:29 AM   #469
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting



Handshakes rsigley. Somehow this didn't get canceled.
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Old 04-17-2019, 01:34 AM   #470
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

Hope you don't get banned!

BetBuilder has 2k limits on soccer props. Does anyone know any European "punters" who we can get on this?
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Old 04-17-2019, 01:39 AM   #471
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

Lets get some of this International baseball money

Japan:
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks/Cuba u7.5 -110
Yokohama DeNA Baystars/Chunichi u7 +100

South Korea:

Hanwha Eagles/KT Wiz Suwon u9.5 -135
Kia Tigers/Lotte Giants u9.5 -130

Bets @ Bookmaker
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Old 04-17-2019, 08:46 AM   #472
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

Great comeback in the late games for a small win on the huge slate of HRR. We lost both TB. 3 bets NO ACTION and expunged from the record.

Spoiler:

Daily: 15-14-5, -1.29u
YTD: 73-57-17, +16.58u, 171.22u risked, +9.7% ROI
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Old 04-17-2019, 08:55 AM   #473
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

Lost the juice thanks to South Korea baseball

BTW I hope everyone had a chance to build their databases. I checked in on the prop we talked about before, Run Scores In The First, and here's what you'd be looking at for 2019

1K Starting Bankroll - 24-24 +148 on 831 wagered (17.83% ROI)
5K Starting - 24-24 +741 on 4159 wagered (17.83% ROI)
10k Starting - 24-24 +1483 on 8318 wagered (17.83% ROI)
25K Starting - 24-24 +3015 on 17756 wagered (16.98% ROI)

Not a bad start!

Speaking of not a bad start, since we've made adjustments to the HRR model we've been killing it, +20 or so units. My ROI for that prop is also sitting at a nice 13.06% currently (including the basically running even for the first 120 or so bets). Doesn't seem sustainable, but who knows. Total bases is at 2.03% and K's 3.98%. I feel those are more realistic ROI's going forward. We are sitting at a cool $133,990 wagered in 16 days. It's all about volume IMO. Push those small edges.

Now that we're positive on posted plays lets keep it that way!

Last edited by fkjlhfdkjhkj.; 04-17-2019 at 09:01 AM.
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Old 04-17-2019, 09:27 AM   #474
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

love that positive, can-do attitude. it is the magic of thinking big. lets get started on parsing out the last season in retrosheet so we can see if the data is skewed like in HRR

https://www.retrosheet.org/gamelogs/index.html
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Old 04-17-2019, 09:44 AM   #475
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Re: Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

we'll have to get some betting lines too. what do you think rsigley should we look at 5i lines to better focus on the starting pitchers or the likely more efficient full game line?
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