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03-17-2020 , 08:33 PM
This sucks Every casino in vegas that hasn't already will be closing at midnight tonight likely. Gov will announce at 6pm. I have a bunch of money in the apps around town and don't think its worth the risk of walking in one of those places to cash out.

They say 30 days but obviously it could be 3+ months. AFAIK there would be no way to get any money once they close correct? Any advice Sig? You seem to be ahead of the curve always on this stuff and got your BM cashout quick, I am stuck with their smaller Bitcoin limits now for cashouts.
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03-17-2020 , 10:00 PM
Someone reminded me about Play+, I never used it but if needed I could use that to cash out at some of the casinos.
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03-17-2020 , 10:07 PM
Im just leaving the same amount I always leave in Vegas, offshore, and adws as I normally do. I’m fortunate enough that I’m ok and don’t need to worry about it. Probably safer there than in the banks.

I did spend most of the day driving around prepping. Got caught off guard with the vacation. I was already good on soaps and toiletries from before I left. One year I just bought like ten years worth of toilet paper and cleaning products and jut stockpiled them in an empty room. I did purchase in the last couple of days about 100 lbs of frozen vegetables, salmon, chicken, fruit, and pastas.

Should be enough for about a year but I could stretch it out to 18 months if I need to. Right now the plan is to get thru a lot of tv episodes and do yoga. Let’s use this time to focus on ourselves.

Hopefully no one is in any financial trouble and can stock up for a while. In a year this should all clear up and we can start betting again.
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03-18-2020 , 12:04 AM
Can’t comment specifically on Vegas, but I’m not worried about getting $$ from any NJ/PA books.

As for bookmaker, they have been very good with payouts and honest about the situation unlike some other offshores. While the $3k limit sucks if you have a big balance there, they have been paying out quickly. It’s possible that leaving the $$ in there is higher EV vs. paying withdrawal fees now and deposit fees later, but I’m not risking it. Plus they might offer a reload bonus and pay my deposit fees again.
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03-18-2020 , 12:18 AM
Well Monday they said it was 5k per and 5k max per week, Then today it changed to 3k max and 3k max per week but in chat they claimed with 1 WD per week also. But I Got a WD yesterday and another today. It's scary to get too much the way BC market is whipping around.

I wish I knew for sure how many per week you could get, would much rather get $1000 on 3 different days then 3k all at once and watch the market take a big dive in the 30 min+ on transfers.
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03-18-2020 , 05:43 AM
Just finished reading part 1, great read. I like the nested np.where and was a great intro to using pandas for me.

I did find a minor issue in Nascar-Tournaments-clean.csv. So for tournaments with multiple name aliases, you mentioned you wanted to delete the aliases. Looks like you got

[ id = 1511 ] Daytona - Three on One Matchups - Group F
[ id = 1517 ] Daytona 500 - Three on One Matchups - Group F

(along with groups A-E) both in that clean csv.

To try and find more of these, I computed the edit distance between every pair of tournament names that have the same startDate.

Got this,
https://gist.github.com/dicedpineapp...07fe5ff8d2b7f7

Was going to go through tomorrow and try to find more.
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03-18-2020 , 12:37 PM
nice! will fix, i just really ignored those 3 on 1's there doesn't seem to be many of them (only Daytona I think).

anyone want some SARATOGA HARNESS. lets do this. Just nailed a $14.20 on R2 in a 4 horse race
The pools here are pretty small (~4-5k) and I like to keep my win bets at ~1% of the pool, so smaller than past

Race 3:
$50 Win on 3
$15 EB 3 with 2/6
$10 TB 3 with 2/6 with 2/6
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03-18-2020 , 12:47 PM
3 seemed to be in perfect position to make a move but never fired. 3/5 won like a 3/5 should
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03-18-2020 , 12:58 PM
1 was too strong at 3/5.

-120

Race 4:

$50 Win 2
$15 EB 2/5
$10 TB 5,2/5,2/3,8
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03-18-2020 , 01:19 PM
2 broke it's stride and had to go to the back. Bad luck. 5 at 1/4 (lol) won. 65% of the money.

-240

Race 5
$50 Win 2
$15 EB 2/7
$10 Tri 2,7/2,7/5
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03-18-2020 , 01:53 PM
5 beat 7 by a nose for 2nd, 7 couldn't catch him. 2 went from 5/1 when we bet it to the favorite too, so that sucks.

Spoiler:


Too bad we didn't box that trifecta, paid $50 for $2. That would have gotten us even.

Win +57.5
EB -30
Tri - 20
Total -232.5

Race 6:
$50 to Win on 6
$15 EB 6/1
$10 TB 6/1/4
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03-18-2020 , 02:12 PM
Got steamed. I had 6 and 1 about the same to win and 6 was higher odds than 1, so I bet 6. Then switched near the end when it was too late to bet. Oh well we got an exacta which paid $54 for $2! Results: 1/6/2. If the favorite 4 got in 3rd would have been a nice trifecta payout.

Win: -50
TB: -60
EB: +375
Total: +32.5

Race 7:
$50 Win 4
$15 EB 4/1
$10 TB 4/1/5
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03-18-2020 , 02:30 PM
Second worst result: 5/4/1 with 5 as a favorite and 4 as 6/5.

Win: -50
EB: -30
Tri: +23
Total: -24.5

Race 8:
$50 Win 3
$15 Exa 3 with 6,2
$10 Tri 3 with 6,2 with 6,2
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03-18-2020 , 02:52 PM
Result: 3/2/6, 3 was massive chalk (2/5) but this was expected. His competition was way below his skill level even considering that he's breaking down after racing every week for years.

Win: +20
Exacta: +6
Tri: +40
Total: +41.5

Great to hit everything and make a whole $66.

Race 9:
$50 Win 5
$15 EB 5, 2
$10 Tri 5,2 with 5,2 with 4
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03-18-2020 , 03:01 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by parisron
Well Monday they said it was 5k per and 5k max per week, Then today it changed to 3k max and 3k max per week but in chat they claimed with 1 WD per week also. But I Got a WD yesterday and another today. It's scary to get too much the way BC market is whipping around.

I wish I knew for sure how many per week you could get, would much rather get $1000 on 3 different days then 3k all at once and watch the market take a big dive in the 30 min+ on transfers.
I hear ya, but also 3 $1k withdrawals or 1 $3k withdrawal should have the same EV, and the worst case scenario isn’t a ton of $$.
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03-18-2020 , 03:07 PM
Found two more in the clean csv.

2019-11-10
[ id = 1763 ] Race Winner - Bluegreen Vacations 500 - ISM Raceway - Avondale, AR - NBC
[ id = 1764 ] Race Winner - Bluegreen Vacations 500 - ISM Raceway - Avondale, AR - NBC

2018-09-09
[ id = 1638 ] Race Matchups - Big Machine Vodka 400 at Brickyard - Indianapolis Motor Speedway - Speedway, IN - NBCSN
[ id = 1640 ] Race Matchups - Big Machine Vodka 400 - Indianapolis Motor Speedway - Speedway, IN - NBCSN
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03-18-2020 , 03:32 PM
nice i'll fix those. I'm assuming that when we put together data views some more will come out too. Plan is to get the full schedule from nascar and then map it to the events. I wish sportsbooks were more consistent. If anyone does bookmakers feed they spell St Louis Cardinals about 11 different ways. It's ridiculous.

Spoiler:


After a long delay for some reason 5 broke immediately and had to go to the back. Never had a chance after that. Managed to get 3rd somehow even with the penalty. Result: 2/1/5

Total: -58.5

Lets try to get even on this last race 10

Race 10:
$50 Win 3
$15 Ex 3 with 5,2
$10 Tri 3 with 5,2 with 5,2
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03-18-2020 , 03:51 PM
3 won at 1/5. Not sure how 5 didn't get disqualified. It was out of control and caused half the field to break to get out of its way. Result: 3/5/7

Win: +12.5
Ex: +31.5
Tri: -20

Total: -34.5 + ~$100 or so from rakeback

Hopefully you got some rake back. We'll get them next time. My only profit comes from 2 before this and the rake back. What a waste of 3 hours.
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03-18-2020 , 04:38 PM
Hey if they can't spell the name right, probably means they don't get the odds right either.
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03-18-2020 , 04:56 PM
CS:GO ESEA North America: Triumph Map 2 over Under 21 at -160 in 2 hours
CS:GO ESL Pro League: Fnatic Map 2 over Complexity -165 in 24 hours
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03-18-2020 , 07:29 PM
horse racing tracks are starting to close

Pompano Park is closing after tonight.

Flamboro and Fraser are done.

Tioga isn't opening April 1.

Saratoga is cancelling starting Saturday.

Two horse trainers from NJ died from Corona. Carmine Fusco and John Brennan.

Get on that 7 in R1 of Pompano before they close.
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03-18-2020 , 07:36 PM
7 easy win paying $7 for $2 bet

I'm guessing my main track in Najdorf's hood, Harrah's Philly, won't open. Every year in their first month of opening the track is broken and 5 wins an improbable amount of time until it starts to warm up in May. RIP that angle.
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03-18-2020 , 08:53 PM
Pompano has a mandatory pick 4 payout with 15k extra added due to the closure.

Lets try 2/1,4/5,6/4,7
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03-18-2020 , 09:15 PM
of course lose first race

earlier in the week books were offering NBA season to restart May 5

now it's mid July -115 on each side.
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03-18-2020 , 11:04 PM
Pokershares has got NBA/MLB/NHL/NFL game at August 1st, -115 both sides.

https://www.pokershares.com/market/p...8-6a403ec1565d
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