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Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

12-30-2019 , 02:56 PM
yes

insanely profitable in nba over the whole four days before i got cut off

didn't try for college sports
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12-30-2019 , 03:24 PM
They have prepackaged parlays now
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12-30-2019 , 03:47 PM
i've left because too cold but there were two tabs

one said same game parlay where you could choose things at "fair" odds (i.e., mathematically fair if they were independent events)

then they had a different tab with packaged parlays which were pretty horrible. not as bad as the betbuilder ones that had four things like celtics spread, celtics 1h, garnett pts and rebounds at +200, but in that range.
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12-30-2019 , 04:27 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Like
AI to beat bovada?
Inch by inch, play by play
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12-30-2019 , 07:23 PM
lets get this nets -4 +100 before the world realizes towns and wiggings are out, crush closing, and still lose because the nets
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12-30-2019 , 08:43 PM
the nets are so bad after adjusting for half the t'wolves being out all the taiwan steam is coming in on minn +5.5

how does jay z tolerate this
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12-30-2019 , 10:47 PM
Good job by Orlando losing to the Hawks without Trae Young. John Collins for MVP?
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12-30-2019 , 10:50 PM
Spoiler:
PIT Kris Letang Assists o0.5 +115 LOSS -1
OTT Jean-Gabriel Pageau Points u0.5 -111 WIN 1
PIT Bryan Rust Goals o0.5 +225 LOSS -1
GAPs Daily: 1-2-0, -1.0u
GAPs YTD: 61-46-1, +25.87u, 131.9u risked, +19.6% ROI
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12-30-2019 , 11:01 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by NajdorfDefense
Good job by Orlando losing to the Hawks without Trae Young. John Collins for MVP?
Orlando was missing Alex Gordon, but Jonathan Isaac is a beast. I'm surprised he only got 2 blocks since the Hawks get blocked about 50 times a game. Wesley Iwundu lost them the game.

The Nets might actually do this and we should have trusted our Adebayo projections. Quant was there and qual argument you can make about Wizards sucking at defending especially centers. This is where we lose all our value not trusting our numbers.

Oh wait nets now on a 0-8 run to cut their lead to 2.

Old memories of the glory days of betting at Meadowlands race track at 17 with the Nets and Jason Kidd dominating next door.

Last edited by fkjlhfdkjhkj.; 12-30-2019 at 11:08 PM.
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12-30-2019 , 11:12 PM
2nd greatest time in Nets history was when Avery Johnson was the coach and we could beat all the 2H lines by betting his tendencies

and we covered up all the evidence of it ever happening by hacking ESPN and changing all the scores so it looks like we went 50/50
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12-30-2019 , 11:24 PM
not only did they blow a 6 point lead with 90 seconds left by missing 3 FT's in a row and then getting the ball stolen over and over now the under 217 is in jeopardy

never again guys. new syndicate rule
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12-31-2019 , 12:19 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by atrainpsu
Well. In his defense, he’s recommending o41 with u43.5 which probably does have value.

In today’s game with more 2 pt conversions and missed XPs, I’ve always assumed every number is at least 1-2%.

I’m sure your methodology for push %s is more advanced than that though.
Depends on the odds adjust. Using [4%, 0.5%, 2.5%] yields about 7% roi on -110, 53% on -105. I wouldn't bother unless I could get -108 or better.

39 historically was the worst push total, but 42 has been for some time. 41 is among the best
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12-31-2019 , 01:10 AM
here's early version of NFL Props for WC Round if you see anything

https://pastebin.com/bh2zcr7H

Probably update on Friday. No NBA tomorrow, getting out of town to beat all the tourists. If you're in Vegas godspeed. It hasn't been bad the last couple of years but today was a disaster.
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12-31-2019 , 03:38 AM
daringly,

Why do you keep posting outright lies? You were just called out last week for lying about how Betpoints have worked for basically a decade, and now you're gonna claim that 40c (or 45c? Bovada doesn't even serve different prices for -2/-2.5 on the KY game, just adds more vig to the +2.5) are super efficient?

Get help man. Seriously, or atleast say you have a prop bet on how many times you can make completely fabricated and/or extremely stupid comments.
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12-31-2019 , 04:04 AM
Hey guys really appreciate the input I got back on the early payout. You guys rock!
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12-31-2019 , 04:07 AM
Nets blew a game like this last year too against the Grizzlies. Just an awful team to root for smh.
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12-31-2019 , 05:22 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by rickroll
Hey guys really appreciate the input I got back on the early payout. You guys rock!
Rick a few more points on this...

The people who set these prices are not particularity well paid or trained. I have an inside at a big live betting operation. Employees make about $1500 a month and set the prices manually based on a software that is provided to them. The thing is that sometimes they get it wrong (I see stuff like a +7.5 when it should be a -7.5, didn't bet because I didn't want my account flagged) also they are manually changing the price at a slower price then they are getting the live feed. So yeah I see mistakes and misprices fairly often and sometimes the software just gets it wrong (a bad number or a misunderstanding of the nuance of the game dynamic).

Interestingly enough they tell me that all the employees bet on the games as well to pass the time. Seems like an easy way to just set a good price and then manually bet it yourself, but I guess the site doesn't have a problem with it. Who knows.

Last edited by CodythePATRIOT; 12-31-2019 at 05:31 AM.
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12-31-2019 , 10:35 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley
2nd greatest time in Nets history was when Avery Johnson was the coach and we could beat all the 2H lines by betting his tendencies

and we covered up all the evidence of it ever happening by hacking ESPN and changing all the scores so it looks like we went 50/50
I wanna hear more about this and the harababababalobs "story"
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12-31-2019 , 11:54 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by CodythePATRIOT
Interestingly enough they tell me that all the employees bet on the games as well to pass the time. Seems like an easy way to just set a good price and then manually bet it yourself, but I guess the site doesn't have a problem with it. Who knows.
I'm curious, which shop was this? This is quite a bit different from what I've seen.
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12-31-2019 , 03:03 PM
TOR William Nylander Points u0.5 +118
TOR Morgan Rielly Assists o0.5 +134
TOR Mitchell Marner Assists u0.5 +155
TOR Mitchell Marner Points u1.5 -185
TBL Alex Killorn Points u0.5 +111
TBL Steven Stamkos Assists u0.5 -126
DET Dylan Larkin Assists o0.5 +151
ARI Christian Dvorak Points u0.5 -135
CGY Mark Giordano Assists o0.5 +162
CGY Elias Lindholm Assists o0.5 +164
CGY Sean Monahan Points o0.5 -138
PHI Travis Konecny Points u0.5 +116



MTL Tomas Tatar u2.5 -154
SJS Timo Meier o2.5 +107
WPG Blake Wheeler o2.5 +106
WPG Nikolaj Ehlers o2.5 -101
CGY Mikael Backlund o1.5 -176
CGY Mark Giordano o2.5 +118
LAK Drew Doughty u2.5 -163
EDM James Neal o2.5 +149
EDM Leon Draisaitl o2.5 -157
EDM Oscar Klefbom o2.5 -112
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12-31-2019 , 03:49 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by daringly
I'm curious, which shop was this? This is quite a bit different from what I've seen.
I don't want to say publicly but I can pm you
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12-31-2019 , 03:59 PM
Horford o12.5 -118
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12-31-2019 , 05:02 PM
Laughlin sportsbooks may be the worst ever. I tried to bet $500 on a CBB 2H and the guy just laughed.
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12-31-2019 , 07:19 PM
Added Plays

CBJ Seth Jones Assists o0.5 +147
CBJ Seth Jones Points o0.5 +104
CBJ Pierre-Luc Dubois Goals o0.5 +234
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