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Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting

12-12-2019 , 06:05 PM
Oh yea I got a masters but I got 30k and free tuition to get it and all I had to do was teach one course. Law school seems ridiculous, most be a money laundering scam from scholarships or some financial aid scam.

I never looked at first downs, but total field goal bets are as rare as Dominican Run Score in First. Whenever I check there's no value. Maybe once a week I'll find one and it will be small.

What do people think about Vyncinct Smith in DFS tonight? Could be a good low owned person to get some separation from the pack. Also I've been working on re-tooling Total Bases. I think the model got inefficient but we were still making money because TheGreek would put up ridiculous lines everyone else would copy. Then BM stepped in after their death and knew what they were doing. But I have all the lines from last year and I think we can fix it.
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12-12-2019 , 06:11 PM
This is more qualitative, but has anyone heard so much about how many records Lamar is going to break tonight against the Jets even with his injury and the Jets run D. Ravens have to be the "squarest" side in history tonight. Right next to the Patriots are a lock at -23.5 on MNF over the AJ Feeley Eagles.
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12-12-2019 , 06:26 PM
The boring stuff I bet:

NYJ/Balt H1 over 23 -105 (a tad over 54%)
Baltimore Team Total under 31.5 -115 (the 31 pushes over 9%) at 58%.
Edit: that is gone; under 31 -110 is still very good.

Mindless, fairly high volume.
Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting Quote
12-12-2019 , 06:35 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by daringly
The boring stuff I bet:

NYJ/Balt H1 over 23 -105 (a tad over 54%)
Baltimore Team Total under 31.5 -115 (the 31 pushes over 9%) at 58%.
Edit: that is gone; under 31 -110 is still very good.

Mindless, fairly high volume.
Does your push chart know about the Ravens tendencies on 4th down and going for 2 tho?
Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting Quote
12-12-2019 , 06:37 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Iowa!
Does your push chart know about the Ravens tendencies on 4th down and going for 2 tho?
It's not really a chart, but no. It ignores team tendencies. It just assumes the market is efficient, and corrects for past inefficiencies.
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12-12-2019 , 06:48 PM
Is NFL 1h really bettable as a game derivative?
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12-12-2019 , 06:56 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by daringly
The boring stuff I bet:

NYJ/Balt H1 over 23 -105 (a tad over 54%)
Baltimore Team Total under 31.5 -115 (the 31 pushes over 9%) at 58%.
Edit: that is gone; under 31 -110 is still very good.

Mindless, fairly high volume.
getting in on under 31 at -105. Thanks J7
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12-12-2019 , 07:14 PM
O lawd.

Datamining past historical biases and then adding that to some **** version of a push chart from 2007. Tell me more.
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12-12-2019 , 08:15 PM
Sigs, I'd be fascinated to hear more about your server if that's something you are ok with talking about more in the future.
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12-12-2019 , 08:32 PM
TomG Total Bases v3 is my baby. Just a regular server, database, all the scripts etc converted to python about 10 years ago when it was obscure

just scrapes data from everywhere, runs models, etc. hosted in the CLOUD

we killing most of these props bros

QB Sacks -150 now
Darnold passing yards they don't believe it's at +109
Pass attempts down to 33.5 and -142 on the under. How much is the 34 worth in push charts?
Lamar Pass attempts up to 26.5
Lamar Pass complete now -157
Anderson -140
Marquise Brown down to 3 from 3.5
Snead over at -160

lets get all these theoretical wins
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12-12-2019 , 08:52 PM
I know I let you guys down missing the early games. Trying to get these out.

EDM James Neal Points u0.5 -132
EDM Leon Draisaitl Assists u0.5 +166
MIN Ryan Suter Assists o0.5 +136
MIN Matt Dumba Assists o0.5 +218
MIN Matt Dumba Points o0.5 +127
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12-12-2019 , 09:14 PM
I know it takes up a lot of time to run down every single NHL player prop but it's too much fun I can't help it.

TOR Morgan Rielly Assists o0.5 +146
ARI Alex Goligoski Goals u0.5 -509
CAR Andrei Svechnikov Points u0.5 +133
VAN Josh Leivo Points u0.5 -147
NYR Kaapo Kakko Points u0.5 -136
SJS Brent Burns Assists o0.5 +118
SJS Brent Burns Points o0.5 -123
SJS Evander Kane Goals o0.5 +190

ARI Derek Stepan SOGS o2.5 +141
ARI Conor Garland SOGS o2.5 +116
CAR Dougie Hamilton SOGS o3.5 +138
SJS Brent Burns SOGs o2.5 -147
SJS Evander Kane SOGs o3.5 +108
SJS Timo Meier SOGs o2.5 -134

We can talk about grading tracking later.
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12-12-2019 , 09:18 PM
Let’s get that marquise brown 1st TD +1050


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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12-12-2019 , 09:27 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by NajdorfDefense
.
Quote:
Originally Posted by CodythePATRIOT
Thanks for the input. I appreciate your perspective.

Any guys that aren't frauds that I can follow?
I've been grinding in lab all day long for new financial gurus and I am pleasantly surprised where this search has led me:

Spoiler:

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12-12-2019 , 09:29 PM
I mean if you're undisciplined Dave Ramsey might be a good option. For the people he markets to, it's probably the best way they can build wealth since if they didn't follow his plan they would pull out equity from their house as soon as they can and buy a wave runner. Obviously not the most optimal, that is betting on Southern University of course.

Snead 15 yard reception, o14.5 piece of cake.
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12-12-2019 , 09:59 PM
GOAT misses an XP. Will that bite us later for o31.5? Stay tuned.
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12-12-2019 , 10:04 PM
Definitely good for Jets +17
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12-12-2019 , 10:12 PM
Bad for Ravens 1H -9.5, but we got this 2nd and 1.

What about sacks tho? SO many attempts!!!!!
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12-12-2019 , 10:13 PM
TD.

EZ.
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12-12-2019 , 10:16 PM
Hope we can ship this o10.5 synthetic with 39min left. #hope
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12-12-2019 , 10:44 PM
missing FG, blew 4th and 1, and horrible int. feel like Jets should be winning.

but at least 0 sacks
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12-12-2019 , 10:55 PM
Do you think the CCP rigged this like the Russians rigged the UK election?
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12-12-2019 , 11:04 PM
imagine getting 108 retweets and 575 likes for this

https://twitter.com/ToddFuhrman/stat...99492363866112

influencer
Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting Quote
12-12-2019 , 11:08 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley
imagine getting 108 retweets and 575 likes for this

https://twitter.com/ToddFuhrman/stat...99492363866112

influencer
You’re blocked
You can’t follow or see @ToddFuhrman’s Tweets.

Don't even know who Todd Fuhrman is but apparently he blocked me at some point.

His Twitter avatar makes him look like a coked up Wall Street junior analyst who got into an Ivy League school as a legacy.
Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting Quote
12-12-2019 , 11:13 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TomG
I know I let you guys down missing the early games. Trying to get these out.

EDM James Neal Points u0.5 -132
EDM Leon Draisaitl Assists u0.5 +166
MIN Ryan Suter Assists o0.5 +136
MIN Matt Dumba Assists o0.5 +218
MIN Matt Dumba Points o0.5 +127
Every day I play Matt Dumba on draftkings dot com
Every day he does nothing and I lose my grocery money
Crowdsource Syndicate Sports Betting Quote

      
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