Andy Boulton -115
Wayne Jones +180

think we going with this in supercontest, any thoughts?

Vikings -3.5
Colts -3
Chargers +5.5
Bucs +3.5
Bears +9.5

Thinking people might be down on the Bucs after last week and KC is a super public team.

I seem to play the Colts every week.

Bears Trubiski is back so should be a disaster.

I've noticed a lot of people been playing Carolina (I did too) and it's hovering between +3/+3.5. Might be the game where we pick a bad play vs. the current market.

How much of our supercontest strategy is trying to fade public picks to rise the leaderboard if those picks go well, like last week

As opposed to just picking the 5 BEST picks you have on the board that week?

1-2 -1.15
YTD 2-2 +0.4

Anyone looked at baseball outside the US? My limits are small but Dominican beisbol is going on. Theyve been playing extreme small ball, lots of bunting and sacrifices. Looking at Leones del Escogido vs Aguilas Cibaeñas.

Both offenses are at ~3.5 RC/27.
Leones pitching staff 2.97 ERC/3.62 FIP
Aguilas pitching staff 2.78 ERC/3.12 FIP

Hard to find SP but I'm pretty sure Leones SP is Kubiak (2.30 ERC/3.48 FIP). Had trouble finding Aguilas SP but YOLO.

Leones del Escogido/Aguilas Cibaeñas Under 7½ -115

Bigsby banged up, oline banged up for auburn, shivers announced as starter. Hoping bigsby just gets in sparingly.

Tank Bigsby rush+receiving yards u85.5 -120

i dunno what i'm doing but i just take my projections and bet most of those (think outside of 4 picks this year i bet all of mine)

for strats i just try to avoid the suspect situations (e.g., i think new orleans is gonna be high owned this week but taysom hill looked good against atlanta because everyone does plus I bet Denver myself) even if you might pick up 1-2 points on CLV.

I think there's a subset of people who just choose whichever lines move the most then a subset that pick whoever they want. No idea which is more successful. Might focus more on strat if it's week 15 or 16 and I'm still up top (e.g., i noticed the guy in first picks a majority of road favorites so i'd want to avoid those). For now I just spend 5 minutes picking them.

One strat I might do around then is use the Thurs or Saturday game. Most people use proxies and avoid those games since you need to submit all your picks at once. Those would create immediate leverage. My initial plan was to do that all season but COVID.

Just pick against the Broncos.

except last week. broncos free money then against the "dolphins can't lose"!

apparently the entire broncos team is on the covid list and they might not even have a QB. They're using WR Kendall Hinton and Royce Freeman as backup lol

RIP money. negatives of betting on tuesday. This game needs to be cancelled

at least jets got their #1 pick

I think this is the last time a team went at it with no QB

https://www.espn.com/nfl/game?gameId=261224001

Weinke was a 10th string QB and the Panthers ran the wildcat for almost the entire game with Foster and Williams

If only the Broncos had a running back

How do the Ravens get their game delayed but Broncos have to play?

I suspect players stay away from BUF and Rams this week. Those might be the contrarian picks.

I was referring to the Covid news, yeah.

circa re-opened Saints as -13 RIP

sign Elway to a 1 day contract

1-0 +1
CFB props YTD 1-0 +1

I really should've bet rushing yards and receptions under, too. Bovada giving me to win $600 max on these so not too bad.

1-0 +1
Béisbol YTD 1-0 +1

Getting to win $250 on these totals, which I think is pretty good?

12/1 Euroleague

Thoughts on Askel +1 -115?

Sorry to spam but I misspelled and can't edit.

ASVEL not askel

I usually look at Euroleague on Monday, so will know then. BM posts the lines relatively late.

BUF was the 9th most popular pick this week at 20%. Rams were 23rd. 18% of people picked PIT and 4% Balt which I believe is an auto loss (in Circa its considered a tie).



Looks like we got the 16th (Min), 21st (IND), 7th (LAC), 13th (TB), 11th (CHI) most popular picks. Little surprised on TB.

Some much leverage as CAR was 19th, Ten 3rd, KC 6th, GB 29th, Buf 9th. Gonna really need the IND win.

The guy in 1st went back to his old strategy picking 4/5 road favorites. He's on the 1st, 2nd, 5th, 8th, and 10th most popular picks. So hoping the chalk fails again. most of the people in front of us have LV, CLE, SF, SEA so this could be a good week to either move up or drop 200 spots.

Sigley you got any NFL prop stone cold locks today?

Curious where they open the Kendall Hinton props. Is it gonna be the Wild West with his numbers? Just shots in the dark?

on andy isabella o 30.5 rec yards. should get many more looks with fitzgerald out.

today went from an awesome day to a disaster in about 5 minutes lol

No words for that chargers game ending.

Makes sense Chargers were 7th, surprised BUF was that high. With 40% of the field picking that game a win there was key.

Should be lots of quality college basketball today.

Currently leaning

Indiana -1
St. John's PK
Alabama -1

UNC -12.5 -100 foxbet