Good choice on mike fiers!

After a 4-1 week Tom G Total Bases has moved into a big tie for 36th place at 13-7! Only 3.5% of people went 4-1 and 1.2% did better so definitely a good week to run good.

We benefitted from almost all the chalk picks failing. And winning some low picked teams (Min and Car both ~16.5% owned. Our two chalk picks BUF/BAL both covered). JAX not covering was our only loss.



Crowdsource Syndicate in the Circa Millions is sitting at 3-1 [11-8 overall] with Falcons +7.5 pending.

Lets get this 20-0 second quarter run going boys.

I have Greinke and McCullers basically tied in projected wOBA, hmmm

Thinking about strategy - one thing I noticed is that the Thursday night games go under picked. I believe this is due to a lot of people using proxy's and having to lock in their picks early.

If we get close to first there should be an advantage using the Thursday Night games (until they end).

Any game theorists in the house? Does that make sense? Is there a PIO solver for this like poker? Nash equilibrium (RIP) whatever that is?

The negatives are injury reports come out on Friday so there is potential to lose value in a pick.

Or is this strategy too risky with Covid? The TEN/PIT was known about on Monday, but a Friday outbreak could sink us.

Clevinger probably the game 1 starter fyi

Question about Bookmakers rules on this:

I just noticed, the Cubs game that was cancelled on Thursday, and then they played on Friday kept the action on my bets.

They were total bases matchups that I bet Thursday, they kept the bets pending in my history and just graded them according to what happened on Friday.

I thought games had to be finished by 5 A.M. of the posted date?

In the history it shows I placed the bets a day before the game started. Do I have any recourse here or just let it go?

How we gonna get close to first when you got guys starting 18-1-1 in these things

18-2 guy in first seems to only take road favorites

he has found a loophole and is exploiting it

can't compete against that.

just need to hit a 40-0 run and we are alive

Nevermind, all playoff games are action for 30 days.

yea I had the same issue and was confused. They have so many conflicting rules

Another recent one was the Rahm vs. DJ golf playoff. For tournament bets they are refusing the pay Rahm as the winner even tho their rules clearly state if there's a playoff those results will count.

Then they cited a different part of their website that says that. So they have two conflicting golf rules which is great.

Ah yes, makes it simple.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

so to you're first point, it sounds like you are rolling your own distribution?
I'll check out the other ones, never heard of pascal

Do we have a PR/Media relations team?

I'm putting together the first ever Crowdsource Syndicate White Paper - Nate Silver and the Economist vs. Bookmaker.

For the week leading up to the election I will calculate how much you should bet on bookmaker if you follow their predictions using a theoretical $10,000 bankroll.

The first day results are looking promising as we already have more than our $10,000 bankroll in action. So I might have to adjust using half-kelly.

Reason: The 7 days leading up to the election should theoretically be the best projections. We can see that if we choose to make our bets on any of those days would we make or lose money. This is inspired by Nate's tweet that he would crush these markets but his job won't let him bet.

crowdsource syndicate sneaker department are we ready for tomorrow's release of air jordan 5 x off-white sail? a pair retails for $225 and will sell out fast. we should be able to flip these for a nice profit.

Are sports cards the newest scam?

So many articles about how people are pulling 25k-50k cards, but if it was a profitable hobby why wouldn't the people who run the card stores just horde the boxes of cards for themselves?

Assuming you're referring to Pokemon cards, the 50k+ cards all come from 1st edition boxes, 99.99% of which have already been opened and the remaining ones are hoarded and sold at very high prices.

Oh nope for some reason google news recommended me this article

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/tvshowbi...huge-250k.html

Paid 10k sterlings (?) for a box and pulled cards worth 6k and 50-250k.

I understand the older ones where the limited supply but these are 2020.

Feel like it's the newest scam after sneaker and video game collecting fell off.

Would assume he just luckboxed since the cost of the packs/boxes are supposed to account for the % of pulling such a rare.

Overall, things are definitely in a bubble. The ultra rare Pokemon cards have been increasing in value exponentially for the past 4-5 years. Should pop at some point.

what a convenient time to hold a largely peaceful protest in support of George Floyd

Rule number one in betting, never go full kelly

i will tweet out anything you want to write up bro, to my 100 followers

I think that's closer to Rule Number 2, maybe even 3.

That Brady card isn't worth anything near those high figures.

There's sports-card twitter if you're really interested sigley. I collect basketball cards and the market exploded higher during Covid, is selling off now but still much higher than March. Soccer did also.

You could pull a Zion logoman auto rookie from National Treasures and that's probably worth $100k or so, but it would take you probably over 100 cases or more to get there unless you got really lucky, and that's $1.6m worth. Sure, you'll pull other nice cards but you're looking at least a 25-50%+ loss to make up for all the Tobias Harris and Romeo Langfords you get.

The smart buy when Covid started was to stock up on vintage HOFers in high-grade: Russell, Wilt, Erving, Oscar, West, Elgin, Maravich, Bird/Magic. Their rookies went for comparatively little compared to Luka and Zion and Trae Young. Before selling off recently, a Dr J rookie PSA 8 went up 16x in ~18 months, for example.

The Barstool Sportsbetting app surprisingly has -107 sides on tonight's game. Much better than the 21-26c spreads you get on these onshore apps a lot of times. 19c spread on the ML also.

Refundable $500 first bet, etc.

how much can i get for hundreds of Todd Van Poppel Upper Deck 1991 rookie cards

ungraded and in a shoebox for 29 years?

They also have -103 sides and excellent ML numbers on select games during happy hour (5p-6p ET, M-F). Happy hour bets are eligible for the risk-free promotion too.